One year of MPC: RBI panel has its task cut out, will continue to pursue inflation target, says Michael Patra
Urjit Patel is of the view that RBI should aim at achieving inflation target without losing sight of supporting economic growth.
Mumbai: One year after a panel of experts started to decide the monetary policy, a Reserve Bank of India nominee on the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) has said the panel will seek to achieve the primary objective of inflation and also try to support the sagging growth going forward.
Attempt of the MPC, through its resolutions and individual members' views, is to make policymaking more transparent and predictable, RBI executive director Michael Patra, who is in the panel, has said.
Looking ahead, the task of MPC is clearly cut out and quoting Governor Urijit Patel, Patra said, "We should aim at achieving the inflation target without losing sight of supporting economic growth."
The six-member MPC has three members from RBI (the Governor and deputy governor in-charge of monetary policy being the other two and an ED in charge of the monetary policy Patra) and three external experts appointed by government, and is tasked to get inflation within a target in a 2-6 percent band.
Patra said shifting rate-setting to the six-member MPC was historic, and added the final calls get taken in a "room filled with debate and argumentation, challenge and counter-challenge, articulations of well-defended individualistic assessments, and voting".
In the speech delivered in Jaipur on October 27, which was uploaded on the RBI website only today, Patra elaborated on how the country made the shift to join a growing list of
inflation targeting countries and the MPC process. He said in the first four meetings, the panel voted unanimously on rate calls, but the growth-inflation dilemma started playing out from the June 2017 meeting onwards where there was divergence in voting patterns.
Patra termed the October 4 policy meeting as one held in a "dramatic setting", with growth sliding to a three year low of 5.7 percent for the June quarter and inflation also
He seemed to attribute the sharp fall in growth to demonetisation and also GST introduction, but reiterated MPC's assessment that structural reform measures will support growth over a medium term.
The revival of private investment holds the key for growth, he said, adding, "creation of a conducive environment for investment is critical,involving adequate recapitalisation
of stressed banks, closing the infrastructure gap, simplifying GST, hastening clearances and rationalising procedures by states relating to investment proposals."
In the wake of the note-ban which altered monetary conditions drastically, Patra said the RBI has done a lot of work on the liquidity management front which will be recognised in the future.
"The pangs of currency exchange preoccupied the nation, but when the definitive history of that time is documented, the RBI's valiant defence of financial stability, right from the morning after, will hopefully receive its due," he said.
In its October review, the RBI Monetary Policy Committee had kept the benchmark interest rate unchanged on fears of rising inflation while lowering growth forecast to 6.7 percent for the current fiscal
As per the minutes, Urjit Patel cautioned that "the present low level of food prices is unusual and is vulnerable to upward pressures".
Talking to reporters after RBI released its statement, Subramanian said there is a plausible alternative macro-economic assessment