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Crystal Ball

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CPI down, IIP up: But it's still too soon to bring out the bubbly

Jun 12, 2014

CPI down, IIP up: But it's still too soon to bring out the bubbly

The welcome dip in consumer inflation in May is cause for some cheer, but it does not mean inflation is going to continue going down. So don't count of the RBI cutting rates anytime soon #food inflation #Crystal Ball #May CPI #IIP April
CPI refuses to budge: Why whiff of stagflation is not going away yet

Jun 12, 2013

CPI refuses to budge: Why whiff of stagflation is not going away yet

Consumer inflation is not falling as fast as wholesale prices even as a weaker rupee pushes up imported inflation. It's not good news #IIP #Crystal Ball #GDP growth #CPI
Bad news for UPA: Economic uptick unlikely before 2014

Jun 05, 2013

Bad news for UPA: Economic uptick unlikely before 2014

The signals from various parts of the economy are still not positive for growth to revive any time soon. It won't come soon enough for the UPA to benefit from it #Business #GDP #Rupee #Corporate India #ConnectTheDots #Economic growth #fiscal deficit #Crystal Ball #Raghuram Rajan #PMI #Food Security Bill #BNP Paribas #Poor monsoons
GDP estimates: Why it's now looking worse than astrology

May 16, 2013

GDP estimates: Why it's now looking worse than astrology

The National Stats Commission chief thinks growth was much higher last year. The FM will be hoping he is wrong, because higher growth in 2012-13 may mean less this year #GDP #P. Chidambaram #C Rangarajan #Montek Singh Ahluwalia #Crystal Ball #CEO #Pronab Sen #GDP Projections
With mai-baap sarkar, 8-9% GDP growth is a pipedream

Apr 25, 2013

With mai-baap sarkar, 8-9% GDP growth is a pipedream

GDP growth of 8-9 percent is not India's birthright. If we want to grow faster, we have to give up the idea of expanding government into every area of life #Crystal Ball #GDP growth #PMEAC
Huff, puff, India will finally be a $2 trillion economy this year

Apr 24, 2013

Huff, puff, India will finally be a $2 trillion economy this year

India will finally be a $2 trillion economy this year, but getting back to 8-9 percent growth and becoming a middle income country needs faster reforms #C Rangarajan #Crystal Ball #PMEAC #Indian Economy
That sinking feeling: No sign of green shoots of revival

Apr 02, 2013

That sinking feeling: No sign of green shoots of revival

UPA arrived on the scene with growth at twice the rate of inflation. In its last year, we are seeing the opposite - growth at half the rate of inflation #Crystal Ball #GDP growth #Slowdown #HIndu Rate of Growth
Why falling car sales is bad news for almost everybody

Mar 12, 2013

Why falling car sales is bad news for almost everybody

When car sales crash, the impact goes far beyond the auto industry. It is a sign of sinking consumer confidence in the economic future #ConnectTheDots #Crystal Ball #car sales #GDP Slowdown #Auto Output
Why predictions make asses out of all of us

Feb 11, 2013

Why predictions make asses out of all of us

Why does the dollar fly even when the US govt is overloaded with debt? Why does the Sensex struggle to give positive returns? A mea culpa and an explanation on why predictions go wrong #Sensex #HowThisWorks #US Dollar #Crystal Ball
Revisiting Sensex 60,000: Why India is back in the game

Jul 07, 2012

Revisiting Sensex 60,000: Why India is back in the game

Thanks to greater mismanagement by US and Europe, India is looking much better. We could now get back into the game despite our no-show last year #Crystal Ball #000 #Sensex 60