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Gujarat Assembly Election Results 2017 highlights: Lotus blooms in two states but rural-urban divide writ large in Modi's home state

A prestige battle for Prime Minister Narendra Modi and a litmus test for new Congress president Rahul Gandhi in Gujarat today as counting of votes is set to begin shortly.

FP Politics December 18, 2017 20:08:21 IST
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Gujarat Assembly Election Results 2017 highlights: Lotus blooms in two states but rural-urban divide writ large in Modi's home state

Highlights

17:30 (ist)

BJP's win due to 'vikas' and 'vishwas': Devendra Fadnavis

"The BJP came up with the politics of vishwas (trust) and vikas (development) for Gujarat and people responded to it positively. The Opposition tried to spread wrong messages against us, but we prevailed because of the leadership of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and national president Amit Shah," Maharashtra chief minister Devendra Fadnavis said, as quoted by NDTV.

Fadnavis was addressing the media outside the Maharashtra legislative Assembly on Monday, as results from Gujarat started trickling in. "It was the common man's trust that Modi can bring peace and prosperity. It is very important that even after 22 years, a party gets almost 50 percent votes of the people and retains power... It is very significant," he said.

12:02 (ist)

Whatever the results, the real winners are Rahul Gandhi and Congress: Ashok Gehlot

"The BJP fought elections on emotional issues. Prime Minister Narendra Modi told voters that he is the son of Gujarat. His prestige is at stake," Congress's Gujarat in-charge Ashok Gehlot said. "But the Congress did a real election campaign and talked about the issues related to farmers, Dalits, tribals and traders. We formalized our manifesto for the people of Gujarat after talking to them," he further added.


Asked if the Congress win or loss in Gujarat would be credited to new party president Rahul Gandhi, Gehlot said it was a hypothetical question. "Let's not talk hypothetically. Whatever the election results, the Congress and Rahul Gandhi are the real winners."

09:41 (ist)

Sensex down by 600 points as markets take a hit ahead of verdict

Ahead of the impending results of the Gujarat Assembly election — held in two phases on 9 and 14 December, the markets and Sensex in particular, have already taken a hit.

The stock markets appear disappointed with the latest trends coming from Gujarat. Punters were betting on a clear, huge BJP win but with the Congress putting up a tough fight against the incumbent, sheer nervousness has gripped the bourses. The benchmark Sensex tanked 800 points in the intrad-day market before recovering later. This is largely a kneejerk reaction and things could return to normalcy if the BJP pulls off a victory at the end of the day.

08:00 (ist)

Gujarat traders were badly hit by GST, note ban

As Hindustan Times pointed out, small and medium-scale businessmen and traders, who form the core of the BJP support base, have been hit by what they call implementation glitches in the roll out of the Goods and Services Tax (GST).

Textile traders in the state want a roll back of the GST on cloth. According to the Times Now-VMRopinion poll, about 40 percent respondents felt quality of life has worsened after the implementation of GST and demonetisation.

07:48 (ist)

Patidar and Dalit anger was a major challenge for the BJP

One of the issues that rattled the state and forced former state chief minister Anandiben Patel to resign was the protest for reservation for Patels in jobs and educational institutions. Party leaders were not allowed to hold public rallies and they were barred from many Patel-dominated areas in a show of increasing irritation with the saffron party.

07:25 (ist)

List of key constituencies to watch closely

The final results of the Gujarat Assembly polls, which were being as a prestige battle between Prime Minister Narendra Modi and newly-appointed Congress president Rahul Gandhi, will be announced in just a few more hours.

Firtspost collated a list of constituencies that grabbed attention either for the riveting contest fought on them, or were merely important for either of the two parties in the ego tussle, which was synonymous with the Gujarat polls.

Viramgam: The contest here will be watched closely plainly because it is the home constituency of the other two young leaders, who have been making headlines. Patidar agitation leader Hardik Patel and OBC leader Alpesh Thakor (who recently joined Congress), both are registered voters in Viramgam constituency.

Sabarmati: An urban seat, this is the home constituency of Modi, who cast his ballot after waiting in a queue at a polling booth in a school in Sabarmati constituency, amid chants of "Modi, Modi." 

