Equation for India
Here it is: India will need to beat South Africa by 31 runs or by 24 balls to spare to go ahead of Pakistan's net run-rate. And more... If India score 160, they need to win by 32 runs; if they score 140, the margin needs to be at least 31. Too complicated. There was a time when cricket was just about winning and losing. When did maths get into the picture.
Australia 117-7 after 20 overs
Hussey 54, Starc 1
Hussey sealed Australia's spot in the semis with a four off the first ball of the last over but Pakistan have won the match by 32 runs. We'll have the calculations of what India needs to do to get through to the semis in a bit.
Australia 110-7 after 19 overs
PJ Cummins lbw b Saeed Ajmal 0 (1b)
That was plumb. Two wickets in two balls. Australia need 2 in 6 balls to qualify for the semis. If they do, then South Africa are knocked out.
Australia 110-6 after 18.5 overs
M Wade b Saeed Ajmal 13 (14b, 1x4)
Bowled! Wade walking back. Australia are 110-6. Ajmal was the bowler. The batsman was once again trying to sweep.
Australia 105-5 after 18 overs
Hussey 46, Wade 11
Great bowling by Gul -- everything was right up in the blockhole. Australia need 7 more to make sure of a place in the semis. 12 balls to go.
Australia 101-5 after 17 overs
Hussey 42, Wade 10
Hussey playing another blinder here. Remember Mike Hussey's 60* in 24 balls, 3 fours, 6 sixes against Pakistan in WT20 2010 semi-final. It was a classic. This is looking like another classic in the making.
Australia 82-5 after 15 overs
Hussey 26, Wade 8
Australia now seem to be playing to get to 112 first. After that they can launch an assault. But that will ensure a place in the semis for them.
Australia 65-5 after 13.3 overs
G Maxwell c Mohammad Hafeez b Raza Hasan 4 (5b)
Another wicket. What's just happening here? Smell an upset. Yes, we do. Pakistan's spinners are tightening the noose here. Were Australia depending too much on Watson? Yes. That too. All down to Hussey now.
So far in this World T20 Australia had exceeded the expectations and Pakistan bowlers were below par. Sanity restored in this game!
— Aakash Chopra (@cricketaakash) अक्टूबर 2, 2012
Australia 58-4 after 12 overs
C White c Imran Nazir b Mohammad Hafeez 12 (11b, 1x6)
Gone! Another wicket. White caught in the deep by Nazir, going for a big shot there. He had hit a 6 earlier in the over, decided to take the risk again. But ended up getting just height and not enough distance on it.
What's harakiri known as Down Under?
— Cricketwallah (@cricketwallah) अक्टूबर 2, 2012
Australia 48-3 after 11 overs
Hussey 13, White 3
And we have a match on our hands. This won't be easy but Australia will want at least the bare minimum and that's 112. So expect them to play a slow and steady game. Hussey is the key though.
Australia 44-3 after 9.3 overs
G Bailey lbw b Saeed Ajmal 15 (12b, 1x4, 1x6)
Ajmal strikes! Another lbw decision, Bailey walking back. All three batsmen were also going for the sweep shot.
Australia 43-2 after 9 overs
Hussey 12, Bailey 15
Australia are slower than Pakistan at the same stage. Pakistan had made 49 but batting isn't easy. Bailey smashed the last ball from Afridi for six to give the innings a small boost. This looks like a thriller in the making.
Australia 29-2 after 7 overs
Hussey 6, Bailey 7
Australia got just 21 for 2 from the six PowerPlay overs. Super bowling by Pakistan -- their spinners have kept things really tight. We are seeing a lot of spin from Pakistan -- all the bowlers so far have been spinners and it seems to be working.
— Mohandas Menon (@mohanstatsman) अक्टूबर 2, 2012
Australia 19-2 after 4.5 overs
DA Warner lbw b Mohammad Hafeez 8 (13b, 1x4)
The sweep shot once again brings about the downfall of a batsman. Warner was off-balance and Hafeez got the wicket. Pakistan have 5 spinners in the line-up -- Hafeez, Raza, Afridi, Malik and Ajmal. They should bowl all 20 overs.
And in case you came in late, Australia need to make 112 to make sure of a place in the semi-finals.
If Pak restricts Aus to 111 then Pak will qualify with a NRR of 0.378. Aus's NRR will be 0.350. Then India has to bt SA by 36 runs/28 balls
— Mohandas Menon (@mohanstatsman) अक्टूबर 2, 2012
Australia 15-1 after 3.4 overs
SR Watson lbw b Raza Hasan 8 (14b, 1x4)
And it can safely be said that Watson will not get the MoM award in this match. But what a big wicket for Pakistan. Raza rifled it in, Watson missed with the sweep shot and the umpire had no doubt.
— Saj Sadiq (@Saj_PakPassion) अक्टूबर 2, 2012
Australia 13-0 after 3 overs
Warner 6, Watson 7
Superb bowling by Hafeez and good thinking to have spin from both ends too. Warner looking distinctly uncomfortable in the middle and is perhaps lucky to have survived a huge lbw appeal.
The difference between winners and losers is that winners train and losers complain.
— Sports Quotes (@Sports_Greats) अक्टूबर 2, 2012
Australia 7-0 after 1 over
Warner 5, Watson 2
Watson took first strike today as opposed to Warner who usually takes it. Maybe it was because Hafeez was opening the bowling for Pakistan. Didn't make too much difference though.
