Uttar Pradesh Exit Poll Results highlights: Axis-My India, Chanakya predicts landslide win for BJP with over 250 seats

Narendra Modi’s address ends, BJP parliamentary board meeting to begin shortly

Will push myself more, won’t disappoint voters: PM Modi’s message to BJP supporters

In his victory speech, prime minister Narendra Modi said that he will work harder to ensure that the government delivers to the aspirations of the people . He said that the government is for all people, and he would like all the BJP workers and governments to work with this belief in mind.

Poll victories mark golden era for BJP: PM Modi

Addressing party workers, Modi said that the recent election victories mark the golden era for the Bharatiya Janata Party. He, however, added that this golden moment wasn’t handed down to the party by anyone, and he doesn’t regret the fact. He said that the victory was the fruit of party workers hard work.

UP overwhelmingly voted for change: Narendra Modi

Middle class bears the most burden, contributes the most for the nation: PM Modi

Tapping the massive support Modi enjoys amid the middle class, the Prime Minister said that the middle class bears the burden of rules and law the most and it contributes for the growth of the nation. He said that he seeks to empower the poor, which will not only strengthen the marginal section of the society but ease the pressure from the middle class.

These elections are an emotional issue for us. They come when we mark the centenary celebrations of Pandit Deen Dayal Ji: PM Modi pic.twitter.com/GWDlVFJNOt

— ANI (@ANI) March 12, 2017

We accept our unprecedented victory with all humbleness: PM Modi

Paralleling the BJP sweep in recent polls with a fruit laden tree, Modi said that now it is the party’s responsibility to accept it with humbleness. He said just like a fruit laden tree remains bowed in humbleness, the party too should work relentlessly for the people who have put their trust in the party.

Our unprecedented win should give political pundits food for thought: Narendra Modi

Elections are a festival of democracy: Narendra Modi

Addressing the party workers for the first time after the massive win in Uttar Pradesh, Modi said that elections are the festival of democracy and the fact that people participated in it wholeheartedly is a good sign for the nation.

Narendra Modi congratulates party workers for the UP, Uttarakhand win, credits Amit Shah for outstanding performance

BJP will fulfill all the promises it made: Amit Shah

Amit Shah, addressing party workers at the headquarters, said that Narendra Modi was not only a popular leader but he also succeeded in rekindled hope amid the poor that there lives can get better.

He also promised that the party will justify the faith that the people have shown in the BJP, by working for their development.

Amit Shah addresses party workers, say people’s mandate reasserts that Modi most popular leader

Spectacle of Modi’s cult in and around BJP HQ

According to CNN-News18 ground reporters, BJP supporters from far and wide places have come to see Modi’s address in the national capital. A BJP supporter, interacting with the News-18 reporter said he carries Modi’s picture everywhere and worships him like a god. Another supporter, decked up in saffron, said he had travelled from Rajasthan to see the Prime Minister.

People had been waiting at the party headquarters for over two hours but the programme has been delayed.

 Post a Super Show on Saturday, Modi Out to Take in The Applause

“Prime Minister Narendra Modi, having ended what the BJP often described in its campaign as ‘14 saal ka vanvaas’, will appear in public for the first time since his party’s landslide victory in Uttar Pradesh and Uttarakhand.

According to some reports, Modi could travel in his convoy till the Le Meridien hotel from where he could take the 100 m walk down to his party headquarters, where party workers, lined up on both sides of the Ashoka Road, are expected to greet him.” – News 18

Venkaiah Naidu reaches BJP Headquarters

After SP’s debacle in UP election, Shivpal Yadav vows to fight back in the state

Sidelined SP leader Shivpal Yadav, who won from his seat in Uttar Pradesh where his party suffered a rout, has vowed to fight back in the state. The win was a consolation for Shivpal who was fighting to redeem his lost pride in his native constituency.

In an unprecedented Modi wave, BJP’s vote share increased by 260%

In an outcome unmatched over the last 40 years, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) won 312 out of 403 (77.4 percent) seats in India’s largest state assembly in its most-populous state, increasing its vote share by 25 percentage points from the 2012 assembly elections to 39.7 percent in 2017.

The BJP almost repeated its performance from the 2014 parliamentary elections, when it won 42.7 percent votes and 73 (more than 90 percent) of 80 Lok Sabha seats.

