 "Israel-Hamas war marks six months: What are the issues now?")
The Gaza war will complete six months this week since it began on 7 October 2023.
The war, which has resulted in massive casualties — approximately 33,000 Palestinians have been confirmed killed, with approximately 40 per cent of them being children — has turned much of the Gaza Strip into a wasteland, causing an unfolding humanitarian disaster. The territory’s 2.3 million people face dire conditions, including displacement, hunger, and a lack of medical care.
Mediators have been attempting to arrange the first extended cease-fire of the war in order to bring in aid to feed the Palestinian territory’s 2.3 million people and secure the release of some of Hamas’ remaining Israeli hostages.
Here is a look at the issues raised by the war and the prospects for peace.
How did the war start?
On 7 October last year, hundreds of gunmen crossed a border fence that Israel had believed was impregnable, and stormed through communities, gunning down Israelis in homes, cars and at an all-night music festival.
Israel says 1,200 people were killed in the deadliest day for Jews since the Holocaust. The attackers brought 253 hostages, including whole families with small children, back to Gaza. Although military bases were attacked, most of the dead were civilians.
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What has happened in Gaza?
Israel’s ground assault began in the northern half of the Gaza Strip and hundreds of thousands of residents were ordered to evacuate and flee south. After a week-long ceasefire at the end of November, Israeli forces turned their attention to the south, again ordering people to flee.
Since February, Israeli forces have patrolled nearly all of Gaza, apart from a small area in the centre and the city of Rafah on the southern edge, where more than half of Gaza’s population is now sheltering.
Gaza’s health authorities say about 33,000 Palestinians have been confirmed killed, around 40 per cent of them children, with thousands more bodies lost under rubble not recovered. More than 70,000 have been wounded, meaning around five per cent of the population has been killed or injured, not counting deaths from hunger, unsanitary conditions and the collapse of health care.
Israel says it has killed more than 13,000 Hamas fighters, and blames militants for harm to civilians for operating among them, including from a network of underground bunkers and tunnels. Hamas denies its fighters operate among civilians.
Can aid reach Gaza?
At the outset of the war, Israel imposed a total blockade. Gradually it allowed in aid, first through a pedestrian checkpoint from Egypt, then also through a nearby road checkpoint from Israel itself.
Israel says it imposes no limits on food and humanitarian supplies, but aid agencies and donor countries say cumbersome Israeli inspections mean shipments can be held up for weeks, and only a fraction of the 500 trucks a day Gaza once relied on can get through. Supplies that cross are difficult to distribute or transport because of lawlessness with civil authorities dismantled.
Israel says it is now opening up additional land checkpoints and allowing air drops and sea deliveries. But Gaza has no proper seaport, and aid agencies say air drops are small-scale and dangerous. These is still no land route into northern Gaza where conditions are worst.
Is Gaza experiencing famine?
Nearly. A famine has three stages — severe shortage of food, leading to pervasive malnutrition, and ultimately mass death from starvation and disease. The Integrated Food-security Phase Classification (IPC) global hunger monitor says Gaza has already surpassed the first two criteria — food shortage and malnutrition — and mass death will begin “imminently” without an immediate aid surge. It projects famine by May.
The IPC has said for months that Gaza is experiencing the most pervasive food insecurity it has ever seen. In a report in March, it said 100 per cent of Gazans were experiencing severe food shortages, and for half of the population — far exceeding the 20 per cent rate associated with famine — this had reached the highest level, category 5 or “catastrophe”.
In southern Gaza, where Reuters journalists operate, some residents have resorted to feeding their children boiled leaves. Reuters saw a number of children being treated for acute malnutrition in a hospital in Rafah, while conditions are reported to be far worse in the north.
Israel says the IPC report’s methodology is flawed and claims that there is no shortage of food in Gaza. It blames any hunger on aid agencies’ operations and on militants it says are hoarding food.
In addition to hunger, aid agencies worry about a lack of health care and sanitation. There are no fully functional hospitals left in the north, and only a handful in the south. Israel has repeatedly raided and besieged hospitals, saying Hamas fighters use them as bases, which medical staff deny.
Overcrowding fosters the spread of disease, and many people have little or no access to a sanitary toilet or place to wash.
Will Israel attack Rafah?
With half of Gazans now crammed into Rafah, residents say there is no place left to flee. Israel says the main Hamas armed units and commanders are sheltering there, and a ground assault is needed to defeat them. It has promised to coordinate with Egypt and to evacuate civilians further north inside Gaza, giving few details.
Washington has called the planned assault a mistake and says Israel can target militants with tactics that would cause less harm to civilians. The United Nations says an assault on Rafah would cause a humanitarian catastrophe. Many Palestinians say they fear Israel’s ultimate aim is to drive them from Gaza into Egypt, which Israel denies.
What is the status of ceasefire and hostage talks?
Since the war’s only ceasefire so far at the end of November, when Hamas freed around half of its hostages, the sides have held talks mediated by Qatar and Egypt on a further truce.
Both sides have proposed a new ceasefire of around 40 days, including the release of around 40 hostages in return for hundreds of Palestinian detainees. Each has rejected the other’s proposals, but mediators say the talks remain productive.
Israel says it will discuss only a temporary pause in fighting and will not end the war until Hamas is annihilated. Hamas says it will not free its hostages without an agreement envisioning an end to war and Israeli withdrawal.
What is happening on other battlefronts?
The war has been accompanied by surging violence in several other West Asia flashpoints, mainly involving armed groups that, like Hamas, are allied to Iran.
On Israel’s northern border it has exchanged regular fire with Hezbollah, a heavily-armed Iran-backed group, forcing the evacuation of tens of thousands of people from villages on both sides.
In the West Bank, where the internationally endorsed Palestinian Authority exercises limited self-rule under an Israeli military occupation, hundreds of people have been killed in the worst violence for decades.
In Syria, Israel has repeatedly targeted suspected bases of Iranian military advisers in air strikes. In Iraq, the United States retaliated against Iran-backed militia groups after strikes on US bases, which have since subsided.
In Yemen, the Iran-aligned Houthi movement that controls the capital has attacked shipping in the Red Sea. Britain and the United States have retaliated with air strikes.
How has Israel’s relationship with us evolved?
As the war has ground on, it has brought increasing friction between Israel and the United States, with little precedent in the 75-year history of their close alliance.
US president Joe Biden strongly endorsed Israel’s right to defend itself against Hamas following the 7 October attacks, but in a speech in Tel Aviv also called on Israelis not to be overwhelmed by anger. Since then, he and other administration officials have stepped up calls for Israel to do more to protect civilians and allow in aid.
Washington says its aim is a wider peace deal to normalise relations between Arab states and Israel, which requires prospects for an eventual Palestinian state, a central plank of US policy for decades that Netanyahu has repudiated.
Israel’s plan to attack Rafah has provoked stronger criticism from Washington. In March, the Senate leader of Biden’s Democratic Party called for Israelis to vote Netanyahu out. Washington later refrained from using its veto to block a UN Security Council resolution demanding a ceasefire. Netanyahu responded by cancelling an Israeli delegation’s planned trip to Washington.
The United States has continued to supply Israel with arms and munitions.
With inputs from Reuters
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