IPL Playoff Scenarios: RR are through, what are the chances for SRH, CSK, RCB, DC, LSG?

Delhi Capitals beat Lucknow Super Giants by 19 runs in the Indian Premier League (IPL) on Tuesday, a result that may not help either side in their quest to make the playoffs. It did, however, steer Rajasthan Royals into the knockout stage . They join Kolkata Knight Riders, who became the first team to qualify and are assured of a top-two finish .

With two spots up for grabs, we take a look at each team’s chances:

Chennai Super Kings (14 points, 13 matches, +0.528 NRR)

Remaining match: vs RCB (A)

CSK will qualify for the IPL playoffs if they beat RCB on Saturday in their only remaining league fixture. Even if they lose, the margin would decide their chances. If they lose by over 18 runs, they will have to hope that SRH lose both their games and finish behind CSK on NRR, in which case both Chennai and RCB will qualify.

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Sunrisers Hyderabad (14 points, 12 matches, +0.406 NRR

Remaining matches: vs GT (H), vs PBKS (H)

SRH can book an IPL playoff spot with a solitary point from four up for grabs in their two remaining home matches. However, if they lose both, they will have to rely on CSK beating RCB and ensure their NRR is better off. If SRH lose both matches and RCB triumph over CSK, then they can only qualify if CSK’s NRR goes below that of SRH. There’s the possibility of SRH finishing in the top-two with a win or two.

Royal Challengers Bengaluru (12 points, 13 matches, +0.387 NRR)

Remaining match: vs CSK (H)

If SRH get at least one more point from their two matches, then RCB’s only chance of qualifying will be by finishing ahead of CSK. That means beating the Ruturaj Gaikwad-led team by at least 18 runs, if they score 200. If they’re chasing 200, they will need to win in about 18.1 overs. If their margin of victory is smaller, they can qualify only if SRH lose both their matches irrespective of the margin. A defeat or a washout against CSK will be curtains for the team who are on a five-match winning streak.

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Delhi Capitals (14 points, 14 matches, -0.377 NRR)

DC have played all their cards and now it is a waiting game for them. 14 points might have been enough for their chances but the NRR of -0.377 does not help their cause of making the playoffs. The slim chances can only come true if CSK beat RCB and finish on 16 points, and SRH lose both their matches by big margins - which brings their NRR below that of DC. But given the gulf between their NRRs currently, SRH would need to lose by close to 200 runs combined in the two games. Unless there is a huge miracle, DC’s season is over.

Lucknow Super Giants (12 points, 13 matches, -0.787 NRR)

Remaining matches: vs MI (A)

LSG’s defeat to DC further hurt their chances of qualifying. they can finish on 14 points, but even if they score 200 runs against Mumbai Indians in their final match and win by 100 runs, their net run rate will only go up to -0.351. Again, like DC, mathematical chance exists but unless there is a miracle, LSG are out of recknoning too.