From #NoteBan to Jan Dhan Yojana, all of PM Modi's initiatives are for the development of poor people: @VijayGoelBJP to @TanushreePande pic.twitter.com/5kFEDvEps6

— News18 (@CNNnews18) March 12, 2017

Central Delhi streaked with saffron as BJP supporters throng around BJP HQ, La Meridien hotel

BJP leaders reach BJP headquarters ahead of PM Modi’s Vijay March

BJP’s massive win proves Modi magic now transcends Hindutva

The message is loud and clear: The BJP juggernaut has moved into fifth gear. And what’s more, there are no speed-breakers in sight, at least not till 2019, when Prime Minister Narendra Modi seeks a second term.

Another thing that the outcome of the latest round of Assembly elections has established is that a good majority of Indians refuse to see Modi as a mere Hindutva leader who whips up raw communal passions to get votes. Instead, they perceive him as a man they can trust, as a man who can bring about development, as a man who can transform their lives for the better, and as a man who can bring in change.

In short, they see him as a leader who can deliver. As of now, the number of Indians who believe Modi can shape India’s destiny is large enough to ensure him victory after victory in elections. That should explain the party’s good show in four of five states — Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Goa and Manipur — that saw polling. Though it lost Punjab, its victory in UP, India’s fourth largest state, was nothing but a historic landslide.

The claims of Modi-baiters, essentially comprising those who suffer from a fossilised Left ideology and those who adore the dynasty that runs the Congress, that the Modi magic has been on the wane and that the 8 November demonetisation would be a first nail in his political coffin have been decisively proved wrong.

Meanwhile Mulayam does a U-turn, changes stand on SP’s electoral defeat
 

Mulayam Singh Yadav, who earlier grabbed headlines for reportedly accusing the “arrogance of alliance” for SP’s debacle in the just-concluded UP polls, has now said that no one was responsible for the defeat.

“Nobody is responsible for the defeat, there are no reasons behind it; this is the people’s mandate. The BJP has made tall promises let’s see how much of it they fulfil,” Mulayam said.

Haar ka zimedaar koi nahi,koi wajah nahi.Ye janta ka vidhaan hai.BJP ne bahut wade kiye hain, dekho pure karten hain ya nahi: MS Yadav pic.twitter.com/0ztWP4rgUF

— ANI UP/Uttarakhand (@ANINewsUP) March 12, 2017

Chants of NaMo NaMo echo at 11 Ashoka Marg as BJP supporters gather up ahead of PM’s ‘Vijay march’

Security beefed up in Central Delhi ahead of PM Modi’s of “Vijay march”

No matter who BJP picks to head UP, Amit Shah will be the super CM

The Bharatiya Janata Party’s parliamentary board is all set to meet today and probably the party will pick the chief minister to be for the states of UP and Uttarakhand. However, just like the way, the BJP’s election campaign was a one-man show, the chances are really high that the chief ministerial pick is an Amit Shah loyalist. 

According to a report in The Times of India , a party source said that Amit Shah wants the new chief minister should be someone “who can hit the ground running.”

Meanwhile, deliberations are on in the media circles and names liek Rajnath Singh, Manoj Sinha, KP Maurya are being talked about. The suspense will end by tonight, probably.

Party ke nirdesh ka paalan karunga, khushi hai ki party mujhe mukhya-dhara mein layi: Dayashankar Singh on withdrawal of expulsion from BJP pic.twitter.com/m9C6Ns0SXt

— ANI UP/Uttarakhand (@ANINewsUP) March 12, 2017

UP’s BJP chief brings back Dayashankar Singh

BJP president of UP Keshav Prasad Maurya revoked expulsion of Dayashankar Singh. In 2016, Singh had compared BSP chief Mayawati to a prostitute. “Ek vaishya se bhi badtar charitra ki aaj Mayawatiji ho gayi hain. Isi liye Kanshi Ram ke banaye karyakarta unka saath chhod kar ja rahe hain aur BSP samapt ho rai hai… Mayawatiji kisi ko 1 crore mein ticket deti hain. Koi 2 crore dene wala milta hai toh usey ticket de deti hain, aur shaam ko koi 3 crore dene ko taiyyar hota hai toh usey de deti hain (Mayawati gives a ticket for 1 crore which she changes if she is offered 2 crore. And she changes even that ticket if she is offered 3 crore by evening),“Singh had said.

BJP had expelled the minister after the controversial remark had stormed Parliament. BJP sources had then said that Singh would likely be expelled from the party for six years.

UP BJP President KP Maurya revokes expulsion of Dayashankar Singh who was expelled after his controversial statement on BSP chief Mayawati pic.twitter.com/XNXFAaFZPa

— ANI UP/Uttarakhand (@ANINewsUP) March 12, 2017

For UP ministers, an overwhelming thumbs down

Power does not necessarily ensure electoral victory – and so it proved for ministers of Chief Minister Akhilesh Yadav’s government, with people overwhelmingly rejecting them in the just-concluded assembly elections.

