What! Investors lose Rs 20 lakh cr as FIIs turn bearish on India

Mumbai: In a departure from big gains in the past two years, investors saw around Rs 20 lakh crore of their wealth eroded as Indian equities tanked in 2011 because of inflation, high interest rates and the uncertain global growth environment accentuated by the euro zone debt crisis.

In addition, the rupee fell to historic lows against the US dollar, hitting the country’s import bill. The bellwether indices of the Bombay Stock Exchange as well as the National Stock Exchange fell by over 26 percent during the course of the year, touching new lows.

The 30-scrip BSE Sensex was down by 5,334.01 points, or over 26 per cent, at 15.175.08 on December 20, against last year’s close of 20,509.09. Similarly, the 50-share Nifty witnessed a hefty fall of 1,590.30 points, or 25.92 percent, to 4,544.20 on December 20 from last year’s close.

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There has been some recovery since then, with the Sensex closing at 15,873.95 and the Nifty at 4,750.50 yesterday, but market experts say investors remain cautious on India. Globally, the deepening European debt crisis and a historic downgrade of US creditworthiness hit the economic growth sentiment.

Besides, political turmoil in the Middle East pushed up global crude oil prices, adding to inflationary pressures and pushing up the country’s import bill.

FIIs, the main drivers of the market, turned negative on Indian equities this year and after having injected a record Rs 1,33,266 crore, or over $29.36 billion, in 2010, pulled out Rs 2,497.50 crore, or $318.00 million, from equities till December 19.

Meanwhile, as per Sebi data, they pumped in Rs 39,637.50 crore, or over$ 8.2 billion, into the debt market till December 19.

The Sensex had gained 7,817.50 points, or 81.03 per cent, in 2009- the highest rise in any one year in absolute terms - while it spurted by another 3,044.28 points, or 17.43 per

cent, in 2010. The Nifty also had soared by 2,241.90 points, or 75.76 per cent, in 2009, followed by 933.45 points, or 17.95 percent, last year.

Fears of a global economic slowdown and domestic troubles with inflation, interest rates, lack of reforms and the falling rupee made investors cautious in 2011, especially during the last quarter.

Aggressive offloading resulted in 12 of the 13 sectoral indices closing in the red, with some of them hitting 52-week lows during 2011. Only the BSE-FMCG gained, but just about 9 percent up to last week.

In a bid to tame swollen inflation, the Reserve Bank of India hiked key lending rates 13 times in 19 months. It also cut the GDP growth forecast for the current fiscal to 7.6 percent from 8 percent projected earlier. However, in the mid-quarter monetary policy review on December 16, the RBI left the lending rate unchanged to support faltering economic growth amid hopes that inflation will begin to fall after hovering close to double digits most of the year.

The sustained rise in interest rates dented the investor sentiment on fears that it would hit corporate profitability because of the high cost of borrowing, besides slowing down consumer demand.

Rate-sensitive realty, banking and auto stocks suffered a sharp setback. The metal sector, too, was at the receiving end due to a big fall in commodity prices in the absence of demand

in global markets.

PTI