The counting of votes for the crucial Assembly Elections in four states and a Union Territory will begin at 8 am and will be over by 3 pm, according to the Election Commission. In a high turnout two-phased poll exercise, Assam had voted on 4 and 11 April to elect members to the 126-seat Assembly. The state recorded an impressive voter turnout of 82.21 percent after the second phase of voting. The counting would be conducted across 51 centres in 143 rooms on 1,171 tables determining the political future of 1,064 candidates. [caption id=“attachment_2788136” align=“alignleft” width=“380”]
Representational image. AFP[/caption] Congress, which under Chief Minister Tarun Gogoi is seeking a fourth straight term in power, has fielded 122 candidates, BJP 89, its allies AGP 30 and BPF 13, AIUDF 74, CPM 19 and CPI 15. The CPI (ML) fought in seven seats, SUCI in 24 and independents contested in 497 seats. Others accounted for 174 candidates. The Congress had left four seats for its ally UPP. Three exit polls have stated that BJP will win in Assam and end Gogoi’s 15-year chief ministership. Axis-India Today predicted BJP will win 79-93 seats, ABP-Nielsen gave BJP 81 seats and NewsX-Chanakya gave BJP 90 seats. According to TimesNow C-Voter exit poll, the BJP and allies would get 57 seats, the Congress 41, AIUDF 18 and others 10. However, Gogoi was confident of a victory. “I don’t see why there will be anti-incumbency. I trust the people of Assam, they know how much development has happened under us,” Gogoi had told ANI. Earlier, when asked if his former ministerial colleague Himanta Biswa Sarma’s turning to the BJP had cost the Congress dearly, Gogoi had said, “The poll result will speak for itself.” He had said that the Congress had lost the 2014 Lok Sabha election even as Sarma was one of the main campaigners for the party. “We’ll do much better compared to the Lok Sabha elections this time. His leaving has not affected the party at all,” Gogoi had said. The incumbent chief minister had also alleged that the BJP-led Central government was giving “step-motherly” treatment to the border state and had withdrawn the “Special Category status” given to Assam under which the state would get 90 percent grant from the Central government for its budget. In 2011, Gogoi had returned to power for the third time in Assam as the Congress won 78 seats in the 126-seat Assembly. While some of the surveys had been accurate in predicting a Congress victory, some wrongly predicted a hung Assembly after the last Assembly polls. The CNN-IBN survey had said that Gogoi was going to return as CM with a tally of 64 to 72 seats. However, the Mail Today-India Today-Headlines Today-Aaj Tak-ORG opinion poll had predicted a hung Assembly in Assam, with Congress winning just 46 seats. Now, a victory in Assam would testify to the continuing appeal of the ruling BJP, while defeat elsewhere would reflect Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s difficulties in making inroads against the Congress stronghold. In his campaign rallies, Modi had vowed to plug the international boundary with Bangladesh to stop illegal influx from the neighbouring country as it has become a rising discontent among the indigenous people. The results should be a snapshot of Modi’s performance as he approaches the half-way mark of his five-year tenure.
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