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Exit Poll Result 2017 highlights: Surveys predict comfortable win for BJP in both Himachal and Gujarat

Exit poll results for Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh Assembly elections will be broadcasted from 5 pm onwards on Thursday after the last of the votes have been cast in Gujarat.

FP Staff December 14, 2017 20:29:27 IST
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Exit Poll Result 2017 highlights: Surveys predict comfortable win for BJP in both Himachal and Gujarat

Highlights

LIVE NEWS and UPDATES

Dec 14, 2017 - 20:36 (IST)
Dec 14, 2017 - 20:23 (IST)

BJP's Muslim vote share increased by 4.1%: C-Voter survey

Dec 14, 2017 - 20:10 (IST)

Did the Patel factor really work?

According to the demographic data of the C-Voter survey, all the din around the Patidar movement and their discontent with the BJP have indeed resulted in a dent on the party's vote share. The survey said that the BJP lost roughly 10.1 percent votes from the Leuva Patidar community and around 12 percent votes from the Karva Patidar community.  

The Congress party, in contrast, has gained close to 16.5 and 19 percent votes from both these communities, respectively. 

Dec 14, 2017 - 19:58 (IST)

India Today survey shows 27 swing seats may be a game changer for Congress

India Today - Axis My India poll suggests that there are at least 27 seats where the winning margin was around 1-2 percent. If the Congress manages to wrest free almost all of those constituencies out, only then it may stand a chance of winning in Gujarat. 

Dec 14, 2017 - 19:25 (IST)

Overall picture from Himachal Pradesh exit polls

Himachal Pradesh Exit Poll BJP Congress
ABP-CSDS 35-41 26-32
Zee News-Axis 51 17
News X 42-50 18-24
News Nation 43-47 19-23
Sahara Samay 46 21
Today's Chanakya 55 13
India Today 47-55 13-20

Dec 14, 2017 - 19:23 (IST)

ABP-CSDS predicts BJP to get 38 seats, Congress at 29

Dec 14, 2017 - 19:17 (IST)

Gujarat: Updated Tally after factoring in Today's Chanakya's prediction 

Gujarat Exit Poll BJP Congress
Today's Chanakya 135 (+-) 11 47
News Nation 109 70
ABP-CSDS 110 71
Times Now 109 70
Republic 115 65
Sahara 110-120 65-75
TV-9 108 74
India Today 99-113 68-82

Dec 14, 2017 - 19:10 (IST)

Today's Chanakya poll predicts a whopping 135 seats for BJP, the highest in any survey so far

Dec 14, 2017 - 18:58 (IST)

Meanwhile... Final voting percentage in 2nd Phase of Gujarat polls recorded as 69% at 5pm, says Election Commission

Dec 14, 2017 - 18:49 (IST)

Himachal Pradesh Poll of Polls tally

 
Almost all the exit poll surveys have predicted that the Bharatiya Janata Party will oust the Congress government and gain power with a clear majority. 
 
 

After the last votes have been cast in Gujarat on Thursday, exit poll results for the state and Himachal Pradesh Assembly elections will be broadcast from 5 pm.

Various news channels, in collaboration with poll agencies such as Today's Chanaktya and CVoter will predict the winners in legislative Assemblies.

However, these predictions are conducted on a relatively small sample size as compared to the entire electorate, and can sometimes go wrong.

Exit Poll Result 2017 highlights Surveys predict comfortable win for BJP in both Himachal and Gujarat

Representational image. AP

Critics say projections can be influenced by the choice, wording and timing of the questions, and by the nature of the sample drawn. Nonetheless, media agencies take utmost care to get the surveys done as close to the actual results as possible.

The Election Commission (EC) also places certain restrictions on publication and distribution of poll predictions and related data. The poll panel barred exit polls related to Himachal Pradesh and Gujarat starting 8 am on 9 November to 6 pm on 14 December.

Noting that there are instances of violations of the rules by some television channels in the telecast of their panel discussions, debates and other news and current affairs programmes, the poll panel warned that violation of Section 126 is "punishable with imprisonment upto two years, or with fine or both".

The EC also drew the print media's attention to the Press Council of India guidelines to be observed during elections, which urge the press to give objective reports about elections and the candidates and avoid reports which tend to promote feelings of enmity or hatred among people on the ground of religion, race, caste, community or language.

"Special care must be taken to report opinion polls accurately and fairly, by disclosing to viewers as to who commissioned, conducted and paid for the conduct of the opinion polls and the broadcast. If a news broadcaster carries the results of an opinion poll or other election projection, it must also explain the context, and the scope and limits of such polls with their limitations.

"Broadcast of opinion polls should be accompanied by information to assist viewers to understand the poll's significance, such as the methodology used, the sample size, the margin of error, the fieldwork dates, and data used. Broadcasters should also disclose how vote shares are converted to seat shares," it further added.

Himachal Pradesh concluded voting on 9 November and recorded its highest turnout at 74 percent. Gujarat went to polls in two phases, with the second phase of polling ending on Thursday. First phase of polls were conducted on 9 December with around 68 percent voter turnout. In the second phase, 47 percent votes were cast until 2 pm. Voting was being held in 93 Assembly constituencies across 14 districts in northern and central regions of the state on Thursday.

There are 851 candidates in the fray. In the first phase, voting was held for the 89 seats of 19 districts of Saurashtra and South Gujarat region, with a total of 977 candidates in the fray.

The results will be declared on 18 December, the same day as Himachal Pradesh.

With inputs from agencies

Updated Date:

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