A whopping 31 of the 45 ministers bit the dust at the hustings, and where they did win, the victories were hardly convincing as most made it across the finishing line by slender margins.

Of those who lost,15 were cabinet ministers, a dozen were state ministers with independent-charge, and the remaining ministers of state.

A new India is emerging, which is being powered by the strength & skills of 125 crore Indians. This India stands for development.

— Narendra Modi (@narendramodi) March 12, 2017

When we mark 75 years of freedom in 2022, we should have made an India that will make Gandhi Ji, Sardar Patel & Dr. Babasaheb Ambedkar proud

— Narendra Modi (@narendramodi) March 12, 2017

BJP parliamentary board meeting today, party to decide CM pick for UP, Ukhand

The BJP parliamentary board will come in a huddle today evening to decide the strategy for forming a government in Goa and Manipur, while the party’s CM pick for UP and Uttarakhand will also be decided today. The meeting is scheduled to take place after Modi’ s grand welcome at the party headquarters in New Delhi.

Arrogance of allince took down Samajwadi Party: Mulayam Singh Yadav

Apparently UP voters didn’t like Akhilesh and Rahul ka sath and now Mulayam too finds it unsavoury.

The Samajwadi Party’s ousted patriarch has said that the alliance was the sole reason the party performed so poorly in the polls.

“The arrogance of the alliance is responsible for the debacle… I don’t know if you saw a thela-wala’s byte on TV who said I have always voted for SP but not this time as Netaji has been insulted. The message has gone far and wide. What could I have done?,” Mulayam was quoted by The Economic Time as saying.

All exit poll results at a glance

Region-wise vote share shows BJP, SP-Congress neck and neck in Uttar Pradesh

#upelections2017 #ExitPolls #2017VidhanSabha pic.twitter.com/tLFB3xIcsM

— CVoter India (@CvoterIndia) March 9, 2017

Watch News-18 analysis on UP exit poll results
 

#BREAKING TODAYS CHANAKYA predicts a clear majority for BJP in #UttarPradesh. @SANKETUPA @bhupendrachaube pic.twitter.com/mPiLyVh1W9

— News18 (@CNNnews18) March 9, 2017

Here’s the region-wise division of seast as predicted by C-Voter

#upelections2017 #ExitPolls #2017VidhanSabha pic.twitter.com/VTFHopvXC8

— CVoter India (@CvoterIndia) March 9, 2017

Today’s Chanakya predicts massive win for BJP, writes-off BSP in Uttar Pradesh

Here’s the complete tally

Ever wondered how is counting of votes is done, here is an infographic tracking the counting process

Akhilesh Yadav’s talks of alliance with Mayawati, shows SP’s weakness, says BJP

Axis-My India predicts sweeping victory for BJP in UP: #Watch News18’s analysis of the exit poll results

#BREAKING Massive surge for BJP in #UttarPradsesh according to AXIS MY INDIA predictions. @SANKETUPA @bhupendrachaube pic.twitter.com/waZgFYq5rL

— News18 (@CNNnews18) March 9, 2017

Axis My-India figures now out, predicts landslide for BJP in Uttar Pradesh

Could there be more than what meets the eye in Akhilesh’s alliance offer to Mayawati?

According to CNN-News18, West Bengal Chief Minister and Trinamool Congress chief Mamata Banerjee had reportedly spoken to Akhilesh and Mayawati, saying “secular forces” must stay united.

If this report tells us anything, it’s that Akhilesh Yadav’s statement, that was mostly been written-off as a sign of nervousness, has a much deeper meaning. This suggests that a larger counterplan to pull brakes of the BJP bandwagon elsewhere in the country is already underway.

With Mamata eyeing the 2019 Lok Sabha and projecting herself as a national leader, she is willing to make an alliance out of two very unlikely partners.

In an interview to BBC Hindi Radio, Akhilesh has hinted at an alliance with the Maywati’s BSP to avoid President’s Rule in the state.

Mayawati turns down Akhilesh’s offer, chooses to keep her cards close to her chest

In a fast-paced turn of events, BSP has turned down Uttar Pradesh Chief Minister Akhilesh Yadav’s offer of joining hands to form government in case there’s a hung Assembly. BSP supremo Mayawati was quoted as saying in News 18 that her party was confident of forming government on her own.

Earlier, Samajwadi Party leader Akhilesh had dropped a large hint while talking to BBC Hindi that his alliance is ready for a mahagathbandhan to keep BJP out.

