The much awaited exit polls for five states which had Assembly elections are out. And it appears that it is advantage BJP, as the party is predicted to do well in every state except Punjab, where it — along with ally Shiromani Akali Dal — has been given no chance.
For Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and Congress, it's a mixed bag. While AAP is expected to do well in Punjab, it may not be a good debut for the party in Goa. For the Congress, meanwhile, Manipur and Uttarakhand look like the best chance to stay relevant in the national scenario.
Three exit polls predict a hung Assembly in the state, but do put BJP in pole position. While Times Now-VMR poll gives the saffron party 17 seats, NewsX-MRC poll puts the figure at 15. On the other hand, India TV-C-Voter keeps the BJP at top with 15-21 seats yet predicts a close contest in the state. Only the India Today-Axis poll predicts a BJP win in Goa, with 18-22 seats.
The hill state of Uttarkhand may witness BJP's comeback. According to India Today-Axis poll, the saffron party is expected to win a whopping 53 seats, Times Now-VMR poll keeps the tally at 44 seats. The ABP-Lokiniti poll and the NewsX-MRC poll also give BJP a comfortable majority in Uttarakhand. However, the India TV-CVoter predicts a hung Assembly. According to this poll, both BJP and Congress may end up winning around 29 to 35 seats in the 70-member Assembly.
The contest in the northeastern state is tough to call. While all pollsters predict BJP to better its tally in this election, Congress may give it a tough fight. In such a scenario, the Trinamool Congress and the Naga People’s Front may play the role of the kingmaker. According to the India Today-Axis poll, the grand old party may win 30-36 seats in the 70-member Assembly, allowing Ibobi Singh to rule for a fourth consecutive term as chief minister.
This is one state where pollsters have unanimously rejected BJP's chances. Expect for the ABP-Lokniti poll, which gave the SAD-BJP alliance 19 to 27 seats, all other polls have given the ruling alliance seats in the single digits. The main contest it seems is between the debutant AAP and the main opposition Congress party. While AAP is expected to do exceptionally well in the frontier state, only India Today-CVoter has given the party a clear majority. The NewsX-MRC exit poll predicts a hung Assembly with both AAP and Congress winning 55 seats. While India Today-Axis survey gives Punjab to the Congress, the fight is neck and neck according to the ABP-Lokniti poll.
However, every pollster is watching Uttar Pradesh with keen attention now. Every poll has predicted BJP to gain substantially, with the India Today-Axis poll even giving the Modi-led party a whopping 251 to 279 seats.
The Times Now-VMR poll, on the other hand, points to a possible majority in favour of BJP with 190-210 seats. The poll sees the SP-Congress alliance trail with 110-130 seats, while the Mayawati-led BSP gets 57-74 seats. Others to secure eight seats.
MRC-NewsX exit poll data also predicts a lead for BJP in UP with 185 seats. SP-Congress is in second with 120 seats, while BSP with 90 and others parties and independent candidates round up the tally with eight. India News-MRC survey said that the BJP will secure 188 seats, while SP-Congress alliance will get 120. It sees BSP in third with 90 seats. The ABP-Lokniti poll, while giving BJP 164 to 176 seats, predicts a hung Assembly in the state.
Updated Date: Mar 10, 2017 10:41 AM