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Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Updates: NDA likely to retain power in Bihar with sweeping majority, poll of polls predicts; MGB trails far behind

FP News Desk • November 11, 2025, 22:08:45 IST

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: Bihar’s 2025 Assembly election reached a key stage on Tuesday as the second and final phase of voting concluded across 122 constituencies in 20 districts. Voters wrapped up a high-stakes campaign marked by intense rallies, sharp political messaging, and strong turnout, with attention now shifting to exit polls and the November 14 results.

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Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Updates: NDA likely to retain power in Bihar with sweeping majority, poll of polls predicts; MGB trails far behind
The second phase of voting for the Bihar Assembly election began at 7 am today. (ANI)

The Bihar Assembly Election 2025 has reached its decisive stage. With the second and final phase of voting now complete, attention turns to the exit polls, offering the first snapshot of voter sentiment. Early projections from Matrize, People’s Insight, Dainik Bhaskar, and Peoples Pulse suggest a strong showing for the ruling NDA, while Prashant Kishore’s Jan Suraaj, contesting its first Bihar election, may find it difficult to open its account. Note: Exit polls are projections and may not reflect the official results. After weeks of intense campaigning, voters turned out in large numbers for both phases. The first phase on November 6 recorded a turnout of 65.08 per cent, while the second phase on November 11 saw participation rise to 67.14 per cent by 5 pm. The key question now: which party’s message resonated most with Bihar’s electorate?

Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: All exit polls indicate NDA sweeping win, Jan Suraaj struggles to make an impact

November 11, 2025, 20:47:12 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Update: Exit polls predict sweeping victory for NDA, Mahagathbandhan trails far behind

Exit polls released on Tuesday projected a decisive win for the Nitish Kumar-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the Bihar Assembly elections, which witnessed high voter turnout across both phases on November 6 and 11. The surveys indicated that the ruling alliance is poised to comfortably retain power, while the opposition Mahagathbandhan is expected to fall well short of a majority.
Despite early claims of a breakthrough, Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj party is likely to make only a marginal impact, with most surveys giving it single-digit figures.

According to the People’s Pulse survey, the NDA is projected to win 133–159 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan may secure 75–101. Jan Suraaj is estimated to get 0–5, and others 2–8. People’s Insight forecasted 133–148 seats for the NDA, 87–102 for the Mahagathbandhan, 0–2 for Jan Suraaj, and 3–6 for independents. JVC predicted 135–150 for the NDA and 88–103 for the Mahagathbandhan, while DVC Research gave the NDA 137–152 seats against the Mahagathbandhan’s 83–98.

A poll of polls estimated around 148 seats for the NDA and 88 for the Mahagathbandhan, with others bagging roughly seven. Dainik Bhaskar projected 145–160 seats for the NDA and 73–91 for the opposition bloc, aligning closely with other major surveys such as Matrize and People’s Insight.

Following the exit poll projections, the BJP expressed strong confidence in a “massive majority” for the NDA, citing what it described as a “one-sided wave” in favour of the ruling alliance. With the counting of votes ahead, the opposition appears to be facing a significant setback, while the NDA looks set for another term in power.

November 11, 2025, 20:20:26 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Update: NDA set to retain power in Bihar, predict DV Research and TIF Research exit polls

According to exit polls by DV Research and TIF Research, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is projected to return to power in Bihar with a comfortable majority.

DV Research projections:

NDA: 137–152
MGB: 83–98
JSP: 2–4
Others: 1–8

TIF Research projections:

NDA: 145–163
MGB: 76–95
JSP: 0
Others: 3–6

November 11, 2025, 20:07:13 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Update: Chanakya Strategies exit poll predicts NDA win with 130–138 seats

According to exit polls by Chanakya Strategies, the NDA is projected to secure 130–138 seats in the Bihar Assembly elections 2025, while the Mahagathbandhan (MGB) is expected to win 100–108. Other parties may capture 3–5 seats, whereas Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party is unlikely to open its account.
November 11, 2025, 20:04:01 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Update: Party-wise forecast by News18 Mega Exit Poll

NDA

BJP: 55–65

JD(U): 60–70

HAMS: 0–5

LJP (Ram Vilas): 10–15

RLM: 0–5

Mahagathbandhan

RJD: 50–60

INC: 15–20

CPI(ML)(L): 10–15

CPI: 0–5

CPM: 0–5

VSIP: 0–5

IIP: 0

Jan Suraaj Party: 0–5
Others: 5–10

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November 11, 2025, 19:56:12 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Update: Rahul Gandhi has completely flopped, says BJP

