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India's export crash in March is not a one-off; there are no quick-fixes for this

Apr 18, 2015

India's export crash in March is not a one-off; there are no quick-fixes for this

The sharp dip in March exports is unlikely to be a one-off event. The world is going to remain a difficult place to sell to in the foreseeable future, and there are no quick-fixes for improving the competitiveness of Indian exports #Inflation #GDP #IIP #global slowdown #imports #Rupee-dollar rate #Export Crash
Moody's, IMF and now S&P: Is the world turning pessimistic about India growth story?

Apr 17, 2015

Moody's, IMF and now S&P: Is the world turning pessimistic about India growth story?

Correcting the course would only do well for the Modi government. If it refuses to do so, it faces a trust deficit in front of investors #S&P #GDP #IMF #Narendra Modi #Moody's #Rating agencies #Land Bill #NDA #India Growth Story #investment activity
Negative inflation 5 months in a row: Forget RBI rate cut, govt may have to soon junk old WPI

Apr 16, 2015

Negative inflation 5 months in a row: Forget RBI rate cut, govt may have to soon junk old WPI

The Wholesale Prices Index has fallen five months in a row when retail inflation has risen in four of those five months. Clearly, one of them is clearly misleading, and it could be the WPI #Inflation #GDP #UPA #WPI #CPI #retail inflation #Data Confusion
Sorry Chidu, your 6.9 percent GDP growth in 2013-14 may also be fiction

Apr 14, 2015

Sorry Chidu, your 6.9 percent GDP growth in 2013-14 may also be fiction

Few economists believed the new GDP data which showed tigerish GDP growth of 6.9 percent in 2013-14. It now seems that there could have been a goof-up where corporate value-added data may have been overestimated #HowThisWorks #P. Chidambaram #CSO #Gross Value Added #New GDP Series #GDP in 2013-14
Decoding govt bonds: How borrowers are paying interest to themselves on their debt

Apr 13, 2015

Decoding govt bonds: How borrowers are paying interest to themselves on their debt

The total government debt all around the world had stood at $33 trillion as of 2007. It has since jumped to $58 trillion, a jump of $25 trillion, at the rate of 9.3 percent per year. #Economy #GDP #InMyOpinion #European Central Bank #Government bonds #John Truman Wolfe
Cheery stats: February IIP infuse some hope into India's torpid economy

Apr 10, 2015

Cheery stats: February IIP infuse some hope into India's torpid economy

According to the new GDP numbers, growth in manufacturing segment must be around 6.8 percent for the fiscal year 2015, but economists expect the growth to be in the range of 2-3 percent. #Economy #GDP #Narendra Modi #ConnectTheDots #IIP #Capital goods #Moody's #manufacturing
Credit policy: Why RBI may find itself caught between borrowers and lenders

Apr 06, 2015

Credit policy: Why RBI may find itself caught between borrowers and lenders

A round-up of the economy and the global disturbances is certain, but the central bank is conservative in its forecasts and would probably stick to the 8 percent GDP growth number with the usual words of caution. #Economy #Inflation #GDP #RBI #InMyOpinion #liquidity #Basel III
India may delay oil company share sales, threatening fund-raising target

Apr 02, 2015

India may delay oil company share sales, threatening fund-raising target

India has missed its target for partial privatisations for the past five years and now wants to break with the usual practice of bunching up sales towards the year-end. #Sensex #GDP #Disinvestment #NewsTracker #ONGC #Indian Oil #BSE #fiscal deficit #Arun Jaitley
Indian economy in FY15 is more full than empty and next year will be even better

Mar 25, 2015

Indian economy in FY15 is more full than empty and next year will be even better

The ADB has projected growth in India to be 7.8% for 2015, which though lower than the 8.1-8.5% projected by the Government of India for FY16, is still impressive as it does mean that it will come over growth rates of 6.9% and 7.4% respectively, in FY14 and FY15. #India #China #GDP #Narendra Modi #Growth #Indian Economy #ADB