India’s ambition to become a $5 trillion economy by 2028 has hit a speed bump. According to the IMF, the goal will now be achieved in 2029. U.S. tariffs—currently at 50% on some Indian exports are impacting labour-intensive sectors like textiles and jewellery are already seeing export declines, and last month, the trade deficit hit a record high. India disputes the IMF’s timeline, calling it “conservative,” and says a trade deal with the U.S. is within reach. Despite the setback, India remains the world’s fastest-growing major economy, supported by reforms, digital infrastructure, and macroeconomic resilience. But risks like a weakening rupee and global shocks persist.
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