Crystal Ball

Crystal Ball News

CPI down, IIP up: But it's still too soon to bring out the bubbly
Economy

CPI down, IIP up: But it's still too soon to bring out the bubbly

The welcome dip in consumer inflation in May is cause for some cheer, but it does not mean inflation is going to continue going down. So don't count of the RBI cutting rates anytime soon

CPI refuses to budge: Why whiff of stagflation is not going away yet
Economy

CPI refuses to budge: Why whiff of stagflation is not going away yet

Consumer inflation is not falling as fast as wholesale prices even as a weaker rupee pushes up imported inflation. It's not good news

Bad news for UPA: Economic uptick unlikely before 2014
Economy

Bad news for UPA: Economic uptick unlikely before 2014

The signals from various parts of the economy are still not positive for growth to revive any time soon. It won't come soon enough for the UPA to benefit from it

GDP estimates: Why it's now looking worse than astrology
Economy

GDP estimates: Why it's now looking worse than astrology

The National Stats Commission chief thinks growth was much higher last year. The FM will be hoping he is wrong, because higher growth in 2012-13 may mean less this year

With mai-baap sarkar, 8-9% GDP growth is a pipedream
Economy

With mai-baap sarkar, 8-9% GDP growth is a pipedream

GDP growth of 8-9 percent is not India's birthright. If we want to grow faster, we have to give up the idea of expanding government into every area of life

Huff, puff, India will finally be a $2 trillion economy this year
Economy

Huff, puff, India will finally be a $2 trillion economy this year

India will finally be a $2 trillion economy this year, but getting back to 8-9 percent growth and becoming a middle income country needs faster reforms

That sinking feeling: No sign of green shoots of revival
Economy

That sinking feeling: No sign of green shoots of revival

UPA arrived on the scene with growth at twice the rate of inflation. In its last year, we are seeing the opposite - growth at half the rate of inflation

Why falling car sales is bad news for almost everybody
Business

Why falling car sales is bad news for almost everybody

When car sales crash, the impact goes far beyond the auto industry. It is a sign of sinking consumer confidence in the economic future

Why predictions make asses out of all of us
Economy

Why predictions make asses out of all of us

Why does the dollar fly even when the US govt is overloaded with debt? Why does the Sensex struggle to give positive returns? A mea culpa and an explanation on why predictions go wrong

Revisiting Sensex 60,000: Why India is back in the game
Economy

Revisiting Sensex 60,000: Why India is back in the game

Thanks to greater mismanagement by US and Europe, India is looking much better. We could now get back into the game despite our no-show last year

Can we do a China? Hah! 5% is 'new normal' for GDP growth
Economy

Can we do a China? Hah! 5% is 'new normal' for GDP growth

India should be lucky to average more than a 5 percent growth in the current decade. And this is an optimistic estimate

Japan disease is spreading: High risk and low returns
Economy

Japan disease is spreading: High risk and low returns

Japan had 20 years of almost no growth. The west seems to be heading that way with consumers deleveraging and growth slowing down

Growth illusion: Why we should look at 5-6%, not 8-9%
Economy

Growth illusion: Why we should look at 5-6%, not 8-9%

India is headed back to the stone age of 5-6 percent growth. We need reforms, but even if they happen, don't expect a pick-up in the short run

Investors, the bumpy ride to Sensex 60,000 begins this year
Investing

Investors, the bumpy ride to Sensex 60,000 begins this year

2012 is when the stock market should start bottoming out. This is the time for investors to start taking risks and invest in equity.

Market prognosis: Down first, and then only up and up
Investing

Market prognosis: Down first, and then only up and up

The short-term outlook for the market does not look good, but over the next few years the market has nowhere to go but up.

Advantage India: Why our markets will outperform the West
Business

Advantage India: Why our markets will outperform the West

Despite our economic slowdown, the big advantage India has over slow-growing US, European and Japanese economies is that we still have policy options to stimulate growth. They don't.

Markets: When all signs are negative, there's still hope
Economy

Markets: When all signs are negative, there's still hope

The western world is fighting recession, while India and China are battling inflation and other demons. In this climate, markets will remain volatile. But we can also expect positive changes to emerge from this crisis.

Jhunjhunwala's timeframe for markets is four years
Business

Jhunjhunwala's timeframe for markets is four years

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala says this is not the time to go looking for stock bargains. There will be many opportunities coming your way. But the world's problems will sort themselves out over a maximum of four years.

It's over for dollar and euro; get ready for Sensex 60000
Economy

It's over for dollar and euro; get ready for Sensex 60000

Friday marked the beginning of the end of the dollar era. The euro is not in any better shape. This means once the short-term shock of this realisation is digested, China and India will be the flavour of the decade for fund managers. Belt up for the turbulent ride.

Where not to look for the next stock market rally
Investing

Where not to look for the next stock market rally

Commodities, real estate and infrastructure will remain growth sectors, but these may not be the sectors to produce the next big market rally. Technology stocks that are driven by strong user preferences may be the future leaders, but not the only ones