Akhilesh never named BSP or Mayawti, our aim is to keep communal powers out of Power: SP’s Naresh Agrawal

AkhileshJi didn't mention BSP or Behenji's name; aim is to keep communal forces out of the state: SP's Naresh Agrawal on UP CM's statement pic.twitter.com/SR1h1pYXA6

— ANI UP/Uttarakhand (@ANINewsUP) March 9, 2017

Sonia Gandhi to skip counting day fervour, flies abroad for health check-ups

Congress President Sonia Gandhi has gone abroad for a routine check up and will not be in the country when results of the crucial assembly elections to five states come in on 11 March.

According to Congress sources, Gandhi has gone abroad for routine a check up as advised by her doctors.

Network18-Gramener projects a hung assembly, BJP gets the largest share

The Network-18 exit poll survey has predicted that the BJp will emerge as the largest party with close to 164 seast, while the Samajwadi Party-Congress alliance will be trailing at the second position with 147 votes. The pollster predicts bad news for BSP, with the party tariling third with 81 seats.

With pollsters predicting a BJP win, is new grand alliance on cards for Akhilesh Yadav

In an interview to BBC Hindi, Akhilesh Yadav has said that although he believes that the Samajwadi Party and Congress combine has got the support of majority in UP, but in case need be (read to keep BJP out of power) we are open to ally with the BSP.

Interestingly, Akhilesh used the relation of Bua-Bhatija (nephew-aunt), the same address he has used to take a dig on the BSP supremo, to say that he respects Mayawati as a leader after she considers him his nephew.

Akhilesh Yadav says ready to ally with Mayawati if SP-Congress alliance loses UP election: CNN-News18

What major polling agencies have to say about UP results: The big tally at a glance

Will UP poll results mark the end of Mayawati’s political career

If most exit poll trends hold on Saturday, and that’s a big ‘if’, then we can safely write the obit of Mayawati’s political career. It is quite clear that the Dalit-Muslim combination didn’t take place and she may have even failed to consolidate some of the Jatav Dalit votes who may have, if exit polls are correct, stayed with BJP. She has clearly weaned away some of the Dalit votes since 2014 but that probably hasn’t been enough.

With exit polls predicting BJP win, looks like UP has vindictaed Modi’s demonetisation drive

It’s quite clear from the trends available so far that demonetisation,  instead of being Narendra Modi’s monumental hubris that Opposition parties were hoping for and campaigned vigorously against, has actually turned out to be vote catcher for BJP. In fact, demonetisation seems to have turned around the erosion of votes that BJP had been facing in the Hindi heartland of Bihar and given Modi the kind of unbeatable political narrative that most politicians would die for.

‘Congress ka saath’ didn’t materialise into votes for Akhilesh Yadav

If ABP-CSDS predictions are to be believed, it looks like the friendly alliance of UP ke ladke, have in fact failed to fetch any votes for the Samajwadi Party, which enjoyed a sweeping majority in the previous Assembly election.

It is instructive to note here that the alliance was stitched together against the wishes of party patriarch Mulayam Singh Yadav, while many party leaders have also voiced their concerns about ceding too many seats to the Congress.

Yadav Pari’war’ to be the biggest political soap opera, if exit poll predictions materialise in a BJP win

Much before the real results are out,  Akhilesh-loyalists are busy defending their leader. Of course Akhilesh needs to be protected from within his own family. Mulayam Singh Yadav and his brother Shivpal would not let Akhilesh go off the hook in the event of debacle. First, Akhilesh made the cardinal mistake of ceding a huge political ground to Congress which was decimated by Mulayam. Second, he alienated all those leaders who were cultivated by Mulayam for forging an effective social coalition. If the exit-polls come true, the tamasha (drama) within the Yadav household would the biggest political soap opera involving a political family only after fracas between Indira Gandhi and Maneka Gandhi.

Close triangular contest, not Modi wave, could have turned the game for BJP in UP

If the BJP mops up votes beyond 34 percent in UP, there is little doubt that the party will sweep the polls with a clear majority. This share of vote would not have attained the same kind of result had there been a bipolar contest. Since the state assembly became a triangular contest among the BJP, SP and the BSP, it is going to be spectacular victory for the BJP in UP if the exit-poll surveys are any indication.

ABP News-CSDS exit poll projects a BJP wave in first four phases, here’s the complete tally

BJP leads in Uttar Pradesh in first four phases: ABP News-CSDS polls

As exit polls predict a BJP win, knives would be out in the Yadav household

Just before the exit poll results were to come, Prashant Kishor used the media to put up a bold face. He and his propaganda machinery put out stories that the SP-Congress alliance would get at least 180-odd seats. However in sharp contrast sources close to Mulayam Singh Yadav maintained that the SP-Congress coalition would fare badly and come poor third in the elections. Of course, in the next two days and nights, knives would be out in the Yadav household . And the exit polls conform to the real results, Akhilesh would face the first real and existential crisis of his political career.

