Exit Polls Results 2021: Pollsters give TMC edge in Bengal, favour BJP in Assam; DMK-Congress to win TN

The BJP is likely to return for a second term in Assam, however, a tight contest between the ruling party and the Congress-AIUDF alliance can't be ruled out

FP Staff April 30, 2021 07:33:13 IST
Exit Polls Results 2021: Pollsters give TMC edge in Bengal, favour BJP in Assam; DMK-Congress to win TN

Exit polls predict a tight contest between the ruling All India Trinamool Congress and the BJP in the state of West Bengal with the BJP making strong gains both in terms of vote share and seats while the CPM-led ruling Left Democratic Front is predicted the retain the state of Kerala despite a high-pitched campaign by the saffron party.

While pollsters forecast a BJP to return to power in the northeastern state of Assam, a tight contest may emerge there as well.

However, in Tamil Nadu and the UT of Puducherry, pollsters predict a change in dispensation. While exit polls show the DMK-led alliance to emerge as the largest grouping in Tamil Nadu, the BJP is expected to form the next govt in the UT of Puducherry.

The results of the exit polls were released today after polling concluded in the eighth and final phase of the West Bengal election.

Exit Polls Results 2021 Pollsters give TMC edge in Bengal favour BJP in Assam DMKCongress to win TN

Exit polls divided on Bengal, tight contest likely

While four out of the five pollsters projected the TMC to return to power in West Bengal, the exit poll forecast showed the BJP making strong gains both in terms of vote share as well as the number of seats, hinting at a tight contest when votes are counted on 2 May.

Overall, the exit polls are divided in their forecast for the West Bengal polls, where the BJP ran a high-octane campaign in its bid to capture power in the state for the first time by ending Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee's 10-year reign.

West Bengal (Total: 294 seats; Majority mark: 148 seats)
Pollster TMC+ BJP+ Congress+ Others
C-Voter (292 seats) 158 115 19 0
CNX Republic 133 143 16 0
ETG Research 169 110 12 0
P-Marq 158 128 14 0
NewsX-Polstrat 157 120 21 0
Jan Ki Baat 104-121 162-185 3-9 0

The India Today-Axis My India predicts a neck-and-neck contest in West Bengal, giving the BJP 134-160 and the TMC 130-156 seats.

Republic-CNX exit poll predicts a slight edge for the BJP by protecting 138-148 seats for the party in the 294-seat Assembly and 128-138 to the TMC. However, Times Now-C Voter predicts a clear majority for the TMC by projecting 158 seats for the party and 115 for the BJP.

Jan Ki Baat exit polls, however, predicts a strong majority for the BJP in West Bengal, giving it 162-185 seats, against 104-121 to the ruling TMC. The TMC had won 211 seats in 2016 and the BJP only three in the 294-member West Bengal Assembly.

As far as the Left-Congress-ISF alliance is concerned, the forecasts show the grouping further marginalised in the fierce contest.

Four out of five pollsters project the grouping to not cross 20 seats. The only exception being NewsX-Polstrat, which predict just 21 seats for the alliance.

Assam exit polls predict second term for BJP

In Assam, India Today-Axis My India predicted 75-85 seats for the BJP-led combine in the 126-member Assembly and 40-50 to the Congress-led Opposition. Today's Chanakya predicted 61-79 seats for the saffron alliance and 47-65 for the Congress-led Opposition in Assam.

Republic-CNX gave the ruling saffron alliance 74-84 and the Opposition 40-50, while Times Now-C Voter put them at 65 and 59 seats respectively.

Assam (Total seats: 126; Majority mark: 64)
Pollster Congress+ BJP+ Others
India Today-Axis My India 40-50 75-85 1-4
Today's Chanakya 56 70 0
P-Marq 56-64 62-70 0-4
Republic TV-CNX 40-50 74-84 1-3

LDF likely to return for the second term in Kerala

Kerala chief minister Pinarayi Vijayan may defy the norm in his state of the two main alliances alternating in power by leading the CPI(M)-led alliance to another spell in power, going by various exit polls.

Axis My India predicted a big win for the LDF by projecting 104 seats for it in the 140-member assembly and predicting only 20-36 seats to the Congress-led UDF.

Kerala (Total seats: 140; Majority mark: 71)
Pollster UDF LDF BJP+ Others
India Today-Axis My India 20-36 104-120 0-2 0-2
Republic-CNX 61 76 3 0

Today's Chanakya forecast 93-111 seats for the LDF and 26-44 for the UDF in 140-member strong Kerala Assembly.

CNX predicted a closer fight but still projected a majority of 72-80 seats for the ruling alliance against 54-64 for the Opposition.

Tamil Nadu exit polls predict win for DMK-Congress combine

In another key southern state, Tamil Nadu, Axis My India and CNX forecast a big win for the DMK-led alliance that also includes the Congress.

They gave 175-195 and 160-170, respectively for the DMK-Congress-led alliance in the 234-member Assembly. The AIADMK-led alliance, which includes the BJP, was projected to get 38-54 and 58-68, respectively.

The Republic TV-CNX exit poll predicted four-six seats for the TTV Dhinakaran-led AMMK and zero to two sets for others.

Tamil Nadu (Total: 234 seats; Majority mark: 118 seats)
Pollster DMK+ AIADMK+ AMMK+ Others
Republic TV-CNX 160-170 58-68 4-6 0-2
Today's Chanakya 164-186 46-68  NA 0-6
P-Marq 165-190 40-65 1-3 1-6
Axis My India 175-195 38-54 NA NA

Today's Chanakya predicted 164-186 seats for the DMK combine and 46-68 for the incumbent AIADMK-led alliance in Tamil Nadu. The P-Marq predicted 165-190 seats for the DMK-Congress combine and 40-65 seats for the AIADMK-BJP alliance.

The TTV Dhinakaran-led AMMK is predicted to win one to three seats while others may win one to six seats.

Puducherry exit polls show Congress loss

In the neighbouring state of Puducherry, Congress is predicted to lose out to the NDA.

Puducherry (Total seats: 30
Pollster BJP+ Congress+ Others
C-Voter 21 8 1
Republic CNX 16-20 11-13 0

The C-Voter exit poll predicts the NDA to win 21 seats while the Congress-led UPA may win eight seats. Others are predicted to win one seat.

The Republic-CNX predicts 16-20 seats for the NDA and 11-13 seats for the Congress-led alliance.

With inputs from PTI

Updated Date:

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