Lok Sabha Elections 2024: BJP led NDA set to get '400 par' seats, opinion poll finds

As India gets ready to witness the world’s biggest elections, everyone is waiting to hear when it will happen.

Amid the anticipation and political fervor about which party will get how many seats, the mega opinion poll by News18 has captivated the attention of political analysts as well as citizens by suggesting that the BJP-led NDA might win many seats—more than 400 out of 543, to be exact.

The result goes in line with the recent “400 paar” statement of PM Modi, made during a public address.

The survey indicates that the NDA could potentially win 411 out of the 543 seats in the Lok Sabha, with the BJP alone expected to claim a record-breaking 350 seats.

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Other members of the NDA, such as JD(U) and TDP, are projected to secure a combined total of 61 seats.

Meanwhile, the opposition INDIA bloc, comprising major non-BJP parties including Congress, is predicted to face challenges in denting Prime Minister Modi’s bid for a third term, with projections suggesting a tally of just 56 seats for the coalition, including 49 seats for Congress.

If these predictions materialize, it would mark a significant electoral setback for Congress, possibly its second-worst performance in Lok Sabha elections after its historic low of 44 seats in 2014.

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Notably, the survey suggests that the NDA could collectively secure nearly half of the total votes cast.

The full results of the opinion poll came Thursday, indicating strong prospects for Prime Minister Narendra Modi to secure a third consecutive term in office.

The poll suggests clean sweep victory for BJP led NDA in Northern States like Uttarakhand, Rajasthan, Gujrat, Himachal Pradesh, Delhi.

The survey also forecasts significant gains for the BJP in states like West Bengal, Odisha, Telangana, and Tamil Nadu. For the first time in a long haul, BJP is expected to bag two seats in Kerala.

In Maharashtra, the survey projects another sweeping victory for the BJP-Shiv Sena-NCP ruling combine, with the NDA expected to win 41 out of the state’s 48 seats, while the INDIA bloc is forecasted to secure just 7 seats.

The survey projected BJP’s vote share at 48% while INDIA and others at 34 and 18% respectively.

In West Bengal, BJP is looking to win 25 out of the 42 seats, while TMC is expected to secure 17 seats. Congress, however, is projected to draw a blank. Both TMC and BJP are expected to get 42% vote share each. While the Congress and its allies are to get 14%, the poll finds.

In Karnataka, the NDA is anticipated to replicate its 2019 performance, winning 25 out of the 28 seats in the state with a thumping vote share of 58%, with Congress expected to secure just 3 seats and 35% vote share.

In PM Modi’s home state Gujarat, the BJP is forecasted to clean sweep all 26 seats, maintaining its stronghold in the state. In vote share, BJP and INDIA bloc got 56 and 36% respectively.

In Andhra Pradesh, the BJP-led NDA alliance is projected to win 18 out of the 25 seats with 50% vote share, while YSR Congress expected to secure second place with 7 seats and 41 % vote share.

In Telangana, NDA is predicted to win 8 out of the 17 seats, with Congress expected to bag 6 seats, and BRS 2 seats. The poll find Congress leading here in vote share of 34% followed by NDA, BRS and AIMIM at 28, 37, and 3% respectively.

In Rajasthan, the NDA is anticipated to secure a landslide victory, winning all 25 seats in the state with 61% vote share, while Congress is projected to win no seat but 33% vote share.

In Odisha, BJP is expected to win 13 seats, while the ruling BJD is projected to secure all the remaining 8 seats. BJP is set to get 43% vote share in this state followed by BJD and INC with 40 and 15% respectively.

In Jharkhand, the NDA is forecasted to win 12 out of the 14 seats with a vote share of 58%, while INDIA bloc and JMM expected to share the remaining 2 seats with vote share of 32 and 10% respectively.

In Chhattisgarh, BJP is predicted to improve its seat tally to 10 with 57% votes, up from 9 in 2019. Congress is expected to get the remaining seat and 37% votes.

In Assam, NDA is expected to sweep the state, winning 12 out of the 14 seats while the remaining two seats are supposedly going to regional parties AIUDF and BPF. In vote share NDA is predicted to lead at 49% followed by INDIA, AIUDF and BPF with 35, 6 and 2% respectively.

In Uttarakhand also, BJP is forecasted to repeat its clean sweep of 2019, winning all 5 seats in the state with vote share of 62%.

In Uttar Pradesh, NDA is expected to get 77 seats out of 80 with massive vote share of 57%. The remaining 3 seats are expected to be bagged by INDIA bloc and BSP.

The survey covered 518 Lok Sabha constituencies across 21 major states, and features a sample size of over 1,18,616 respondents, of which 64,453 are male voters and 54,163 are female voters.