U.S. retail sales, industrial output data point to softer growth | Reuters

WASHINGTON U.S. retail sales fell in December as unseasonably warm weather undercut purchases of winter apparel and cheaper gasoline weighed on receipts at service stations, the latest indication that economic growth braked sharply in the fourth quarter.

The growth picture was further darkened by other data on Friday showing industrial production fell in December, dragged down by cutbacks in utilities and mining output. Business inventories were also weak, posting their biggest drop in just over four years in November.

"The economy was flat-out weak at the end of last year, and January's financial market chaos does not bode well for a first- quarter rebound," said Chris Low, chief economist at FTN Financial in New York.

The Commerce Department said retail sales slipped 0.1 percent after rising 0.4 percent in November. For all of 2015, retail sales rose 2.1 percent, the weakest reading since 2009, after rising 3.9 percent in 2014.

Retail sales excluding automobiles, gasoline, building materials and food services fell 0.3 percent after advancing 0.5 percent the prior month. These so-called core retail sales correspond most closely with the consumer spending component of gross domestic product.

Despite a strong labor market, prospects for consumer spending are not encouraging against the backdrop of the stock market sell-off. While a separate report from the University of Michigan showed its consumer sentiment index rose to 93.3 early this month from a reading of 92.6 in December, households' perceptions of current conditions weakened.

Friday's reports joined weak data on construction, manufacturing and export growth that have suggested growth cooled significantly in the final three months of 2015.

The economy has been hammered by a strong dollar and sluggish global demand, which have undermined manufacturing and export-oriented industries. Business efforts to cut an inventory overhang and energy sector spending cuts have also been a drag.

Businesses stepped up their efforts reduce the merchandise bloat, with another report from the Commerce Department showing inventories fell 0.2 percent in November - the largest drop since September 2011. Inventories had dipped 0.1 percent in October.

In a fourth report, the Federal Reserve said industrial production fell 0.4 percent in December, primarily as a result of cutbacks for utilities and mining, after declining 0.9 percent in November. Utilities fell 2.0 percent last month after dropping 5.0 percent in November.

For the fourth quarter as a whole, industrial production fell at an annual rate of 3.4 percent.

The weakness in utilities and soft core retail sales could prompt economists to lower their fourth-quarter GDP estimates, which currently range between a 0.5 percent and a 1.4 percent annual rate. The economy grew at a 2 percent pace in the third quarter.

U.S. Treasuries were trading higher, while U.S. stocks fell. The dollar weakened against the yen and the euro.

A fifth report from the Labor Department showed its producer price index slipped 0.2 percent after increasing 0.3 percent in November. In the 12 months through December, the PPI declined 1.0 percent after falling 1.1 percent in November. December

marked the 11th straight 12-month decrease in the index.

Producer prices fell 1.0 percent in 2015, the weakest since the series started in 2010, after rising 0.9 percent in 2014.

Coming on the heels of a report on Thursday showing a steep drop in import prices in December, weak producer prices suggest that an anticipated rise in inflation will probably fall short of the Fed's 2 percent target.

Inflation, which has been tamed by dollar strength, tepid wage growth and cheaper oil, is expected to rise this year as 2015's weak figures fall out of the calculation. However, persistently low readings could limit the boost from the favorable so-called base effects.

The inflation outlook will likely determine the timing of further interest rate increases after the Fed last month raised its key overnight lending rate by 25 basis points to between 0.25 and 0.50 percent, the first rate hike in nearly a decade.

The retail sales report showed auto sales were flat after rising the prior month. Receipts at service stations fell 1.1 percent after decreasing 1.3 percent in November. Sales at clothing stores dropped 0.9 percent. Receipts at electronics and appliance outlets fell further last month.

But there were pockets of strength. Sales at online retailers and sporting goods and hobby stores rose. Receipts at building materials and garden equipment stores increased solidly, likely boosted by warm temperatures. Furniture store sales rose last month.

(Reporting by Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama and Andrea Ricci)

This story has not been edited by Firstpost staff and is generated by auto-feed.

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Updated Date: Jan 16, 2016 00:30:15 IST

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