Here is the Times Now-VMR prediction tally

Times Now exit poll sees BJP getting 190-210 seats out of the 403 in Uttar Pradesh

MRC-NewsX exit polls data also predict a BJP lead in UP

Here’s what Times Now-VMR exit poll data says

Times Now-VMR Exit Poll says @BJP4India Will emerge victorious in UP.
LIVE: https://t.co/c5NXBjUVSK pic.twitter.com/deRuwEeThO

— News18 (@CNNnews18) March 9, 2017

Meanwhile… is SP’s Azam Khan already on the defensive?

“If Akhilesh loses, it’ll be a big loss for the public of UP. And, it won’t be the sole responsibility of Akhilesh Yadav,”   Azam Khan said.

Earlier, Akhilesh Yadav has also said that the poor people can easily be lead astray. However, Mulayam Singh Yadav had expressed confidence that Akhilesh Yadav will be the CM of UP once again.

SP-Congress alliance to trail at second position in UP first phase

ABP News-CSDS polls have predicted that Samajwadi Party trail at the second position will 20-26 seats, whereas BJP will lead with 33-39 seats. The BSP will be at the third position.

BJP leading in UP first phase: ABP-CSDS exit polls

ABP News-CSDS polls have predicted that BJP will lead the poll results in first phase, with 33-39 seast.

Interestingly, it was considered that the saffron party will have to bear losses as the Jat community was apparently, miffed at BJP for going back on its promise of Jat reservations.

Pre-poll surveys predict a BJP win: Here is what the survey poll result looked like

Ahead of exit polls, pre-poll surveys predict big gains for BJP in UP

After a high-octane campaigning for over two months, results for Up elections will be out on 11 March, whereas the exit poll results will start coming in shortly. Meanwile, Firstpost gathered the key pre-poll surveys in one place to get a mood of the election season. The data we are interpreting was collected till January 2017.

Why business of poll predictions will remain as maddening as the Bhool Bhoolaiyan

As newsmedia will be abuzz with predictions in a while, here is why predicting poll results in UP will remain a tough nut to crack.

“The electorate of 140 million (among a population of 200 million) is close to the the size of the whole of Pakistan’s population (180 million) and will elect 403 legislators, mainly from a tight triangular contest. There is so much hype that the “prediction game” has attracted not only the satta bazaar, but also the entire media and the political classes. Everybody boasts of having a unique crystal ball!

But, the more one studies the largest state (243,286 square kilometres) of seven regions of East Uttar Pradesh (Purvanchal), West Uttar Pradesh, Awadh, Northeast Uttar Pradesh, Doab, Rohilkhand and Bundelkhand, it becomes clear that it is just impossible to generalise the trend or mood of the giant electorate.”

Counting of votes to begin at 7 am on 11 March

Meanwhile… sounds of discord coming from Samajwadi Party

Samajwadi Party leader Ravidas Mehrotra is apparently miffed at his party’s decision to ally with the Congress. He said that the alliance with Congress has reaped no benefits for SP, while adding that the Congress even tried to defeat SP at many places, according to ANI. 

Akhilesh could've formed govt alone. At many places Cong tried to defeat SP candidates,even if it meant victory for BJP-Ravidas Mehrotra, SP pic.twitter.com/tmJXOTe5ey

— ANI UP/Uttarakhand (@ANINewsUP) March 9, 2017

And here is what the final results came out to be in 2012

Once again, the exit poll surveys were right in predicting  Samajwadi Party win in 2012 Assembly Elections, but only Headlines Today could get anywhere close to the real numbers.

Here’s what the exit polls predicted before 2012 Assembly electios
 

Exit polls predicted BJP in lead in 2014 but got the numbers all wrong

While most pollsters predicted that BJP will lead, not many media houses predicted that BJP will sweep the election the way it did. Only Chanakya’s predictions at 67 were close enough to the 71 seats that BJP won in the state.

But before that…  Tracking past performances of exit polls in UP electoral politics

While the exit polls data is relevant and does often indicate the mood in a state, there have been times when exit polls got it horribly wrong. Let’s have a look at how such predictions have performed in the past.

Exit poll surveys to start telecasting results by 5:30 pm

After a high-octane campaigning for over two months, the wait is about to end as the results for Uttar Pradesh Election will be announced on 11 March. But before the counting of votes begins, Firstpost will track the outcome of all major exit poll surveys, which will begin trickling in after 5:30.