Central bank needs to act to tame inflation: Rangarajan

Central bank needs to act to tame inflation: Rangarajan

FP Archives December 20, 2014, 06:44:49 IST

India’s economy will grow a lower-than-expected 8 percent during this fiscal year, a top adviser to the prime minister said today adding to a slew of forecasts showing rising inflation, slowing industrial output and global headwinds are slowing growth.

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Central bank needs to act to tame inflation: Rangarajan

New Delhi: India’s food price index rose 10.6 percent and the fuel price index climbed 15.17 percent in the year to 8 October, government data on Thursday showed.

In the previous week, annual food and fuel inflation stood at 9.32 percent and 15.10 percent, respectively.

India’s economy will grow a lower-than-expected 8 percent during this fiscal year, a top adviser to the prime minister said today adding to a slew of forecasts showing rising inflation, slowing industrial output and global headwinds are slowing growth.

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C Rangarajan, the Chairman of the Prime Minister’s Economic Advisory council, also said on Thursday that India needs to use both fiscal and monetary methods to tame inflation to maintain high growth.

The council provides economic forecasts twice every year and had earlier predicted a growth of 8.2 percent for the current year that ends March 2012.

“When inflation is remaining at the level which is way above the comfort level of central bank, therefore in that situation it becomes absolutely essential for the central bank to act,” Rangarajan said at a conference in New Delhi.

Businesses have seen a steady rise in their cost of funding following 12 rate increases by the central bank since March 2010, and are bracing for another likely increase at the bank’s next policy review on 25 October.

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In a further sign that the rate increases by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) have failed to rein in inflation, the latest weekly data showed the food price index was up 10.60 percent through 8 October versus a year ago, compared with a 9.32 percent reading in the prior week.

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Rangarajan’s comments echo comments by Finance Minister Pranab Mukherjee on Wednesday that most observers expect India’s economy to grow less than 8 percent in the current fiscal year.

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India’s industrial output growth has dwindled to low single digits, while car sales are expected to rise just 2-4 percent this fiscal year, an industry body had forecast. That’s remarkably down from a 30 percent sales growth last year.

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“Slow growth in industrial production should not be entirely put at the door of rising interest rates,” Rangarajan said.

Headline inflation readings have been above 9 percent for 10 straight months, driven up by bottlenecks affecting food distribution, weakness in the rupee and high oil prices.

“Primary responsibility of the country’s central bank is to tame inflation,” Rangarajan said. “Inflation remains way above what is considered as the comfort level of inflation.”

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Agencies

Written by FP Archives

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