The Aam Aadmi Party will storm back to power for another term in the Delhi Assembly elections, exit polls unanimously predicted on Saturday. The exit poll forecasts also said that while the BJP may improve its tally marginally from the previous election, the Congress is staring at another rout.
In 2015, the AAP, then a new entrant on the political landscape, had swept the polls winning 67 out of 70 seats, while the BJP had won the remaining three seats.
|Name of pollster||AAP||BJP||Congress|
|NDTV Poll of Polls||53 (-14)||16 (+13)||1 (+1)|
|India Today-Axis My India||59-68||2-11||0|
|Republic Jan Ki Baat||48 - 61||9 - 21||0 -1|
|IPSOS Times Now||47||23||0|
While some polls predicted that the AAP will win a two-thirds majority, others predicted that it may get more than three-fourth of the seats.
Here's an overview of the forecasts that various pollsters have come out with at the close of the voting process —
The Times Now-Ipsos exit poll has predicted 47 seats for AAP, 23 for BJP and none for the Congress. It has further forecast that the regional party will get a vote share of 52.5 percent, the BJP will get a vote share of 39 percent, while the Congress' vote share will be in single digits at 6 percent.
Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat
The Republic TV-Jan Ki Baat exit poll gave 48-61 seats to AAP, 9-21 seats to BJP and 0-1 seat for the Congress. Republic TV-Jan ki Baat has also predicted that the AAP will get a vote share higher than 50 percent (51-52 percent), and has tipped the BJP to get 38-40 percent of the vote share.
The ABP News-C Voter poll predicted that AAP will get 49-63 seats and the BJP 5-19 seats. According to the poll, the Congress could win 0-4 seats.
Further, the pollster has also forecast that the AAP will dominate the seats in the Lok Sabha constituencies of East Delhi (6-8), New Delhi, North East Delhi and Chandni Chowk (all 7-9), while the BJP is expected to get 1-3 seats in all these segments.
On vote share, ABP-CVoter has said that the Arvind Kejriwal-led party will garner 50.4 percent of the popular mandate, while the saffron party is tipped to garner 36 percent.
India Today-Axis My India
Among the various pollsters, India Today-Axis My India has forecast the most decisive mandate, predicting that the AAP may get between 59 and 68 seats, while the BJP may have to remain content with only 2-11 seats. If the AAP indeed gets 68 seats, it will beat even its own record of 67 seats in the previous elections.
The pollster has also released data for each Lok Sabha segment. According to it, the AAP will get 9-10 seats in the segments of West Delhi, Chandni Chowk, South Delhi, East Delhi and New Delhi. In North West and North East Delhi, it is tipped to win 7-9 seats.
|India Today-Axis My India||AAP||BJP||Congress|
|West Delhi (10)||9-10||0-1||0|
|North West Delhi (10)||7-9||1-3||0|
|North East Delhi (10)||7-9||1-3||0|
|Chandni Chowk (10)||9-10||0 - 1||0|
|East Delhi (10)||9-10||0-1||0|
|South Delhi (10)||9-10||0-1||0|
|New Delhi (10)||9-10||0-1||0|
Shortly after media houses aired the exit poll results, the AAP tweeted —
Dilli ne pukara... pic.twitter.com/hGvnp33VHd
— AAP (@AamAadmiParty) February 8, 2020
On the other hand, the BJP's Delhi chief Manoj Tiwari said, "All these exit polls will fail. Save this tweet. BJP will form a government in Delhi with 48 seats. Don't look for an excuse to blame EVMs."
The Congress' Sanjay Jha said, "If the Delhi exit polls hold, it means the BJP’s pernicious polarisation politics has failed. But we must remember at the national level, the BJP can still create a hyper-nationalism narrative, create fear over national security and hide its monumental disasters. Long way to go."
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Updated Date: Feb 08, 2020 22:45:48 IST