Is Gaza deal Trump’s big diplomatic win? Wait till it does what it says

For President Donald Trump, a peace deal, or even a durable ceasefire, between Israel and Hamas could become the biggest diplomatic win of his presidency. However, the success of the deal would completely depend on whether it actually delivers on what it promises.

So far, the early signs are promising.

According to The Guardian report, both Israel and Hamas have agreed in principle to a US-brokered framework, marking the most meaningful progress since a fragile ceasefire broke down in March. The backing of Arab states and regional powers adds political weight to the effort, offering the best shot yet at halting a war that has killed nearly 68,000 people — most of them civilians.

However, the details of the deal are still murky, and the sequencing, particularly around hostages, troop withdrawals, and future governance of Gaza, is fraught with risk, added the report.

The first phase, as Trump outlined in a Truth Social post, involves the return of hostages in exchange for a limited Israeli military withdrawal. Even this is complicated by the difficulty of locating all hostages and verifying conditions on the ground, reported The Guardian.

“ALL of the Hostages will be released very soon, and Israel will withdraw their Troops to an agreed upon line as the first steps toward a Strong, Durable, and Everlasting Peace,” Trump posted on Truth Social.

Building on that promise, Trump later told Fox News that the US would also play a role in helping to rebuild Gaza and keep it peaceful.

“We’ll be involved in helping them make it successful, and helping it stay peaceful,” he said, just hours after announcing the deal.

Trump added he was “very confident there’ll be peace in the Middle East,” according to AFP.

But past experience shows such proclamations often get ahead of reality.

The White House’s 20-point plan aims to balance the immediate goal of a ceasefire with longer-term questions about Gaza’s future. But the most difficult issues — whether Hamas will disarm, how Israel defines its endgame, and what path, if any, exists toward Palestinian self-determination — remain unresolved.

And this isn’t the first attempt. The Trump administration previously rushed to broker an end to the war even before the inauguration. A hurried ceasefire in January quickly collapsed, undone by disagreements over the timing of hostage releases — a breakdown that still casts a shadow over the current effort.

His urgency is fueled by more than policy: with the Nobel Peace Prize announcement looming, sources say Trump is eager for a headline victory to rival that of Barack Obama.

Meanwhile, Hamas has urged Trump and other mediators to ensure Israel fully honors the agreement, warning that the offensive could resume once hostages are released.

“We will never abandon our people’s national rights,” The Guardian quoted the group as saying, hinting at its continued demand for Palestinian statehood, a goal rejected by Netanyahu and sidelined by Washington.

Netanyahu faces pressure at home. On Thursday, he pledged to bring the deal before his government and “bring all our dear hostages home.” But far-right ministers Bezalel Smotrich and Itamar Ben-Gvir have threatened to collapse the coalition if a ceasefire goes ahead.

Trump has tried to bulldoze through the resistance.

According to Axios, he snapped at Netanyahu: “I don’t know why you’re always so fucking negative … This is a win. Take it.” He also warned Hamas that “all hell” would break loose if the deal falls apart.

According to The Guardian, the US president is said to be planning to travel to the region this weekend for the signing of a deal. This is his moment, and it may require all of his personal brand and influence to prevent yet another breakdown of talks and a return to the fighting in what would be a diplomatic defeat for his administration.

With inputs from agencies