Gold loses shine: Demand falls by 12% to 115 tonne in Q1 due to high local price, says World Gold Council

Mumbai: The gold demand in India declined by 12 percent in the first quarter of this year to 115.6 tonne compared to the same period last year due to high local gold price, the World Gold Council (WGC) said in a report. The total demand stood at 131.2 tonne in the January- March period in 2017, WGC said in its ‘Gold Demand Trends’ report for Q1 2018. In terms of value, the gold demand fell by 8 percent to Rs 31,800 crore, compared to Rs 34,440 crore in the same period of 2017. “The decline in demand can be attributed to a number of reasons, including the rising local gold prices, a substantial drop in the number of auspicious wedding days during the period compared to the previous year, and anticipation of an import duty cut in the Union Budget,” WGC, India, Managing Director P R Somasundaram told PTI here. “The transition to GST, especially by the unorganised sector, also affected demand to a certain extent,” he said. Also, the trade sentiment was subdued following the (PNB) bank scam, which continued till ‘Akshaya Tritiya’, he added. [caption id=“attachment_4399527” align=“alignleft” width=“380”]  Representational image. Reuters.[/caption] The jewellery demand in India for the first quarter dipped by 12 percent to 87.7 tonne, compared to 99.2 tonne in the same period of 2017. In value terms, the jewellery demand during the period dropped by 7 percent to Rs 24,130 crore, from Rs 26,050 crore in the corresponding period last year. The total investment demand for January-March was down by 13 percent at 27.9 tonne against 32 tonne in the same quarter last year. In value terms, the gold investment demand in the first quarter of this year was Rs 7,660 crore, a fall of 9 percent from same period of 2017, which stood at Rs 8,390 crore. The total gold recycled in India also declined by 3 percent during the first quarter of 2018, to 14.1 tonne from 14.5 tonne in the same period of 2017. “The first quarter in India is not naturally a dynamic period for gold as people usually settle their other financial commitments for tax purposes. Moreover, there was also no catalyst like duty cut to trigger demand,” Somasundaram said. Meanwhile, the gold imports declined by 50 percent in the first quarter of this year to 153 tonne compared to 260 tonne in the same period last year. “The imports declined mainly on account of subdued consumer demand, down stocking following the GST transitional period and also on expectations of duty cut in budget,” he added. Asked about imports this year, Somasundaram said the gold shipment into the country is likely to be on similar lines with demand. For the full year of 2018, he said, the gold demand in India is expected to be in the range of 700-800 tonne. “We are positive about the gold demand going forward due to expectation of better monsoon, higher rural income and overall GDP growth. The compliance standard is growing and in the long run its going to be positive and transform the industry,” he said.