What are the challenges Kamala Harris might face in the 2024 election?

Kamala Harris’s 2024 presidential campaign faces a distinct set of challenges that stem from the Biden administration’s low approval ratings, the complexities of her unique identity, and potential resistance from her opponents.

Here are the primary obstacles she must navigate:

Low approval of the Biden administration: President Biden’s approval rating currently stands at 43 per cent, and only 25 per cent of Americans believe his policies are beneficial for their families, according to a recent NBC poll.

This low approval makes it difficult for Harris to campaign on continuity, unlike previous vice presidents who benefited from highly popular administrations. Without strong support for Biden’s record, Harris may find it challenging to present the administration’s policies as positive.

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Difficulty in differentiating herself: Unlike past vice presidents who ran for president and found specific issues to break from the administration when necessary, Harris faces a delicate balancing act.

Aligning too closely with Biden’s policies could alienate disillusioned voters, but differentiating herself could risk fragmenting Democratic support. Without a central, defining issue to set her apart, Harris may struggle to connect with voters looking for change or new ideas.

Loss of support among key voter groups: Harris’s support among Arab American and Muslim voters has weakened due to frustration with the administration’s stance on Middle East issues, particularly its backing of Israel’s actions in Gaza and Lebanon.

This discontent could erode her base in swing states like Michigan, where polls indicate her support among Arab Americans is nearly on par with Donald Trump’s. Regaining trust with these voters will be essential for success in these critical regions.

Biases related to gender and racial identity: As the first Black, South Asian, and female vice-presidential candidate, Harris’s candidacy is both historic and challenging. She faces heightened expectations to represent minority communities, which can be difficult to satisfy across diverse interests.

Moreover, some voter demographics, particularly in conservative areas, may hold biases against electing a woman of colour, another obstacle in gaining widespread traction.

Potential election result challenges: A Harris victory may encounter resistance from Trump and his supporters, who, in the 2020 election, spread claims of election fraud. The potential for renewed false narratives could lead to confusion and erode public trust in the election process, especially if the race is close. This scenario underscores the importance of securing a clear and widely accepted outcome.