Reacting to the Bihar election exit polls, BJP national spokesperson Syed Shahnawaz Hussain said, “The long queues of voters showed that the NDA will form the government. Exit polls also indicate that the NDA will return. People have voted for PM Modi, CM Nitish Kumar, and development… Rahul Gandhi has completely flopped.”
November 11, 2025, 19:52:48 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Updates: JD(U) projected to emerge as single largest party in Bihar, BJP a close second

The News18 Mega Exit Poll predicts that JD(U) will lead the Bihar Assembly race with 60–70 seats, followed closely by the BJP with 55–65 seats. In the Mahagathbandhan camp, the RJD is expected to secure 50–60 seats, while the Congress may finish with 15–20.

If these projections hold true, JD(U) is set for a major rebound from its 2020 tally of 43 seats, emerging as the single largest party in the state.

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November 11, 2025, 19:51:49 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Updates: News18 Mega Exit Poll predicts clear NDA victory with 140–150 seats

The News18 Mega Exit Poll for the Bihar Assembly elections forecasts a decisive win for the NDA, led by JD(U) and BJP, with 140–150 seats. The Mahagathbandhan is expected to fall short of its 2020 performance, likely securing 85–95 seats, while Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party may win 0–5 seats.
November 11, 2025, 19:46:26 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Updates: Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj may secure 0–5 seats in Bihar polls

Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party, contesting its first Bihar Assembly election, is projected to make a limited impact, with exit polls suggesting it could win between 0 and 5 seats in the 243-member Assembly.
November 11, 2025, 19:45:25 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Updates: Exit polls are not accurate, says Congress

Reacting to the Bihar exit polls, Congress MP Tariq Anwar told ANI, “Exit polls are not accurate. They are only a speculation. It indicates what might happen. It would not be right to think that they are accurate.”
November 11, 2025, 19:37:14 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Updates: P-Marq exit poll projects NDA clear majority in Bihar

The PMARQ exit poll predicts a comfortable victory for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) in the Bihar Assembly elections, with 142–162 seats. The Mahagathbandhan (MGB), led by Tejashwi Yadav, is expected to lag behind with 80–90 seats, while Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party may win 1–7 seats.
November 11, 2025, 19:28:27 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Updates: Prashant Kishor’s Bihar debut may fall short

Touted as a potential game-changer in the Bihar elections, Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraaj Party (JSP) appears unlikely to secure any of the 118 seats it contested in the first phase, according to the News18 Mega Exit Poll.
November 11, 2025, 19:25:30 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Updates: Opinion polls signal NDA return in Bihar, Mahagathbandhan likely to fall short

Opinion polls ahead of the 2025 Bihar Assembly elections indicate a strong comeback for the National Democratic Alliance (NDA), with projections suggesting a clear majority of 130–160 seats. The RJD-led Mahagathbandhan, despite campaigning on promises of change and development, is expected to win only 70–100 seats.

According to the People’s Pulse survey, the NDA could secure 133–159 seats, while the Mahagathbandhan may get 75–101. The Jan Suraaj Party, led by Prashant Kishor and contesting its first Bihar election, is projected to win 0–5 seats, with other parties taking 2–8.

Dainik Bhaskar’s poll also shows the NDA comfortably ahead with 145–160 seats, the Mahagathbandhan trailing at 73–91, and others capturing up to 10. Similarly, DVC Research projects 137–152 seats for the NDA, 83–98 for the Mahagathbandhan, and 2–4 for Jan Suraaj.

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November 11, 2025, 19:16:32 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Updates: Times of India exit polls project NDA 147–167 seats in Bihar

As per the Times of India exit polls, the NDA is expected to win 147–167 seats out of 243 in the Bihar Assembly. The Mahagathbandhan is projected to secure 70–90 seats, while other parties may get 2–6 seats.
November 11, 2025, 19:11:31 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Updates: JVC projects NDA clean sweep in exit polls

Exit polls by JVC suggest that the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is set to retain power in Bihar, winning 135–150 seats in the 243-member Assembly.

