Brent nears 7-week high on Middle East tension

Singapore: Brent crude held steady above $105 on Thursday, near a seven-week high on geopolitical fears, while comments by the U.S. Fed about the world’s biggest economy avoiding a double-dip recession renewed hopes of a recovery in oil demand growth.

Fed chief Ben Bernanke’s comments helped improve sentiment across financial markets on hopes the global economy might not deteriorate further. But oil supply fears were stoked by a deadly bombing in Syria and an attack on Israeli tourists in Bulgaria that plunged the Middle East deeper into crisis.

[caption id=“attachment_382653” align=“alignleft” width=“380”]  Reuters[/caption]

Brent crude gained for a seventh straight day, rising to $105.83, its highest since May 30. By 0309 GMT, it was up 65 cents at $105.81 a barrel. U.S. oil gained 40 cents to $90.27 and also touched a seven-week high.

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“WTI rising above $90 implies that overall sentiment is turning positive,” said Tetsu Emori, a Tokyo-based commodities fund manager at Astmax Investments. “They touched their lows in June and are turning around. Tension between Iran and the West are also substantial factors.”

Brent has gained 20 percent from the lows touched in June. The contract had slumped since the year’s high of more than $128 in March on worries that demand growth would slow further as a debt crisis in Europe threatened to engulf the United States and emerging economies.

Sentiment has improved this month on investor optimism the worst may be over for the global economy.

Brent will gain further to $107.78 per barrel as it has broken above a resistance at $103.22, while U.S. oil will rise to $90.88 per barrel as it has also broken past a resistance, according to Reuters technical analyst Wang Tao.

Six people were killed in a bomb attack on a bus carrying Israeli tourists at a Bulgarian airport on Wednesday and Israel accused Tehran of carrying out the attack, promising a strong response to “Iranian terror.”

Oil also drew support on fears the 16-month revolt against Syrian President Bashar al-Assad would worsen after a bomber killed and wounded his security chiefs and rebels closed in on the centre of Damascus.

CAPPING GAINS

Yet gains in oil were capped by data from the Energy Information Administration (EIA) on Wednesday showing crude stocks in the United States fell less than expected last week as crude imports rose and refineries scaled back processing rates.

Domestic stocks of crude, excluding oil held in the Strategic Petroleum Reserve, fell 809,000 barrels to 377.39 million barrels, the EIA reported, compared with an analysts poll that forecast a drop of 1.2 million. Gasoline inventories fell 1.82 million barrels, bucking analyst expectations for a 1.2-million-barrel increase.

Reuters