Gujarat, Himachal Pradesh Assembly Election litmus test for Narendra Modi govt after reforms, says DBS Bank

The ruling BJP is 'wary' in Gujarat because of the slow-down in growth, impact of GST roll-out on small traders and caste rifts, DBS Bank said in a note

PTI October 27, 2017 18:22:54 IST
Gujarat, Himachal Pradesh Assembly Election litmus test for Narendra Modi govt after reforms, says DBS Bank

Mumbai: Singaporean lender DBS Bank on Friday said the Gujarat and Himachal Pradesh elections will serve as a "litmus test" of the Modi Government's popularity in the wake of major reforms including the GST implementation.

The ruling BJP is "wary" in Gujarat because of the slow-down in growth, impact of GST roll-out on small traders and caste rifts, it said in a note.

Gujarat Himachal Pradesh Assembly Election litmus test for Narendra Modi govt after reforms says DBS Bank

File image of Prime Minister Narendra Modi. PTI

"These election results will serve as a litmus test of the government's popularity in light of recent policy changes and reforms, particularly the Goods and Services Tax (GST)," it said.

The election results will provide some insights into how the recent "important, yet disruptive" reforms were interpreted, it said.

The BJP will "shift the political narrative" towards its fight against corruption and black money and efforts to ease the GST-driven bottlenecks to assuage the trader community, and support the farm and rural sector with more focused reforms, it said.

Apart from the slowing growth, which is being blamed by observers on demonetisation and a hasty GST introduction, persona politics is also a key concern for the BJP in Gujarat as this is the first election without Narendra Modi as the lead candidate, it said.

"We reckon that drawing any conclusions for the May 2019 general elections based on these results might be premature. Next year's state elections might provide a better gauge of the underlying sentiments," it said.

Himachal Pradesh will go to polls on 9 November. Elections in Gujarat will be held in two phases — on 9 and 14 December.

An opinion poll conducted by some pollsters has predicted a win for the BJP in both the states, the bank noted.

Updated Date:

also read

Day after Mukul Roy's exit from BJP, Rajib Banerjee meets TMC leader Kunal Ghosh
Politics

Day after Mukul Roy's exit from BJP, Rajib Banerjee meets TMC leader Kunal Ghosh

Banerjee, who unsuccessfully fought the Bengal Assembly polls on BJP ticket, described his meeting with the TMC general secretary as a 'courtesy visit'

P Chidambaram demands restoration of statehood for Jammu and Kashmir ahead of all-party meeting
India

P Chidambaram demands restoration of statehood for Jammu and Kashmir ahead of all-party meeting

Chidambaram added that the 'dismembering' of Jammu and Kashmir into two UTs has been challenged in the Supreme Court, and that the cases are pending for almost two years

Day after meeting Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath calls on Narendra Modi and JP Nadda
Politics

Day after meeting Amit Shah, Yogi Adityanath calls on Narendra Modi and JP Nadda

The UP CM's visit to Delhi comes close on the heels of the BJP holding a series of review meetings in Lucknow, which had fuelled speculation of a ministerial reshuffle in the state