The Weather Report: North India braces for another dry spell; east and south to immerse in rainfall

May is the hottest month of the year in India and started with the set standards, On 1 May Bikaner in Rajasthan recorded 47.1°C maximum temperature and it is the highest temperature in the country during the past week. As the week progressed ahead parts of North India including the National Capital Region saw a wind reversal and winds started blowing from the East adding to discomfort as humidity started rising but under the influence of Western Disturbance parts of Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Rajasthan, West Uttar Pradesh observed rainfall and hailstorms on 4 and 6 May leading to significant fall in day temperatures and the prolonged spell of Heatwave abated as the maximum temperature came down to below 40°C levels. Some 24 hours rainfall figures from the plains of North India recorded till 8:30 am on 5 May: • Punjab: Patiala 39.0mm Fatehgarh Sahib 22.0mm Ballowal 19.4mm Balachaur 17.5mm Rauni 14.5mm Adampur 11.0mm Pathankot 9.0mm Ropar 5.5mm Barnala 4.5mm Ludhiana 2.6mm Gurdaspur 2.6mm • Chandigarh: Airport 8.0mm City 6.2mm • Haryana: Karnal 30.8mm Karnal NDRI 27.0mm Kurukshetra 8.0mm Sonipat 7.0mm Kaithal 5.5mm Damla 4.5mm Mahendragarh 3.0mm Manesar 3.0mm Faridabad 3.0mm Ambala 2.6mm Gurgaon 2.0mm • Delhi: Narela 13.5mm Ridge 8.8mm Pitampura 7.5mm Ayanagar 7.0mm Ujwa 3.0mm • Uttar Pradesh: Muzaffarnagar 51.0mm Fursatganj 45.4mm Bahraich 34.0mm Sultanpur 29.6mm Balrampur 23.5mm Ayodhya 19.2mm Meerut 19.0mm Lucknow 15.1mm Barabanki 13.8mm Etah 13.5mm Bareilly 12.7mm Baghpat 12.5mm Hardoi 9.6mm Shahjahanpur 8.0mm Jaunpur 5.5mm Aligarh 1.8mm Similarly, the Himalayas experienced much needed good rainfall during the past week which helped in restricting the forest fires over the hilly states but at the same time, some intense Hailstorm activities were reported causing hail damage to the apple orchards. Rainfall figures from the hills ending 8:30 am on 5 May: • Uttarakhand: Kichha 34.5mm Dangoli 32.5mm Raiwala 30.5mm Garud 22.0mm Kotdwar 20.0mm Kashipur 17.0mm Munsiyari 16.0mm Asharori 14.5mm Koti 13.5mm Chakrata 12.2mm Kalsi 11.5mm Nainital 11.0mm Khatima 11.0mm Dharchula 7.0mm • Jammu and Kashmir Gulmarg 28.6mm Batote 16.8mm Banihal 15.6mm Udhampur 13.0mm Bhaderwah 13.0mm Kukernag 12.3mm QaziGund 12.0mm Srinagar 11.3mm Jammu 10.6mm Kathua 9.0mm Konibal 8.5mm Awantipura 6.8mm Pahalgam 6.4mm Katra 6.0mm Kupwara 4.3mm Mirpur 1.6mm • Himachal Pradesh Kasauli 20.5mm Pacchad 17.3mm Dharamshala 15.0mm Una 14.2mm Dalhousie 13.0mm Jhandutta 10.2mm Saloni 9.4mm NainaDevi 8.4mm Nahan 8.0mm Chamba 6.0mm Kheri 5.6mm Banjar 5.2mm Berthin 4.5mm Paonta 4.4mm Shimla 4.1mm Ghumarwin 4.0mm Kahu 2.5mm East India is also witnessing some good pre-monsoon rains, Many parts of Bihar, Jharkhand, West Bengal, Odisha and Chhattisgarh reported on and off rains throughout the past week and heatwave Conditions have been abated from most parts. Rainfall figures from stations of West Bengal and Odisha ending 8:30 am on 7 May. Canning 93.6mm Panipolia 75.0mm Bengunia 65.0mm Nayagarh 64.0mm Burdwan 60.0mm Cuttack KVK 40.5mm Bhubaneswar 36.5mm Chandbali 31.6mm Uluberia 28.7mm Bankura 23.0mm Puri 21.9mm Kalaikunda 21.2mm Paradeep 18.0mm Under the influence of Well Marked Low pressure area in the Bay of Bengal Heavy to Very Heavy Rains is reported from Parts of Andaman & Nicobar Islands in the last 24 hours ending 8:30 am on 7 May: LongIsland 152.0mm MayaBandar 105.0mm PortBlair 33.9mm HutBay 29.3mm Nancowry 11.2mm Car Nicobar 9.0mm As per IMD data, total pre-monsoon rains in India from 1 March till 6 May: • India as a whole recorded a total of 58.8mm rainfall against the average of 79.8mm, departure from normal Stands at -26%. • Southern Peninsula: Actual 73.8mm against the average of 58.8mm, +26% departure from normal. • East & North East India: Actual 225.7mm against the average of 221.1mm, +2% departure from normal. • North West India: Actual 17.6mm against the average of 85.2mm, -79% departure from normal. • Central India: Actual 8.5mm against the average of 20.3mm, -58% departure from normal. All India weather forecast for next week till 14th May: • The Bay of Bengal