Yellow fever rages, and you would love to catch it

A combination of factors catapulted spot gold to its record high above $1,589 on Thursday. What added to the momentum are a weaker dollar after Moody’s credit rating warning of the US, the possibility of more Fed stimulus and Europe’s worsening debt crisis.

[caption id=“attachment_41469” align=“alignleft” width=“380” caption=“Gold prices are likely to refresh the record highs in the short term. Reuters”]  [/caption]

Spot gold jumped to a record of $1,589.56 an ounce, before easing to $1,584.51 by 0609 GMT. Gold was on course for its ninth consecutive day of gains, matching a similar winning streak in 2006.

US gold also hit a record at $1,590.80 an ounce. It was trading at $1,585.30, little changed from the previous close. Sovereign debt concerns spread from the euro zone to the United States, as Moody’s threatened to cut the US sovereign credit rating as debt talks stalled in Washington. “There is a lot of capital flight,” said a Singapore-based trader. “Lacking a really reliable destination, a lot of the funds leaving the bonds market are going into precious metals on the notion that their value will be retained even if policymakers are pressured to go to further extremes to work against contagion.”

More from Economy

Inflation likely to be a big focus area for budget 2024, say sources Explained: Will the Bank of Japan break tradition and raise interest rates?

Uncertainties around the US debt talks, together with Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke’s comment on the potential for further monetary easing, battered the dollar, helping support commodities. The ongoing euro zone debt crisis added to gold’s lustre. Fitch Ratings on Wednesday downgraded Greece deeper into junk territory, citing the absence of a new and fully funded financing program for the country.

“Gold flourishes when there is uncertainty on the macro side, and across the globe there are quite a few problematic hot spots,” said Xinyi Chen, an analyst at Barclays Capital.

Gold prices are likely to refresh the record highs in the short term, with the immediate target at $1,600 within a stone’s shot, traders and analysts said. “There is so much disquiet about bond market that it is likely to keep investors interested in precious metals,” said the Singapore-based trader, while warning that a price breakout could trigger greater volatility.

The Relative Strength Index, or RSI, on spot gold hovered around 70, seen as a technical sign that the market is overbought. Technical analysis suggested a bullish picture. Spot gold is likely to rise to $1,613 an ounce, said Reuters market analyst Wang Tao. Spot silver rose to $38.61 per ounce, the highest since May 31, before trading up 0.7 percent at $38.52, tracking gains in bullion and extending the 5.6 percent rise in the previous session. US silver gained 1 percent to $38.56.

Reuters