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Poll of Exit Polls 2024: How Modi-led NDA is set for a hat-trick
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  • Poll of Exit Polls 2024: How Modi-led NDA is set for a hat-trick

Poll of Exit Polls 2024: How Modi-led NDA is set for a hat-trick

FP Explainers • June 2, 2024, 10:21:35 IST
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The News18 Mega Exit poll has given the BJP-led NDA between 355 and 370 seats with BJP itself estimated to get 305 to 315 seats. The pollster gave the INDI alliance between 125 and 140 seats and the Congress 62 to 72 seats. But what did the other agencies say?

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Poll of Exit Polls 2024: How Modi-led NDA is set for a hat-trick
Prime Minister Narendra Modi in Varanasi on 21 May. Exit polls predict that Modi is likely third term win. PTI

As the seventh and final phase of the Lok Sabha elections came to an end on Saturday, the exit polls predicted a massive win for the BJP-led NDA.

The alliance currently has 342 seats in Parliament.

Meanwhile, the Congress, which is part of the INDI alliance, has 52 seats in Parliament.

Remember, the BJP-led NDA has this time set itself a lofty target of 400 seats.

There are 543 seats in the Lok Sabha and the halfway mark is 272.

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But what do the pollsters predict this time?

Let’s take a closer look:

Nearly all pollsters have predicted that the BJP-led NDA will return – with an even bigger footprint.

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The News18 mega exit poll has given the BJP-led NDA between 355 and 370 seats.

The BJP itself is estimated to get 305 to 315 seats.

The pollster gave the INDI alliance between 125 and 140 seats and the Congress 62 to 72 seats.

News18

It predicted others would get between 42 and 52 seats.

Today’s Chanakya, the most accurate pollster over the past two Lok Sabha elections, has predicted that the NDA will get between 385 and 415 seats – thus possibly fulfilling its pre-poll vow.

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The BJP itself is estimated to get 320 to 350 seats seats.

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Meanwhile, the INDI alliance is predicted to get between 96 and 118 seats.

Today’s Chanakya has also predicted that other parties will get between 27 and 45 seats.

The Dainik Bhaskar poll has given the NDA between 281 and 350 seats. The pollster has predicted the INDI alliance will get between 145 and 201 seats, while others will net 33 to 49 seats.

The Jan Ki Baat exit poll has predicted a massive gain for the NDA. It puts the alliance’s estimate between 362 and 392 seats.

Meanwhile, the pollster gives the INDI alliance between 141 and 161 seats and others between 10 and 20 seats.

The India Today-My Axis poll gave the NDA between 361 and 401 seats.

Meanwhile, the INDI alliance was estimated to get from 131 to 166 seats.

Other parties were estimated to get between 8 and 20 seats.

C Voter gave the NDA between 353 to 383 seats,

Meanwhile, the INDI alliance was estimated to get from 152 to 182

It gave other parties between 4 and 12 seats.

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The India News-D Dyanmics poll predicted that the NDA would expand its tally to 371 seats. It said the INDI alliance would net 125 seats, while other parties would get 47 seats.

The Republic Bharat-Matrize poll said the NDA would get between 353 and 368 seats. Meanwhile it said the INDI alliance would get around 118 to 133 seats.

It estimated that other parties would get 50 seats.

The Republic TV-PMARQ poll also predicted a big win for the NDA with 359 seats. It pegged the INDI alliances’ seats at 154, while other parties were estimated to get 30 seats.

Nearly all pollsters have predicted that the BJP-led NDA will return – with an even bigger footprint.

The NDTV poll of polls puts the NDA’s seat estimate at 358, while it gives the INDI alliance 148 seats. It predicts that other parties will rack up 37 seats.

India TV-CNX has given the NDA between 371 and 401 seats.

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The pollster has predicted that the INDI alliance will get from 109 to 139 seats, while other parties are estimated to get between 28 and 38 seats.

‘Festival of democracy’

BJP chief JP Nadda on Saturday said the people have voted for a capable, powerful, developed and self-reliant India and to put aside appeasement, nepotism and corruption.

Nadda exuded confidence that his party will win more than 370 Lok Sabha seats and the NDA more than 400.

In a statement, Nadda thanked Prime Minister Narendra Modi for making this “festival of democracy” a success for the BJP.

“In this election campaign, Prime Minister Modi addressed more than 206 election rallies, did about 23 roadshows, gave about 82 interviews and made tireless efforts to convey the election issues to the people of the country. His efforts are definitely yielding results,” the BJP chief said.

Meanwhile, the leaders of several INDI alliance parties met on Saturday to take stock of the Opposition’s preparations leading up to the June 4 counting of votes polled in the Lok Sabha elections.

They claimed they will get more than 295 seats – enough to form the next government.

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Congress president Mallikarjun Kharge asserted the INDI alliance has arrived at the figure after feedback from people.

“The INDI alliance will get more than 295 seats. We have arrived at this figure after speaking with all our leaders,” Kharge told reporters. “This is a survey of people. People have given this information to our leaders. The government surveys are there and their media friends also inflate figures and put it out. Therefore, we want to tell you about the reality.”

Targeting the BJP, Kharge said, “They are trying to give a narrative through government exit polls and we want to tell the people the truth.”

Meanwhile, the INDI alliance parties also announced they will participate in the exit poll debates on TV this evening after the
grouping’s top leaders met and deliberated on the issue.

The development came a day after the Congress said it has decided not to participate in any Lok Sabha exit poll debates on television channels. The party does not want to indulge in speculation and slugfest for TRP, it had said.

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“After considering factors for and against participating in the exit polls, it has been decided by consensus that all the INDIA (bloc) parties will participate in the exit poll debates on television this evening,” Congress’ media and publicity department head Pawan Khera said in a post on X.

With inputs from agencies

Tags
2024 Election Analysis 2024 Lok Sabha Election Campaign Trail 2024 Lok Sabha Election News Election Basics Election Commission (EC) India Election History
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