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Trump’s baby boom push: Can cash, medals and IVF reverse America’s birth slump?
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  • Trump’s baby boom push: Can cash, medals and IVF reverse America’s birth slump?

Trump’s baby boom push: Can cash, medals and IVF reverse America’s birth slump?

FP Explainers • April 23, 2025, 13:40:10 IST
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The US fertility rate stands at 1.62 births per woman, well below the replacement level of 2.1. In response, the Trump administration is advancing proposals including a $5,000 baby bonus, IVF subsidies, expanded child tax credits and reserved Fulbright scholarships for married applicants, thus luring them to have children

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Trump’s baby boom push: Can cash, medals and IVF reverse America’s birth slump?
A woman holding a baby reacts in the audience as then-Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump attends the National Rifle Association (NRA) Presidential Forum at the Pennsylvania Farm Show Complex & Expo Center, in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, US, February 9, 2024. File Image/Reuters

The Trump administration is placing the American family at the centre of attention, with a suite of measures designed to tackle the country’s declining birth rate.

Driven by economic concerns and cultural motivations, the administration is considering a comprehensive set of proposals to encourage childbirth, promote marriage and provide support for larger families, reported The New York Times.

The push has introduced a new chapter in the nation’s long-running debate over demographic health, reproductive policy and the meaning of family.

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At the heart of this agenda is a response to the falling fertility rate in the United States, which currently sits at 1.62 births per woman — well below the replacement level of 2.1.

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The consequences of this decline, experts say, could include long-term economic stagnation, an imbalanced age distribution and a shrinking labour force.

The administration’s strategy is not only a policy response but also a cultural campaign aimed at re-establishing family life as a national priority.

What may Trump have in mind 

Among the most prominent ideas under consideration is a one-time $5,000 baby bonus for every American mother following childbirth.

This direct cash incentive is designed to reduce the immediate financial pressure that often accompanies parenthood and to signal government support for child-rearing.

Another significant measure is the proposed reform of scholarship distribution, particularly within the Fulbright Programme.

As part of the pronatalist agenda, up to 30 per cent of Fulbright scholarships could be reserved for applicants who are either married or have children — marking a notable departure from merit- and academic-focused selection norms toward prioritising family status.

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The administration is also reviewing a proposal to award a National Medal of Motherhood to women raising six or more children. Though symbolic, this recognition aligns with the broader vision of honouring large families and publicly celebrating parenthood at a national level.

Access to fertility treatments is also a key component. The administration has signalled support for expanded access to in vitro fertilisation (IVF), and a major report — expected to be released by mid-May — will lay out recommendations to reduce the cost and increase the availability of IVF services.

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This comes on the heels of an executive order signed in February that made affordability in reproductive assistance a formal goal.

Additionally, government-funded fertility education programmes are being developed. These would aim to improve public knowledge about ovulation patterns and reproductive health, including identifying early signs of infertility.

Advocates believe this information could help individuals and couples make informed decisions about family planning earlier in life.

From the White House to Silicon Valley

The driving forces behind these ideas span the political, economic, and cultural spectrum. US Vice President JD Vance, who is a father of three, has consistently championed the message that the United States needs more children, and has publicly echoed the administration’s pronatalist stance at national events, including the March for Life.

Elon Musk, the billionaire entrepreneur and father of 12, has also thrown his weight behind the movement . Musk has warned that civilisation faces decline if people do not have more children, reflecting a technocratic and demographic rationale for the proposals rather than a purely cultural one.

Trump, in his second term, has made the issue personal and prominent. At CPAC 2023, he declared, “We will support baby booms and we will support baby bonuses for a new baby boom. I want a baby boom.”

He has also embraced the nickname “fertilisation president” and, in public speeches, consistently returned to the idea of sparking a renewed national commitment to childbearing.

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The administration’s family-centric policies are also tied to its broader roadmap for governance, Project 2025, which outlines an ambition to “restore the family as the centrepiece of American life.”

While Trump’s earlier terms focused heavily on deregulation, trade, and immigration, this new phase introduces an emphasis on cultural transformation centered on domestic life.

Conservative morality or Reproductive access?

Though there is broad agreement among pronatalist advocates that America’s demographic decline must be addressed, divisions have surfaced over the best route forward.

According to The New York Times, many Christian conservatives frame the crisis as one rooted in culture, pointing to declining rates of marriage and a perceived devaluation of traditional gender roles.

Others, like Musk and fertility policy experts, focus more on technological solutions. They argue that access to IVF and other assisted reproductive technologies will be vital to reversing fertility trends in an era where people are marrying later and facing more challenges conceiving.

The conversation has also stirred tension over ethical and ideological boundaries. Some conservatives remain wary of IVF due to concerns about embryo destruction, while others — such as the Heritage Foundation’s Emma Waters — propose investment in fertility education as a middle path that focuses on natural reproductive health.

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The New York Times quoted Waters who noted, “Pronatalism strictly speaks to having more babies,” but added that the broader vision is about rebuilding the family unit: “Our ultimate goal is not just more babies, but more families formed.”

Who is being left out?

While the administration’s approach has attracted strong support from pro-family and conservative circles, it has also drawn criticism from a variety of quarters.

Some have raised concerns about the ideological undertones of prioritising traditional families — potentially at the expense of inclusivity.

Critics argue that the current proposals reflect a narrow definition of family, one that may exclude or marginalise LGBTQ+ parents, adoptive families, single parents, and others who do not conform to conventional structures.

Others have questioned the scientific merit of some initiatives, especially the emphasis on menstrual tracking and fertility education.

“This is not actual medicine,” Dr. Eve Feinberg, a reproductive health expert at Northwestern University, told The New York Times in response to the fertility education programmes.

Nonetheless, she welcomed the idea of increasing government investment in reproductive research and infertility care. “Women’s health has been underfunded for so long,” she added.

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Pronatalist leaders like Simone Collins, who alongside her husband Malcolm has submitted draft executive orders to the White House, believe the movement is making real inroads.

One of their proposals includes the motherhood medal, and Collins sees a stark contrast in the current administration’s tone. “Look at the number of kids that major leaders in the administration have. You didn’t hear about kids in the same way under Biden,” she told The New York Times.

Whether the full scope of the administration’s proposals becomes law remains to be seen. Many initiatives — especially those involving tax credits, child benefits, and scholarship reforms — will require Congressional approval and could face opposition or revisions during the legislative process.

Moreover, some existing family-support programmes are under pressure from budget constraints, creating tension between ambitious proposals and fiscal realities.

Nonetheless, the administration is proceeding with its plans and has opened its doors to input from a wide range of stakeholders.

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Lyman Stone, director of the Pronatalism Initiative at the Institute for Family Studies, confirmed that “The Trump administration is listening to a lot of different ideas and soliciting input on all of this.”

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With inputs from agencies

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Donald Trump Elon Musk JD Vance United States of America
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