Pakistan 149-6 after 20 overs
Umar 9, Malik 4
So, it's done. Australia need 150 to win the match and make things a little easier for India. Pakistan have given themselves a fighting chance. It hasn't looked like the easiest wicket to bat on and if they can get the top three back in the pavilion early, then Australia's untested middle order will have to show how good they are.
Pakistan 144-6 after 19.2 overs
Shahid Afridi b Starc 4 (2b, 1x4)
Four and gone. Afridi does his thing and has his leg-stump uprooted by Starc.
Pakistan 136-5 after 18.4 overs
Abdul Razzaq c Watson b Cummins 22 (17b, 2x4, 1x6)
Razzaq falls. Pakistan are 136-5 with 8 balls remaining, he just couldn't get that away. But he's done his bit and given the innings some momentum again. Afridi is in next.
Pakistan 123-4 after 17 overs
Umar 1, Razzaq 14
Some pretty comical running between the wickets happening in the middle. Razzaq calls for a single and Umar refuses. It's stunning. It's not like Pakistan has a lot of overs left. So what exactly are they trying to do? In between Razzaq is starting to tee-off. If he gets going, it could be great fun.
Pakistan 108-4 after 15.1 overs
Kamran Akmal c White b Starc 32 (26b, 1x4, 1x6)
Double blow for Pakistan, two wickets in the space of three balls and this might really hurt them. They were just starting to get going and the loss of these two well-set batsmen will hurt their momentum in a big way.
Pakistan 108-3 after 14.5 overs
Nasir Jamshed c Warner b Doherty 55 (46b, 4x4, 2x6)
Jamshed falls, caught at long-on. He made 55 and it was a very vital innings for Pakistan in every sense -- it steadied the ship and gave it impetus as well. Now, it's up to Kamran and Umar to carry it forward.
Pakistan 103-2 after 14 overs
Jamshed 52, Kamran 31
Super knock by Jamshed, he flat-batted a four straight down the ground to get to 50 off just 41 balls and is upping the pace with every over. Such disciplined cricket is not something that we have come to expect from Pakistan.
Pakistan 79-2 after 12 overs
Jamshed 41, Kamran 19
Another two big overs for Pakistan. This is going exactly to plan. Normally, Pakistan lose too many early wickets and then can't recover. This time, they have kept wickets in hand and are now going after the bowling with Jamshed leading the charge.
Pakistan 60-2 after 10 overs
Jamshed 25, Kamran 16
Pakistan need to get a move on. If they can get at least 80 in the last ten overs, they will stand a fighting chance. Watson has been the main man for Australia but the pitch is slowing down and hitting fours will not be easy. Just 5 fours in the Pakistan innings so far.
Pakistan 29-2 after 5.4 overs
Imran Nazir c Bailey b Watson 14 (13b, 2x4)
And just as we say that... Nazir falls. caught by Bailey at mid-off. The bowler was Watson again. Slightly slow full toss did the trick for him. Kamran Akmal is in next.
How come Pakistan is in early trouble Mr Holmes? Elementary my dear, it's Watson...
— Cricketwallah (@cricketwallah) अक्टूबर 2, 2012
Pakistan 28-1 after 5 overs
Nasir 14, Jamshed 9
Imran Nazir is an enigma much like India's Rohit Sharma. Capable of playing the biggest, most difficult shots in the world but always going a step too far. But when he does get going, he's hard to stop. Looks like today might just be his day.
Pakistan 12-1 after 3 overs
Nasir 1, Jamshed 7
Jamshed was dropped in the slips while he had not got off the mark. It might just turn out to be a costly miss but Australia wouldn't worry too much. They have made a good start.
Pakistan 5-1 after 1.1 overs
Mohammad Hafeez lbw b Starc 4 (5b)
What a ball! It swung in sharply, you could see it do that all the way. Hafeez had no chance. Australia once again started with spin -- Xavier Doherty. Good start for them.
Australia have won the toss and elected to bowl first against Pakistan in the second last match of the Super 8 stage. It's an important match not only for Pakistan but for India as well.
As things stand, Pakistan are slightly ahead of India in the Net run-rate stakes and a win will boost their NRR at least a bit. But the Pakistan batting is notoriously fickle and it will be interesting to see how they stack up against the Aussie bowling attack.
But all eyes will once again be on Shane Watson, if there is one reason to watch this game then it is Watson. Mathematics aside, it's interesting to see if he can continue his run.
Austraalia are playing an unchanged team while Pakistan have brought Abdul Razzaq back into the mix.
SR Watson, DA Warner, MEK Hussey, GJ Bailey*, CL White, GJ Maxwell, MS Wade†, GB Hogg, PJ Cummins, MA Starc, XJ Doherty
Mohammad Hafeez*, Imran Nazir, Nasir Jamshed, Kamran Akmal†, Shoaib Malik, Umar Akmal, Shahid Afridi, Abdul Razzaq, Umar Gul, Saeed Ajmal, Raza Hasan
Pakistan will have to pick up the pieces from their all-round failure against arch-rivals India and come up with an inspired performance against the unbeaten Australian side, which is assured of a semifinal berth.
One more defeat will ensure Pakistan’s exit from the tournament if India manage to beat South Africa later in the evening. Pakistan, who have a win and a loss in Group 2, have to clinch it against Australia if they wish to make it to the semifinals.
The fight for the second semifinal slot from Group 2 is indeed intriguingly poised as both India and Pakistan have a fair chance of making the cut with the Aussies enjoying a healthy run-rate of +1.712.