Exit Poll Result 2017 highlights: Surveys predict comfortable win for BJP in both Himachal and Gujarat

BJP’s Muslim vote share increased by 4.1%: C-Voter survey

Did the Patel factor really work?

According to the demographic data of the C-Voter survey, all the din around the Patidar movement and their discontent with the BJP have indeed resulted in a dent on the party’s vote share. The survey said that the BJP lost roughly 10.1 percent votes from the Leuva Patidar community and around 12 percent votes from the Karva Patidar community.  

The Congress party, in contrast, has gained close to 16.5 and 19 percent votes from both these communities, respectively.

India Today survey shows 27 swing seats may be a game changer for Congress

India Today – Axis My India poll suggests that there are at least 27 seats where the winning margin was around 1-2 percent. If the Congress manages to wrest free almost all of those constituencies out, only then it may stand a chance of winning in Gujarat.

Overall picture from Himachal Pradesh exit polls

ABP-CSDS predicts BJP to get 38 seats, Congress at 29

Gujarat: Updated Tally after factoring in Today’s Chanakya’s prediction ​

Today’s Chanakya poll predicts a whopping 135 seats for BJP, the highest in any survey so far

Meanwhile… Final voting percentage in 2nd Phase of Gujarat polls recorded as 69% at 5pm, says Election Commission

Himachal Pradesh Poll of Polls tally

Almost all the exit poll surveys have predicted that the Bharatiya Janata Party will oust the Congress government and gain power with a clear majority. 

ABP-CSDS exit poll survey predicts clear majority for BJP in Gujarat: Here’s an updated tally 

Overall picture from Himachal Pradesh exit polls

Gujarat Poll of Polls Survey

Most surveys predict an easy win for BJP in Gujarat, however, the party may miss its 150 seat target.

Today’s Chanakya predicts BJP may get 51% vote share in Himachal Pradesh

Overall picture from Gujarat Exit Polls results

Today’s Chanakya predicts massive BJP win in Himachal Pradesh

India Today-Axis My India poll predicts close chase in Gujarat for BJP

• BJP – 99-113
• Congress – 68-82

Sahara Samay-CNX survey says BJP will retain power in Gujarat; predicts 110-120 seats for BJP and 65-75 seats for Congress

ABP-CSDS survey predicts BJP to sweep South Gujarat, Saurashtra-Kutch region in Gujarat

The survey says BJP will win in south Gujarat with 21-27 and Congress will get 9-13 seats. In Saurashtra, BJP will win 31-37 seats and Congress may get 16-22 seats.

Sahara Samay predicts clear BJP win Gujarat with 110-120 seats

BJP may sweep Saurashtra-Kuch region, according to ABP-CSDS poll 

 According to the ABP News-CSDS exit poll, BJP is likely to sweep in Gujarat’s Saurashtra-Kuch region. BJP is likely to get 34 seats out 54 seats while Congress is likely to get 19.

Gujarat: Region-wise breakup of Times Now Exit Poll

Republic TV predicts BJP will lead with 108 seats, Congress to get 74 seats in Gujarat

India Today poll says BJP to oust Congress in Himachal

The BJP will win with a clear majority with 47-55 seats, while the Congress will win between 13 and 20 seats, according to India Today-Axis My India exit poll for Himachal Pradesh.

Times Now says BJP will in Gujarat

In Gujarat, the survey says BJP to win 109 seats, Congress to get 70 seats, others will win 3 seats.

C-Voter survey predicts BJP’s win in Himachal Pradesh: Here are the figures at a glance

Surjiyt Bhalla’s prediction puts BJP in the lead

Economist and psephologist Surjit Bhalla has predicted a comfortable win for BJP, according to CNN-News18. 

BJP 125

Congress  57

Others  0

Times Now VMR Opinion poll had predicted BJP win Gujarat

BJP 111

Congress 68

Other 3

Voting for second phase of Gujarat Assembly election ends

Himachal Pradesh has historically alternated between BJP, Cogress: Past performance at a glance

The Constituency Clash: Here’s how BJP, Congress performed in 2012 in Gujarat

VDP Associates to start airing survey results from 6pm onwards

ABP-CSDS polls to be aired at 5.30 pm

India Today to broadcast its exit poll after 6 pm

Times Now to air its exit polls at 5pm

Sensex gains 194 pts ahead of Gujarat exit polls; Midcap index flat

Equity benchmarks closed volatile session on stronger note as the Sensex rallied 193.66 points to 33,246.70 ahead of Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh exit polls later today. The 50-share NSE Nifty gained 59.10 points at 10,252.10.

Moneycontrol News

A look at how accurate have exit polls been in the past
 
Exit poll surveys in the past have exhibited mixed accuracy in predicting election results. In the five states that went for Assembly polls last year, the exit poll surveys by most agencies were largely accurate about Assam (BJP), Kerala (Left Democratic Front), Puducherry and West Bengal (Trinamool). However, Tamil Nadu proved to be a hard nut to crack for most agencies as they completely failed to predict the outcome. 
 
Almost all of them had predicted that the DMK-Congress alliance will win the election, however, Jayalalithaa’s AIADMK swept the polls in a historic win. 
 
In Uttar Pradesh, while no polling agency was able to successfully gauge the BJP’s seat-count, almost all of them predicted that it would be the single largest party. So it was.

Congress likely to get around 100 seats: Hardik Patel

Patidar leader Hardik Patel on Thursday said the ruling BJP was set to lose the Gujarat Assembly elections, and that the Congress was likely to get around 100 seats in the 182-member house.

“Official files have already started disappearing from the state Secretariat,” he said while talking to journalists after casting his vote in Viramgam in Ahmedabad district.

Patel said the Bharatiya Janata Party was likely to get around 70 seats.

Twitter launches live stream of Gujarat elections

Twitter on Wednesday announced that it will live stream the conversations related to the Gujarat elections on its platform as the political interest and discourse on the polls generated over 800,000 tweets in the past week on the microblogging website.

The live stream of elections will be available in English and Hindi, and will take place on Thursday when the second phase of polling is being held, and on counting day 18 December, the company said in a statement.

IANS

Sensex Struggles Ahead Of Gujarat Exit Poll Results

Indian shares fell on Thursday, as investors waited for early forecasts on the winner of a key state election, with sentiment also muted as inflation ticked higher and industrial output weakened. Bonds and the rupee, however, rose after the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates.

The Nifty volatility index, a barometer of investor fear, hit its highest level since 1 February on Thursday.

Reuters

Post 5 pm, exit poll results to predict if Modi still invincible in Gujarat

Gujarat election exit poll results 2017 will be out after 5 pm today. The surveys conducted by several agencies will predict which party is leading the elections on the basis of interviews conducted right after voters casted their votes. However, these predictions are conducted on a relatively small sample size as compared to the entire electorate, and their accuracy is not a guarantee. 

Critics say the projections of these surveys can be influenced by the choice, wording and timing of the questions, and by the nature of the sample drawn. Nonetheless media houses alongwith other agencies employ utmost carefulness to get the surveys as close to the actual results as possible.