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Asia Cup 2025 scenarios: Will Pakistan be eliminated after defeat to Sri Lanka on Tuesday?
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  • Asia Cup 2025 scenarios: Will Pakistan be eliminated after defeat to Sri Lanka on Tuesday?

Asia Cup 2025 scenarios: Will Pakistan be eliminated after defeat to Sri Lanka on Tuesday?

FirstCricket Staff • September 23, 2025, 14:42:26 IST
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The Pakistan cricket team faces Sri Lanka in a high-stakes Asia Cup Super 4 match on Tuesday. A defeat in that could have a major repercussion on their campaign.

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Asia Cup 2025 scenarios: Will Pakistan be eliminated after defeat to Sri Lanka on Tuesday?
Pakistan’s match against Sri Lanka in Asia Cup is not a must-win but nothing less than that as well. Image: Reuters

Pakistan cricket team fans are fearing an elimination from the Super 4s stage in the Asia Cup 2205 after a six-wicket defeat to India on Sunday. Pakistan take on Sri Lanka in their second Super 4 match on Tuesday at the Sheikh Zayed Stadium in Abu Dhabi.

As a result of the second consecutive victory over Pakistan in the tournament, India are at the top of the Super 4 table with two points and a net run rate (NRR) of +0.689. Only the top two teams will qualify for the final from the Super 4s.

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Bangladesh are second in the group with a four-wicket win over Sri Lanka in the Super 4 opener. They have an NRR of +0.121. Sri Lanka and Pakistan are third and fourth, respectively, with zero points each and one defeat in one match.

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India still have two matches to play in the Super 4 stage — against Bangladesh and Sri Lanka. They are expected to win both, but even if they win only one, they will have four points. That should ideally be enough.

Will Pakistan be eliminated after defeat to Sri Lanka on Tuesday?

Now let’s talk about Pakistan. To simplify progress, Pakistan must look to beat Sri Lanka on Tuesday and Bangladesh later to qualify for the final. They can qualify even if they lose today, but then they will be dependent on India beating both Bangladesh and Sri Lanka so that none of the other teams reach four points.

If Pakistan lose today, they can only reach a maximum of two points by beating Bangladesh in their next Super 4 match. But if Sri Lanka or Bangladesh win against India, then they will have at least four points and Pakistan will be eliminated.

To summarise, the best scenario for Pakistan is to win against Sri Lanka today and beat Bangladesh later, but even if they lose on Tuesday, they won’t be immediately eliminated from the Asia Cup 2025.

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