 "Qatar condemns Iran missile strike, Arab leaders avoid backing Tehran")
Tehran seems to be becoming more and more isolated in the area as the ongoing conflict between Iran, the United States, and Israel intensifies.
The wider response from surrounding Arab countries indicates a reluctance to support the Islamic Republic, despite Iran’s daring missile assault on a US facility in Qatar.
Qatar intercepts Iranian missiles and condemns attack
In retaliation for the American and Israeli bombardment, Iran fired missiles at the Al Udeid Air Base in Qatar on Monday. However, Qatari forces intercepted the missiles and condemned the strike as a violation of national sovereignty.
Qatar’s statement made no mention of the United States, instead highlighting the breach of its territorial integrity.
Arab states cautious, quietly supportive of US strikes
While leaders across the Middle East voiced concerns over escalating conflict, most stopped short of condemning the American attacks on Iran’s nuclear infrastructure.
Statements from Turkey and Saudi Arabia merely expressed concern, while the United Arab Emirates and Qatar refrained from naming the United States in their remarks—marking a sharp contrast from their vocal criticism of Israel’s recent actions.
Hezbollah’s restraint reflects frustration with Iran
Lebanese militant group Hezbollah, historically a key Iranian proxy, has remained largely on the sidelines during this round of hostilities. Though a Sunday statement praised Iran’s resilience, it notably suggested Tehran would confront the latest aggression independently.
“[Iran is] capable of confronting this aggression and delivering a bitter defeat to the American and Zionist enemy,” Hezbollah said.
Iran’s influence eroding in Syria and Lebanon
Impact Shorts
View AllIran’s support of groups such as Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Assad regime in Syria has traditionally extended its regional power. However, Israel’s successful campaigns have destroyed much of this proxy infrastructure, and Assad’s regime was ousted last year by Ahmad al-Sharaa.
The new Syrian leader has since reached out to the Trump administration and expressed openness to reducing tensions with Israel, further signalling Iran’s waning influence in the region.
Arab leaders fear retaliation and regional spillover
Despite quiet satisfaction over Iran’s diminished capacity, Arab nations remain wary of becoming targets. Iran has a history of retaliatory strikes, including the 2019 Houthi drone attack on Saudi Aramco facilities and the ballistic missile attacks on US bases in Iraq following Qassem Soleimani’s killing.
Any Iranian strike on Gulf states could draw Washington deeper into conflict, as host nations may expect US military protection.
Regime change fears loom over the Gulf
A more aggressive US stance, such as pursuing regime change in Iran, could provoke anxiety among Gulf leaders, especially in nations with sizeable and restive Shia populations like Bahrain and Saudi Arabia.
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