Associate Partner

WEF 2018: Economy turning around, GDP to clock 7% in second half, says Chandra Kochhar

Davos: The Indian economy is seeing broad-based improvement across all sectors and should clock 7 percent growth in the second half of the current fiscal, top banker Chanda Kochhar said on Monday.

Here to participate in the World Economic Forum's (WEF) annual meeting, to be addressed by Prime Minister Narendra Modi and other world leaders, the ICICI Bank chief said the full fiscal GDP growth for 2017-18 should also be in excess of 6.5 percent.

Asked about her message to the world at Davos, Kochhar told PTI in an interview that things are turning around very clearly and there are broad improvements across several sectors.

 WEF 2018: Economy turning around, GDP to clock 7% in second half, says Chandra Kochhar

ICICI Bank chief Chanda Kochhar. Firstpost image.

Brushing aside any concerns about slowing growth rate, she said the CSO has estimated 6.5 percent GDP growth and 6.1 percent gross value add (GVA) growth in the current financial year ending 31 March.

"Given that GDP growth in the first half was 6 percent, this estimate already indicates a robust positive momentum in growth to 7 percent in the second half of the (financial) year. High frequency indicators are already showing signs of improvement," she said.

"For consumption related areas, a favourable trend is visible in IIP data on consumer non-durables, personal loan growth, domestic passenger traffic, automobile sales and two wheeler sales," she added.

On the industrial front, manufacturing PMI, credit to industry and manufacturing sector IIP have shown marked improvement in recent months, Kochhar said.

On the external front, trade growth is higher compared to last year and India's forex reserves build-up now provides a robust import cover for over 12 months, she said.

"We are even more optimistic and expect growth to be higher than 6.5 percent in 2017-18. This will be supported by renewed build-up of supply chains, improved consumption demand and better export performance. We expect growth on GVA basis to be at 6.4 percent which is higher than what the CSO currently expects," she said.

On India's message to Davos leaders, Kochhar said, "We can confidently say that growth is expected to pick up from here on".

The eminent banker also said that in the last four years, India has taken a comprehensive approach and worked on multiple fronts, including economic, social and institutional reforms that will yield dividends in the long run and ensure a sustainable high growth path.

Further, reforms have accelerated the process of formalisation of the economy and India is transforming and is in a strong position to become the fastest growing large
economy in the world, she added.

The Great Diwali Discount!
Unlock 75% more savings this festive season. Get Moneycontrol Pro for a year for Rs 289 only.
Coupon code: DIWALI. Offer valid till 10th November, 2019 .

Updated Date: Jan 22, 2018 13:10:33 IST