The projections for other parties are:

  • NDA: 135–150
  • INDIA: 88–103
  • Jan Suraaj Party (JSP): 0–1
  • Others: 3–6
November 11, 2025, 19:06:58 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Updates: NDA leads ABP exit polls, set to retain power in Bihar

According to ABP’s exit poll, the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) is projected to win 133–148 seats in the Bihar Assembly elections. The Mahagathbandhan (MGB) is expected to secure 87–102 seats, while other parties may capture 3–5 seats.
November 11, 2025, 18:57:30 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls Live Updates: Peoples Pulse exit polls 2025 show NDA in decisive lead

Peoples Pulse Exit Poll 2025 projects a clear lead for the NDA in Bihar, with 46.2 per cent of the vote and 133–159 seats. The Mahagathbandhan (MGB) trails with 37.9 per cent of the vote and an estimated 75–101 seats. The Jan Suraaj Party, despite securing 9.7 per cent of votes, is expected to win only 0–5 seats.
November 11, 2025, 18:53:38 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Poll 2025 Live: Dainik Bhaskar exit poll predicts NDA lead in Bihar

Dainik Bhaskar’s exit poll projected that the National Democratic Alliance (NDA) might win 145-160 seats in the Bihar Assembly elections. The Mahagathbandhan (MGB) is expected to get 73-91 seats, while other parties and independents may secure 5-10 seats.
November 11, 2025, 18:51:49 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Poll 2025 Live: Matrize exit poll predicts NDA clean sweep

According to Matrize exit poll, the NDA is projected to win 147-167 seats in the Bihar Assembly elections. The Mahagathbandhan (MGB) may get 70-90 seats, while the Jan Suraaj Party is expected to win 0-2 seats.
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November 11, 2025, 18:42:44 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: News18 predicts NDA lead in phase 1, Mahagathbandhan trails

According to the News18 Mega Exit Poll 2025, the NDA is projected to lead in the first phase of the Bihar elections, winning 60-70 seats. The Mahagathbandhan is expected to secure 45-55 seats, while the Jan Suraaj Party is not predicted to make an impact.

Phase 1 seat projections:

  • NDA: 60-70
  • Mahagathbandhan: 45-55
  • JSP: 0
  • Others: 0
  • Total: 121
November 11, 2025, 18:38:47 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: How many seats did major parties win in the 2015 Bihar elections?

In the 2015 Bihar Assembly elections, the Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) became the largest party, securing 80 seats. However, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) led in vote share, garnering around 24.42% of the total votes, according to Election Commission data.

Seats won by party:

RJD – 80

JD(U) – 71

BJP – 53

INC – 27

Independents – 4

November 11, 2025, 18:27:33 (IST)
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Bihar Exit Polls 2025 Live Updates: What time will Bihar Exit Poll Results 2025 be released?

All exit polls for the Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 will be published at 6:30 pm on Tuesday, November 11, as directed by the Election Commission of India (ECI). The poll body had prohibited the release of exit poll results between 7 am during the first phase (November 6) and 6:30 pm for the second phase.

Bihar’s fiercely contested 2025 Assembly election reached a crucial stage on Tuesday, November 11, as the second and final phase of voting concluded. Voters across 122 constituencies in 20 districts, including key seats in Gaya, Nawada, Jamui, Bhagalpur, and Purnia, cast their ballots, wrapping up a campaign marked by intense rallies, sharp political messaging, and heavy turnout in several areas.

Polling ended at 5 pm, and attention now turns to exit polls, which will provide the first indication of voter sentiment in this tightly fought election. The Bihar Exit Poll 2025 results will be streamed live on CCN-News18, featuring seat projections, vote-share trends, and analysis from ground reporters and political experts.

When will results be declared?

Counting for all 243 Assembly seats will take place on November 14. Until then, exit polls remain the primary gauge of which alliance may have the upper hand.

Parties in the fray

The NDA is seeking to continue its rule in Bihar, while the RJD, supported by the Congress, aims to break JD(U) leader Nitish Kumar’s two-decade-long tenure as Chief Minister. In 2015, the RJD had allied with JD(U) to win the elections, but the alliance soon broke. RJD leader Tejashwi Yadav is now trying to overcome the party’s electoral jinx. Key candidates include veteran JD(U) leader Bijendra Prasad Yadav, seeking an unprecedented eighth term from Supaul.

Exit polls and their track record

Exit polls, conducted immediately after voting ends, have historically been a mixed guide. In the 2020 Bihar elections, most exit polls predicted a win for Tejashwi Yadav or a tight contest, but the final results differed. The Nitish Kumar-led NDA retained power, with the RJD emerging as the single largest party with 75 seats and the BJP winning 74. The NDA secured 125 seats, just above the majority mark of 122, while the Mahagathbandhan ended with 110 seats.

As Bihar completes its second phase of polling, all eyes are now on the exit polls and the results on November 14, which will decide the state’s political future.

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