Naranpura: This was the former constituency of BJP president Amit Shah, who is largely seen as the architect of party's election strategy.

Dariyapur: The Muslim-dominated Dariyapur seat is currently held by Congress MLA Gyasuddin Shaikh, who also enjoys support of some Hindu voters for having an image of being a "progressive" leader. 

Maninagar: This seat is important for the BJP as it has remained the party's bastion since 1990 and was also the constituency of Narendra Modi before he became the prime minister.

Ghatlodia: Another high-profile seat in Ahmedabad, Ghatlodia was once represented by former chief minister Anandiben Patel.

07:12 (ist)

Despite losing the state, the Congress party is predicted to increase its seat share in the state

The India Today-MY AXIS exit poll predicted that the BJP would get between 99-113 seats and the Congress would fetch between 68-82 seats. The NewsNation-BARC exit poll predicted BJP nabbing between 109 and the Congress getting between 70 seats.

Though Today's Chankya exit poll also predicted gains for both BJP and Congress. While it predicted a gain of 15 seats for BJP over its existing tally of 120 seats in Gujarat Assembly, it predicted just 47 seats for Congress (a gain of four seats from its current tally). According to CNN-News 18, Today’s Chanakya was the only pollster to get the 2014 projection correct.

07:11 (ist)

What the exit polls predicted

Ahead of the final result, the exit polls had predicted that the saffron party will get well over 100 seats in the 182-seat state Assembly. The halfway mark is 92 in the Gujarat Assembly.

Similar to Himachal Pradesh, Congress refused to accept the predictions for Gujarat polls as well.

While BJP will fall short of party chief Amit Shah's 150-mark, it will win enough to hold the state for another term at the very least. The BJP currently holds 120 seats and Congress 43 seats in the Gujarat Assembly.

According to the Times Now-VMR exit poll, BJP was predicted to nab 113 seats in the 182-seat Gujarat Assembly, while Congress was predicted to win 66 seats. The ABP-CSDS exit poll predicted similar results with the BJP nabbing 117 seats and Congress winning 64 seats. According to The Republic-CVoter exit poll, the BJP was predicted to win 115 seats and the Congress 74 seats. The Sahara Samay-CNX exit poll predicted that BJP would win between 110-120 seats and the Congress 65-75 seats.

LIVE NEWS and UPDATES

Dec 18, 2017 - 22:02 (IST)

Final tally in Gujarat polls

Dec 18, 2017 - 20:38 (IST)

Lotus blooms in 19 states after Gujarat, Himachal results

Dec 18, 2017 - 20:15 (IST)

In photos: Celebrations at BJP HQ

Dec 18, 2017 - 20:14 (IST)

In electing BJP, Gujarat has yet again embraced development politics: Modi

Dec 18, 2017 - 20:14 (IST)

Modi tweets after BJP parliamentary board meeting, says its an honour to serve Gujarat

"The victory in Gujarat is special. Starting from 1989, people of Gujarat have been blessing BJP in every Lok Sabha and Vidhan Sabha election. It is an honour to be serving Gujarat for so many years. We will continue to work for Gujarat’s growth," Modi said. 

Dec 18, 2017 - 20:09 (IST)

Here's how the parties have performed in Gujarat over the years

Dec 18, 2017 - 19:54 (IST)

BJP to send observers to Himachal, Gujarat to decide on CM pick

Speaking to press after the BJP Parliamentary meet, Union Health Minister JP Nadda said that the party will send Arun Jaitley and Saroj Pandey as observers to Gujarat. Similarly, Nirmala Sitharaman and Narendra Tomar will go to Himachal Pradesh to discuss about the leadership with party workers there. 

Dec 18, 2017 - 19:47 (IST)

BJP won Gujarat but the party has lost some of its sheen in rural Gujarat

The BJP's performance in the rural vs urban areas is in stark contrasts. According to a break up given out by CNN-News 18, out of the 98 rural seats, Congress has either won, or is leading in 56 seats in rural areas. The BJP on the other hand could get only 39 seats, eight less from 2012. 

