Exit Poll 2024: Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana will vote for...

As the 7th phase of the 2024 Lok Sabha Elections comes to an end, it will be safe to say that the world’s largest democracy chose the administration that will rule the country for the next five years.

As the clock struck six, exit polls started to pour in with predictions of which alliance would win the intense race to the mighty Indian parliament.

The polls will also ponder on the questions of whether the Bhartiya Janta Party (BJP) will be able to cross its highly ambitious goal of going “400 paar” or INDI Alliance might take the ruling regime by surprise.

The Lok Sabha elections, which culminated on June 1 with the seventh phase, covered 543 constituencies spanning all the states and Union Territories.

The ruling NDA and Opposition alliance INDIA put up a tough fight during the polls with both BJP and Congress exuding confidence over their win in the Lok Sabha elections.

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One of the major regions where the fight between the different political wings will be strong is the south. Both parties will be looking for a strong fight here since southern states have never been a strong turf for the BJP.

As we approach June 4, here’s a look at what the exit polls say about the fate of parties in Tamil Nadu, Pondicherry, Kerala, Lakshadweep, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Telangana.

As per the News 18 exit poll, the various parties are expected to perform as following:

Tamil Nadu and Puducherry

Of the 40 Lok Sabha seats in Tamil Nadu and Puducherry, the INDIA bloc is expected to get 36-39 seats with the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) expected to get one to three seats, as per the News 18 exit poll.

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Of the 36-39 seats that the INDIA bloc is expected to get, the Congress is expected to get 8-11 seats.

A total of 40 seats will contribute to the parliament from the state of Tamil Nadu and the union territory of Pondicherry. In Tamil Nadu, DMK will face the main test this year. The election in the state featured a three-way race between the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA), the AIADMK, and the INDIA bloc, which includes the DMK, Congress, and other parties.

The state received a 69.72 per cent voter turnout. If we look at the 2019 polls, DMK won 24 seats, INC 8, Viduthalai Chiruthaigal Katchi 1, CPI(M) 2, CPI 2, IUML 1, and AIADMK 1.

Meanwhile, Puducherry recorded 78.57 per cent voter turnout. The UT offers one seat to the parliament and last year, the Indian National Congress won that one seat.

Kerala and Lakshadweep

Of the 21 seats in Kerala and Lakshadweep, the INDIA bloc is expected to get 15-18 seats, of which Congress is expected to get 8-11 seats, according to the News 18 exit poll.  

The BJP is expected to get one to three seats.

In the state of Kerala, the polls were held on 26 April 2024 to elect 20 members of the 18th Lok Sabha. In this year’s election, the voter turnout was 71.27 per cent. In the 2019 Lok Sabha elections, CPI(M) had won 1 seat, INC 15, Revolutionary Socialist Party 1, Kerala Congress (M) 1, and IUML 2.

In the Lakshadweep Islands, this year’s voter turnout reached 83.88 per cent for the one seat in the parliament. In the 2019 polls, NCP won the one seat, the island has to offer.

Karnataka

Of the 28 Lok Sabha seats in Karnataka, the BJP is expected to win 21-24 seats, according to the News 18 exit poll. The BJP-led NDA is expected to win a total of 24-26 seats.

The Congress is expected to win three to seven seats in the state, as per the News 18 exit poll.

The polls in Karnataka were significant with with the state recording the state’s highest-ever voter turnout for a general election at 69.9 per cent in comparison to the last two elections in 2019 and 2014. The elections in the southern state were held in two phases on April 26 and May 7, with 28 seats.

In the 2019 polls in Karnataka, BJP won 25 seats, INC 1, JD(S) 1, and IND 1.

Andhra Pradesh

Of the 25 Lok Sabha seats in Andhra Pradesh, the BJP is projected to win four to six seats whereas the NDA is expected to win 19-22 seats, according to the News 18 exit poll.

The YSRCP is expected to win five to eight seats.

The elections in the state of Andhra Pradesh were held on 13 May 2024 to elect 25 members of the 18th Lok Sabha. This year the state witnessed an 80.66 per cent voter turnout. If we look at last year’s results, YSRCP had won 22 seats, and TDP won 3 seats in the state.

Telangana

Of the 17 seats, the BJP is expected to win 7-10 seats and the Congress five to eight, according to News 18 exit poll.

The BRS and AIMIM are also expected to win three to five seats between themselves.

Telangana went to the polls for the Lok Sabha Elections on May 13. In this year’s polls, the state recorded 66.30 per cent turnout. In the last Lok Sabha elections in 2019, BJP won 4 seats, INC 3, TRS 9, and AIMIM 1, to formulate the 17 members of the parliament.

India awaits the result

It is important to know that while different pollsters will attempt to predict the results of this year’s election, the actual result of the 2024 Lok Sabha Elections will be released on June 4.