is expected to host the first Cyclone of the year 2022 by Sunday, it will be named “Asani”. This name is given by Sri Lanka. • The Low Pressure Area over South Andaman Sea & adjoining has become Well Marked Low-Pressure Area and persisted over Southeast Bay of Bengal and adjoining South Andaman Sea at 0830 hours IST of today, the 7th May, 2022. It has further intensified into into a Depression over the Southeast Bay of Bengal in the afternoon hours of 7 May and is expected to develop further into a Cyclonic Storm over the East-central Bay of Bengal on 8th May. It is very likely to continue to move northwestwards till 10th May evening and reach West central and adjoining Northwest Bay of Bengal off north Andhra Pradesh & Odisha coasts. Thereafter, it is very likely to recurve north-northeastwards and move towards Northwest Bay of Bengal off Odisha coast. [caption id=“attachment_10647121” align=“alignnone” width=“640”] Satellite Imagery of the Depression in the South east Bay of Bengal on as on 7 May evening[/caption] As the Indian Meteorological Department GFS model, the European Centre of Medium-Range Weather Forecasting and NCEP GFS suggesting the chances of landfall over the Coastal Andhra Pradesh or Odisha are low day by day, if the system recurve under the influence of approaching Westerly Trough, it will not make a direct landfall in Indian mainland, however parts of Odisha, West Bengal and Andhra Pradesh to experience strong winds and some heavy rainfall as the tropical system is expected to approach very close to the coast. [caption id=“attachment_10647131” align=“alignnone” width=“640”] India Meteorological Department Forecasted Track of the cyclone and the cone of uncertainty based on 0600 UTC of 7 May[/caption] • After a brief relief from the heatwave conditions in North and Central India, weather conditions are once again Expected to become dry over the upcoming week. The flow of North West Winds will make a comeback in Punjab, Haryana, Delhi, Rajasthan, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh and Maharashtra under the influence of heatwave conditions are expected to rebuild in the region by early next week. Places in Rajasthan, Bundelkhand and Vidarbha may experience maximum temperatures around 46 to 48°C from Wednesday onwards, whereas parts of Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Haryana and Delhi NCR might get close to 45°C by then. • Parts of Himalayas typically Kashmir, North Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand will see on and of Light to Moderate rainfall during the upcoming week but chances remain low for very significant Weather development as Western Disturbances are expected to be week. • The summer showers are expected to persist in Peninsular India mainly over Kerala, Karnataka, Tamil Nadu and Andhra Pradesh, Region may experience strong Thunderstorms, Gusty winds and lightning strikes during the evening hours. • Under the influence of the Bay of Bengal system, Moisture incursion will increase over North East India leading to more moderate to heavy rainfall in the states during the upcoming week Regionwise detailed weather forecast till 14 May: North India: Significant Weather synopsis: • Weak Western Disturbance over Western Himalayas. • Dry north west winds in the western plains and Thar desert. • Moist Easterlies over foothills of Uttar Pradesh, Haryana and Chandigarh. Weather conditions are expected to remain mainly dry over Punjab, Haryana, Delhi NCR, Rajasthan, Uttar Pradesh till 14 may as no major weather system to Impact the region. With every passing day, there will be rise in day Temperatures by 1-2°c from current levels. The Dry Westerly winds will turn hot and Heatwave is expected to make comeback over most parts of Rajasthan, Haryana, Delhi and the Bundelkhand region of Uttar Pradesh between 10 to 14 May. Places in East Uttar Pradesh and foothills, North Haryana and Chandigarh will experience Easterlies winds during this week leading to Humid and sweaty weather. Under the influence of the weak Western Disturbances isolated to scattered light to moderate rains are expected to continue in Kashmir, the upper reaches of Himachal Pradesh and Uttarakhand till 14th May, meanwhile