Despite the tough fight put up by Congress and the sentiment of anti-incumbency prevailing in Gujarat, BJP still seems strong in Prime Minister Narendra Modi's home state. Ahead of the final result, the exit polls predicted that the saffron party will get well over 100 seats in the 182-seat state Assembly. The halfway mark is 92 in the Gujarat Assembly.
Similar to Himachal Pradesh, Congress refused to accept the predictions for Gujarat polls as well.
While BJP will fall short of party chief Amit Shah's 150-mark, it will win enough to hold the state for another term at the very least. The BJP currently holds 120 seats and Congress 43 seats in the Gujarat Assembly.
According to the Times Now-VMR exit poll, BJP was predicted to nab 113 seats in the 182-seat Gujarat Assembly, while Congress was predicted to win 66 seats. The ABP-CSDS exit poll predicted similar results with the BJP nabbing 117 seats and Congress winning 64 seats. According to The Republic-CVoter exit poll, the BJP was predicted to win 115 seats and the Congress 74 seats. The Sahara Samay-CNX exit poll predicted that BJP would win between 110-120 seats and the Congress 65-75 seats.
Despite losing the state, the Congress party is predicted to increase its seat share in the state.
The India Today-MYAXIS exit poll predicted that the BJP would get between 99-113 seats and the Congress would fetch between 68-82 seats. The NewsNation-BARC exit poll predicted BJP nabbing between 109 and the Congress getting between 70 seats.
Though Today's Chankya exit poll also predicted gains for both BJP and Congress. While it predicted a gain of 15 seats for BJP over its existing tally of 120 seats in Gujarat Assembly, it predicted just 47 seats for Congress (a gain of four seats from its current tally). According to CNN-News 18, Today’s Chanakya was the only pollster to get the 2014 projection correct.
Meanwhile, NDTV's Poll of Exit Polls predicted 116 seats for BJP, 65 for Congress and 1 for Others.
The Congress made gains with both Leuva Patidar and Karwa Patidar, gaining 16.5 and 18.9 percent with these groups respectively as compared to 2012 election, according to the CVoter exit poll. The Congress also gained with Patel Kshatriya by 10 percent, but lost 5.4 percent in the Ahir and 8.2 percent in the ST Bhil community as compared to the 2012 election.
Sreemoy Talukdar wrote for Firstpost, "If the exit polls are proved correct, BJP's results would be no less than a stunning achievement.... It also shows that Rahul's energetic campaign and rainbow coalition of subalterns and upper-caste have failed to catapult Congress to power, though its seat tally may witness a marginal upward revision," he added.
Congress has rejected the results of the exit polls with party leader Manish Tewari saying, "The interesting thing about exit polls is that they are very sensational fillers between the close of polls and when the results come out. I think over the last 10 years...exit polls have been right and wrong. In the case of Bihar, all the exit polls turned out to be wrong," according to NDTV.
Social activist and Dalit lawyer Jignesh Mewani also said that BJP will lose in Gujarat this year with less than 80 seats. In an interview to CNN-News18, he said even the high-voltage campaign might not be able to save BJP this time as they could not enlist any solid achievements in the state in last three years of governance.
Meanwhile, Shiv Sena chief Uddhav Thackeray has also disagreed with the exit polls predicting a BJP victory in the state. "There is a big difference between the political atmosphere prevalent in Gujarat and the exit poll results," he said.
With inputs from PTI
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Updated Date: Dec 18, 2017 07:08:34 IST