New base year for GDP series to be decided in a few months, govt awaits industries, consumer expenditure surveys

  • The MSPI is working to bring in a new series of national accounts which would result in change in the existing base year of 2011-12

  • Though the ministry is considering 2017-18 as the new base year, no decision has been taken as the committees of experts are awaiting some more data

  • The economic growth slowed to over six-year low of 5% in April-June this fiscal and the government has been taking steps to boost investment

New Delhi: The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation will decide on a new base year for the Gross Domestic Product (GDP) series in a few months, a senior official said on Tuesday.

The Ministry of Statistics and Programme Implementation (MSPI) is working to bring in a new series of national accounts which would result in change in the existing base year of 2011-12.

Though the ministry is considering 2017-18 as the new base year, no decision has been taken as the committees of experts are awaiting some more data before finalising their opinion.

 New base year for GDP series to be decided in a few months, govt awaits industries, consumer expenditure surveys

Representational image. Reuters.

"The decision to change the base year (of GDP) would be taken in the next few months. We are waiting for the Annual Survey of Industries and the Consumer Expenditure Survey. All the preparatory work is getting ready for that. Once the result is out, we will place it before the respective committees (to decide about the base year)," MSPI secretary Pravin Srivastava told reporters at a FICCI conference.

The decision has to be taken considering global and national scenarios as well, he said.

Pravin also said that earlier when new series with 2011-12 base year was being worked out, the ministry thought of revising it to 2009-10.

But then the economists decided that 2009-10 was not a good year globally and domestically and finalised 2011-12 as the base year for new series of GDP.

On whether the economy will see recovery he said, it is too early to comment on it because a lot of inputs for tabulation depend upon the IIP (index of industrial production), CPI and WPI data, which would come in the first fortnight of November.

The economic growth slowed to over six-year low of 5 percent in April-June this fiscal. The government has been taking steps to boost investment and perk up the sagging economy.

Regarding experts' views that industrial production for September will see a decline after core sector output contracted 5.2 percent during the month, Srivastava said, "We do not speculate data. We wait for data to come because the data will tell us."

When asked about the need for a new GDP base year, he said the change in the base year actually captures the change in structures of the economy.

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Updated Date: Nov 05, 2019 16:10:18 IST