Mexico election campaign begins: Will the country elect its first woman president?

Mexico is gearing up for its largest elections in history on 2 June.

As formal campaigning began today, the nation is on the verge of a significant shift in its political landscape. Mexico, with a population of 130 million, has traditionally been known for its “macho” culture. Now it is almost certain to elect its first woman president.

Along with selecting the president, voters will determine the occupants of 628 seats in Congress and tens of thousands of local positions.

The electoral process, however, unfolds against the backdrop of escalating cartel conflicts, President Andrés Manuel López Obrador’s political legacy, and the enduring, often turbulent relationship with the United States.

Here’s what to expect.

When is the Mexican election and how does voting work?

Parties selected their candidates well before the official start of campaigning for the presidential, congressional and municipal elections. On 2 June, millions of voters will turn out to the polls to vote for their new leaders. The winner of the highly anticipated presidential elections will serve a five-year term.

While most eyes are on the presidential race, Mexicans will also vote for 128 senators, 500 congressional representatives and for tens of thousands of local government positions.

Who is running in the Mexican elections?

Leading presidential candidate Claudia Sheinbaum has enjoyed a comfortable lead, with around 59 per cent of the vote, according to a February poll. The former mayor of Mexico City, Sheinbaum is seen as a continuation of populist leftist leader López Obrador and is backed by his Morena party.

Senator Xóchitl Gálvez is in a not-so-close second with around 36 per cent of the vote. Gálvez is a fierce critic of López Obrador and is running under the Strength and Heart for Mexico coalition. Trailing behind both is little-known Jorge Álvarez Máynez of the Citizen Movement party.

What are the risks in Mexico’s elections?

In swathes of the country eclipsed by cartel violence, many have raised concerns about a security crisis that has spiralled under López Obrador. In the first two months of the year, a handful of candidates were slain before the election season officially began. Watchdogs warn that this year’s elections could be Mexico’s most violent on record.

For critics, the election has become increasingly about democratic concerns, which fuelled massive February protests against electoral reforms made by López Obrador. However, the leader remains highly popular for many in Mexico’s working class, López Obrador’s base. With high inflation rates, such voters are likely to stick with a candidate that they feel will advocate for them. A great number feel that the president and his Morena party have done that.

Has there ever been a female president in Mexico?

A female president would be a huge step in a country with soaring levels of gender-based violence and deep gender disparities.

Mexico still has famously intense “machismo” or male chauvinism, expressed in its most extreme form in a high rate of femicides, but also daily in hundreds of more subtle ways.

While Mexican women have advanced to positions of political power in public life – in part because of required representation quotas for public office — women suffer from high levels of gender violence. Femicides — cases of women killed because of their gender — have been a persistent problem for decades.

With inputs from AP