While the BJP could improve its tally in North and Central Gujarat, the Congress' gains almost entirely seems to be coming from the rural Gujarat belt. A BJP leader, requesting anonymity, blames “caste combinations, Patel resentment, and farm distress” for the Congress' performance, according to Livemint.

It is interesting to point out that the Congress party and leaders like Hardik Patel, Jignesh Mevani and Alpesh Thakor had been punching holes in the states much touted development model, alleging that the 'vikas' has been absent in the rural regions. 

Dec 18, 2017 - 19:21 (IST)

​How accurate were the exit poll predictions?

Dec 18, 2017 - 19:11 (IST)

BJP's parliamentary board meeting begins, party to formally decide on CM face in Gujarat, Himachal

 

 

Congress leaders are busy giving a positive spin to the loss in Gujarat, say the party has improved its tally under Rahul Gandhi’s leadership. While Kamal Nath pointed out that Gujarat is a BJP bastion and Shashi Tharoor appreciated the fact that the "journey" had been good, Renuka Chowdary hailed Gandhi for his "brilliant intervention".

Chief Minister Vijay Rupani won from Rajkot West, while deputy chief minister Nitin Patel is leading in Mehsana. Dalit leader Jignesh Mevani won his maiden election from Vadgam constituency and Alpesh Thakor won from Radhanpur.

In 2012, the BJP won 119 seats in the 182-member Assembly, while the Congress won 57.

Modi led the campaign for the BJP, while Rahul Gandhi was the pivot of the Congress' electioneering.

During the campaign, Modi and BJP chief Amit Shah trained guns on the Congress on issues like Ram Temple, alleged Pakistani interference in the Gujarat polls and (suspended Congress leader) Mani Shankar Aiyar's remarks.

Gandhi persistently attacked Modi and the BJP for "not talking about the future of Gujarat" and skipping key issues being faced by the people of the state.

Gujarat Assembly Election Results 2017 highlights Lotus blooms in two states but ruralurban divide writ large in Modis home state

Prime Minister Narendra Modi with voters in Ranip in Ahmedabad. PTI

The Congress also stitched about a broad social coalition with prominent Patidar, OBC, and Dalit leaders - Hardik Patel, Alpesh Thakor and Jigesh Mevani - in its bid to unseat the BJP in power for over two decades.

Patel led a long agitation of his community for reservation, while Thakor led an counter protest against inclusion of Patidars in the OBC reservation list. Mevani raised his voice against Dalit atrocities.

The influential Patidar community, which accounts for around 12 per cent of the state's population, could prove to be the 'X factor' in the polls in which Patel pledged support to the Congress and appealed to people to "uproot the BJP" this time.

As the campaign was nearing its end, "Vikas" (development) took a back seat, and caste and religious issues received prominence.

The two main rival parties also tried to counter each other on social media, as the Congress and its supporters launched the campaign "Vikas Gando Thayo Che" (development has gone crazy), while the BJP launched a counter drive of "I am development, I am Gujarat".

An average 68.41 per cent polling was recorded in the two-phase Assembly elections in Gujarat.

According to the final figures released by the Election Commission, the voter turnout in the second phase of balloting on December 14, for 93 seats of North and Central Gujarat, stood at 69.99 per cent.

In the first phase of polls held on December 9 for 89 seats in Saurasthra, Kutch and South Gujarat, 66.75 percent voting was recorded.

The total voter turnout this time has seen a dip of 2.91 percent, as compared to the 2012 polls when 71.32 percent polling was registered.

In terms of numbers, of the total 4.35 crore registered voters, 2.97 crore exercised their right to franchise in the elections held on 9 and 14 December.

According to the EC data, the tribal-dominated Narmada district witnessed the highest voter turnout of 79.15 per cent, while Devbhumi-Dwarka of Saurashtra region recorded the lowest at 59.39 per cent.

The districts which recorded a high turnout are — Tapi (78.56 percent), Banaskantha (75.15) and Sabarkantha (74.97). The districts which saw a low turnout are — Amreli (61.29), Bhavnagar (61.56) and Porbandar (61.86).

Out of the total 33 districts, 15 recorded over 70 per cent polling, while 17 others clocked between 60 per cent and 70 per cent.

Only Devbhumi Dwarka district registered polling below 60 per cent.

Updated Date:

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