Vantage | Will Israel invade Lebanon?

As the conflict in West Asia intensifies, with Israel continuing its bombardment of Gaza, efforts for a ceasefire are underway amid fears of further escalation. The focus has shifted to the potential for Israel to expand its military operations beyond Gaza, particularly targeting Hezbollah in Lebanon.

Yoav Gallant warns

Israeli Defence Minister Yoav Gallant recently conveyed a stern message emphasizing Israel’s determination to confront Hezbollah even hinting at the possibility of a ground operation.

“If there is anyone here who thinks that when we will reach a deal to release hostages in the south (Gaza) and the fire stops, this will make things easier than what is happening here, they are wrong. We will continue the fire and we will increase it regardless of what is happening in the south, until we achieve our goals. The goal is simple - to withdraw Hezbollah to where it should be. Either by agreement, or we will do it by force,” said Gallant.

This declaration came amidst escalating tensions between Israel and Hezbollah with frequent cross-border shelling and airstrikes.

Of particular concern is Israel’s recent strike in Baalbek, far north of the Israel-Lebanon border, targeting Lebanese surface-to-air missile defence systems. This move has sparked alarm with speculation rife about Israel’s intentions to launch a broader incursion into Lebanon.

Developments worry US

The United States, a key ally of Israel, has expressed apprehension over these developments. Intelligence reports suggest that Israeli officials are considering such an incursion, regardless of the outcome of ceasefire negotiations with Hamas in Gaza. The objective would be to establish a Hezbollah-free buffer zone along the border to safeguard Israeli citizens in the north from potential attacks.

Hezbollah, known for its sophisticated weaponry and arsenal of rockets, poses a significant threat to Israel’s security. While Israel asserts its preference for diplomatic resolutions, it remains prepared to resort to force if necessary.

However, such a move carries grave risks. A conflict in the north would likely result in higher casualties and greater regional instability. The possibility of a wider conflagration engulfing neighbouring countries cannot be discounted.

Questions also arise regarding the political motivations behind Israel’s actions. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, facing domestic criticism for perceived failures in handling previous conflicts, may view continued military engagement as a means to bolster his leadership and deflect accountability.

Suspect timing

The timing of these military maneuvers raises suspicions, prompting speculation about Netanyahu’s intentions to maintain power amidst growing discontent. While there is no concrete evidence to support such claims, Israel’s recent actions have only fueled speculation and heightened tensions in an already volatile region.

As international stakeholders scramble to mitigate the risk of further escalation, the situation remains precarious. The delicate balance between security concerns and the imperative for peaceful resolution hangs in the balance, with the specter of a broader conflict looming ominously over the region.

Views expressed in the above piece are personal and solely that of the author. They do not necessarily reflect Firstpost’s views.