the chances of heavy precipitation is low around this time. Expected minimum and maximum Temperature Range forecast till 14 May: • Punjab: 23.0 to 28.0°C, 38.0 to 44.0°C • Haryana: 24.0 to 29.0°C, 40.0 to 46.0°C • Rajasthan: 26.0 to 33.0°C, 43.0 to 48.0°C • Delhi NCR: 23.0 to 29.0°C, 40.0 to 45.0°C • Uttar Pradesh: 25.0 to 33.0°C, 37.0 to 47.0°C Central India: Significant weather synopsis: • Dry and Hot North Western winds. Under the influence of the Hot winds the Central region will observe hot and dry weather this week, very hot Northerly winds from Thar desert to keep Temperatures at the heatwave levels. Once again the Heatwave is expected to intensify in central India and the maximum temperature is estimated to be around 46°C to in stations of Vidarbha and around 45°c in Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat and Chhattisgarh by mid-week. Due to the heating in central India, some instability may develop in the evening hours which may lead to some isolated thunder development and light rains in Madhya Pradesh, Vidarbha and Chhattisgarh this week. Expected Minimum and Maximum Temperature range Forecast till 14 May: • Gujarat: 26.0 to 32.0°C, 40.0 to 45.0°C • Maharashtra: 23.0 to 30.0°C, 37.0 to 48.0°C • Madhya Pradesh: 25.0 to 32.0°C, 40.0 to 45.0°C • Chhattisgarh: 26.0 to 33.0°C, 39.0 to 45.0°C East and South India: Under the impact of tropical cyclone Asani, weather warnings have been issued by the Indian Meteorological Department. Rainfall warning: • 10 May: Light to moderate rainfall likely at a few places with heavy rainfall at isolated places over coastal Odisha and adjoining areas of north coastal Andhra Pradesh from 10th evening • 11 May: Rainfall at a few places with heavy rainfall at isolated places likely over coastal Odisha and adjoining coastal areas of north Andhra Pradesh and West Bengal. Wind warning: • 8 May: Squally wind speed reaching 55-65 km/h gusting to 75 km/h is likely to prevail over Southeast and adjoining East-central Bay of Bengal and would gradually increase becoming gale wind speed reaching 65-75 gusting to 85 km/h over the same region from 8th May evening. Squall wind speed reaching 40-50 km/h gusting to 60 km/h is likely to prevail over Andaman Sea and Andaman and Nicobar Islands. • 9 May: Gale wind speed reaching 65-75 km/h gusting to 85 km/h is likely to prevail over central parts of the Bay of Bengal. • 10 May: Gale wind speed reaching 80-90 km/h gusting to 100 km/h is likely to prevail around the system centre over West central and adjoining Northwest & East central Bay of Bengal. Squally wind speed reaching 40-50 km/h gusting to 60 km/h is likely over coastal districts of north Andhra Pradesh. • 11 May: Gale wind speed reaching 70-80 km/h gusting to 90 km/h is likely to prevail over northwest and adjoining West-central Bay of Bengal. Squally wind speed reaching 40-50 km/h gusting to 60 km/h is likely over coastal districts of Odisha and adjoining coastal north Andhra Pradesh. Sea condition: • 8 May: Sea condition is very likely to become high over Southeast & adjoining East central Bay of Bengal. The sea condition over the Andaman Sea would gradually improve becoming rough • 9-10 May: Sea condition is likely to become high over central parts of Bay of Bengal on 9 May and over West central and adjoining Northwest and East-central Bay of Bengal on 10 May. • 11 May: Sea condition is likely to become high over Northwest and adjoining West-central Bay of Bengal Fishermen warning: • Fishermen are advised not to venture into the Andaman Sea and adjoining the southeast Bay of Bengal during 8 May. • Fishermen are advised not to venture into East Central Bay of Bengal on 8 May. • Fishermen are advised not to venture into central parts of the Bay of Bengal on 9 and 10 May and over Northwest Bay of Bengal on 10 and 11 May. • Fishermen out at sea are advised to return to coast. The author, better known as the Rohtak Weatherman, interprets and explains complex weather patterns. His impact-based forecasts @navdeepdahiya55 are very popular in north India. Read all the Latest News , Trending News ,  Cricket News , Bollywood News , India News and Entertainment News here. Follow us on Facebook , Twitter and Instagram .