Gold prices off 14-month peak on firmer dollar as investors await US Federal Reserve meeting this week

Gold prices steadied on Monday after retreating from a 14-month peak in the previous session, as the dollar strengthened on the back of strong US retail sales report, while investors await the US Federal Reserve meeting this week.

Spot gold was steady at $1,341.66 per ounce, after hitting its highest since 11 April 2018 at $1,358.04 on Friday.

US gold futures rose 0.1 percent to $1,345.60 an ounce.

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“Markets’ focus is all on the Fed meeting on 18-19. For now, gold prices are holding tight. The markets have aggressively priced in rate-cut expectations and trade uncertainties have boosted safe-haven assets,” said Benjamin Lu, an analyst with Singapore-based Phillip Futures.

Representational image, Reuters.

Expectations of an interest rate cut at the Fed’s 18-19 June meeting fell to 21.7 percent from 28.3 percent on Thursday, in the wake of the strong retail data, according to CME Group’s FedWatch tool. However, bets for monetary easing at the July meeting remain high at 85 percent.

Weighing on bullion’s appeal was the stronger dollar, which is holding near a two-week high on Monday, supported by strong US retail sales data, analysts said.

US retail sales increased in May and sales for the prior month were revised higher, suggesting a pick-up in consumer spending that could ease fears the economy was slowing down sharply in the second quarter.

Meanwhile, US Trade Representative’s Office on Monday will kick off seven days of testimony from U.S. retailers, manufacturers and other businesses about President Donald Trump’s plan to hit another $300 billion worth of Chinese goods with tariffs.

“US-China trade tension is a supportive factor for the gold market, the unresolved trade dispute and any escalation is likely to increase demand for gold,” said Michael McCarthy, chief market strategist, CMC Markets.

Indicative of the sentiment, holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, rose 0.6 percent to 764.10 tonnes on Friday from 759.70 tonnes on Thursday.

Hedge funds and money managers raised their net long positions in COMEX gold in the week to 11 June, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said on Friday.

Physical gold discounts in India widened to their biggest in five months last week as an upsurge in local prices dampened purchases, while China and Singapore saw demand rising from investors looking to hedge against a global slowdown.

Among other metals, silver eased 0.1 percent to $14.86 per ounce, while platinum was steady at $798.66.

Palladium fell 0.7 percent to $1,454.35 per ounce.