Vantage | Why India needs to do more to retain influence over Bhutan

In recent times, India has been closely monitoring the evolving relationship between Bhutan and China. Our neighbours are exploring various options and one significant move on the horizon is Bhutan’s potential border deal with China. As discussions progress, concerns have arisen about India’s involvement in these developments. The royal visit The King of Bhutan embarked on an extended visit to India, spanning from 3-10 November. This visit is not just symbolic but holds substantial significance for both nations. His journey included stops in Assam, New Delhi and Mumbai showcasing the warmth and strength of the diplomatic ties between the two countries. Strengthening bilateral relations During his visit, the Bhutanese King engaged in discussions with India’s top leadership including Foreign Minister S Jaishankar and Prime Minister Narendra Modi. Several projects were announced with one of the most crucial being the development of railway lines. These railway connections between Assam and Bhutan along with a proposed route from West Bengal, highlight the importance of connectivity for Bhutan. A substantial 82 per cent of Bhutan’s trade relies on India making these projects vital for the nation’s economic development. Bhutan also owes 68 per cent of its debt to New Delhi. Furthermore, India hinted at support for Bhutan’s flagship economic zone in Gelephu located on the Bhutan-Assam border. The plan involves the construction of an airport, which would boost economic activities and regional trade. Major irritant: Bhutan’s border settlement with China One significant issue causing concern is Bhutan’s ongoing border settlement talks with China. The 25th round of talks held in Beijing indicated a mutual desire for a quick resolution. This matter is an irritant due to the strategically important land at stake, especially the Doklam Plateau. The Doklam Plateau, a tri-junction between India, China and Bhutan, is of strategic importance. There is a fear that Bhutan might consider swapping parts of this plateau with China, which could have significant implications for the region’s stability. Political fallout Bhutan’s foreign policy has been traditionally aligned with India. Bhutan has refrained from establishing diplomatic relations with any permanent member of the United Nations Security Council. However, China’s interest in setting up an embassy in Bhutan has raised concerns about India’s influence waning. It appears that Bhutan is edging closer to China creating political complexities for India. This is not the first time Bhutan has caused apprehension in India. In April of the same year, Bhutan’s Prime Minister Lotay Tshering talked about settling the border with China leading to damage control efforts by the Bhutanese King in New Delhi. These developments indicate a precarious situation for India given its considerable influence in Bhutan. China has been actively courting India’s neighbouring countries including Sri Lanka, Nepal, Bangladesh and the Maldives. Bhutan’s increasing engagement with China follows this pattern, posing a challenge for India’s regional influence. While India faces challenges regarding Bhutan’s evolving relations with China, it is not yet a game over scenario. Instead of panicking, India should focus on re-evaluating its strategy to maintain its influence in Bhutan. Recent announcements regarding railway lines and economic zones are positive steps in this direction. With careful diplomacy and strategic development, India can contain China’s influence in the region and prevent Bhutan from falling into a potential debt trap. Views expressed in the above piece are personal and solely that of the author. They do not necessarily reflect Firstpost’s views. Read all the Latest News , Trending News , Cricket News , Bollywood News , India News and Entertainment News here. Follow us on Facebook, Twitter and Instagram.