Fed may cut rates near zero if U.S.-China trade worsens: Morgan Stanley

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve may lower U.S. interest rates to near zero by the spring of 2020 if U.S.-China trade relations deteriorate further and tip the U.S.

Reuters June 18, 2019 00:06:49 IST
Fed may cut rates near zero if U.S.-China trade worsens: Morgan Stanley

Fed may cut rates near zero if USChina trade worsens Morgan Stanley

NEW YORK (Reuters) - The Federal Reserve may lower U.S. interest rates to near zero by the spring of 2020 if U.S.-China trade relations deteriorate further and tip the U.S. economy into a recession, according to Morgan Stanley analysts.

Such a dire scenario would knock the S&P 500 toward 2,400, nearly 500 points or 17% below its current level, while benchmark 10-year Treasury yields would slip to 1.75% later this year, down 33 basis points from current levels, they wrote in a report "Beyond the G20" released on Monday.

(Reporting by Richard Leong; Editing by Richard Chang)

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