Firstpost
  • Home
  • Video Shows
    Vantage Firstpost America Firstpost Africa First Sports
  • World
    US News
  • Explainers
  • News
    India Opinion Cricket Tech Entertainment Sports Health Photostories
  • Asia Cup 2025
Apple Incorporated Modi ji Justin Trudeau Trending

Sections

  • Home
  • Live TV
  • Videos
  • Shows
  • World
  • India
  • Explainers
  • Opinion
  • Sports
  • Cricket
  • Health
  • Tech/Auto
  • Entertainment
  • Web Stories
  • Business
  • Impact Shorts

Shows

  • Vantage
  • Firstpost America
  • Firstpost Africa
  • First Sports
  • Fast and Factual
  • Between The Lines
  • Flashback
  • Live TV

Events

  • Raisina Dialogue
  • Independence Day
  • Champions Trophy
  • Delhi Elections 2025
  • Budget 2025
  • US Elections 2024
  • Firstpost Defence Summit
Trending:
  • PM Modi in Manipur
  • Charlie Kirk killer
  • Sushila Karki
  • IND vs PAK
  • India-US ties
  • New human organ
  • Downton Abbey: The Grand Finale Movie Review
fp-logo
Election survey: Congress will lose heavily but the BJP is not winning either
Whatsapp Facebook Twitter
Whatsapp Facebook Twitter
Apple Incorporated Modi ji Justin Trudeau Trending

Sections

  • Home
  • Live TV
  • Videos
  • Shows
  • World
  • India
  • Explainers
  • Opinion
  • Sports
  • Cricket
  • Health
  • Tech/Auto
  • Entertainment
  • Web Stories
  • Business
  • Impact Shorts

Shows

  • Vantage
  • Firstpost America
  • Firstpost Africa
  • First Sports
  • Fast and Factual
  • Between The Lines
  • Flashback
  • Live TV

Events

  • Raisina Dialogue
  • Independence Day
  • Champions Trophy
  • Delhi Elections 2025
  • Budget 2025
  • US Elections 2024
  • Firstpost Defence Summit
  • Home
  • Politics
  • Election survey: Congress will lose heavily but the BJP is not winning either

Election survey: Congress will lose heavily but the BJP is not winning either

Sanjay Singh • July 29, 2013, 22:53:55 IST
Whatsapp Facebook Twitter

If India were to have a hung parliament next year, it would defy national and regional trends over the last few years, with voters having given governments a clear mandate at the both the centre and the states.

Advertisement
Subscribe Join Us
Add as a preferred source on Google
Prefer
Firstpost
On
Google
Election survey: Congress will lose heavily but the BJP is not winning either

[caption id=“attachment_995321” align=“alignleft” width=“380”] ![The Congress will be hard pressed to end up with a third term in government. PTI](https://images.firstpost.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/07/congress-rally_3-nov1.jpg) The Congress will be hard pressed to end up with a third term in government. PTI[/caption] The BJP will have to cover a lot more ground over the seven or eight months remaining before the next parliamentary elections if it seriously intends to gain power at the center. The Congress, meanwhile, will have to work twice as hard in terms of policy and strategy if wishes to retrieve lost ground. A survey done by Times Now, C-Voter and India TV suggest that the BJP will emerge as the single largest party and the NDA the largest political formation as against the ruling Congress and UPA. Narendra Modi is by far the preferred Prime Ministerial contender over Rahul Gandhi or any one else but these preferences will not translate into as big an advantage in Lok Sabha seats, at least for now. While the predictions made by the Times Now, C-Voter and India TV survey differ with CNN-IBN, Hindu, and CSDS Election Tracker in terms of the numbers, the broad findings remain the same in both cases - Congress losing heavily but the BJP will not gain enough to win the election outright either. If that were to happen, it would defy national and regional trends over the last few years, with voters having given governments a clear mandate at the both the centre and the states. Not since the 2007 Uttar Pradesh elections have people given a fractured mandate in any state and 2009 was a clear pro-incumbency mandate for the Congress-led UPA. However, the two surveys suggest that the Congress has lost out in popular perception and confidence. The BJP, though, can’t celebrate because the gains made by the party are only marginal - from 116 in 2009 to a projected total of 131 as of July 2013. This certainly can’t make the BJP and its campaign committee chief Narendra Modi feel happy, but it can console itself that the survey predicts heavy looses for the Congress - from 206 seats in 2009 to 119. The survey claims that the UPA would get a total of 134 seats, down 93 seats from what it got in previous elections and the NDA could get 156 seats, up by 24. What should worry both principal parties, the Congress and the BJP, is that a potential Third Front (aggregate of non-UPA & non-NDA), which got 184 seats last time, could get around 253 if the elections were to be held today. This particular survey makes the interesting prediction that for the first time ever, the combined tally of the two main parties could be 250, far less than the 272 needed for a majority in Parliament. This suggests two possibilities: A Third Front or Federal Front could emerge to lead the government, or if Congress leads a new government by stitching together some kind an umbrella coalition after the elections, it will be a very weak government. If the surveys are any indicator, then the Congress may still have a chance in case of a fractured mandate, but the smaller regional parties will have a much greater arm-twisting capacity over the union government than they ever had in the past. The Times Now, C Voter, India TV opinion poll suggest that the Samajwadi Party (33 from 22 in 2009) and AIADMK (29 from 9 in 2009) are making heavy gains. Samajwadi Party chief Mulayam Singh Yadav has made his prime ministerial ambitions known but AIADMK chief Jaylalitha has so far not shown any such inclinations, at least in public. The CNN-IBN/Hindu survey had predicted that Congress will take a massive beating – down from its 2009 strength of 206 to 131 - 139, the BJP emerging as the single largest party with 156-164 seats and NDA being the largest pre-poll political group with 172-180 seats, way ahead of Congress led UPA 149-153 seats. It projected Others (a host of smaller parties) could gain as many as 147-155 seats without taking BSP, SP and the Left Front into account. The Congress has now gone into into a hyperactive mode. The paralysis in decision making that characterised it has been replaced by fast-tracking a decision on spinning Telangana out of Andhra Pradesh, joining hands with JMM-RJD for the formation of a government in Jharkhand, attempting to take sole credit for a populist Food Security Bill and putting another contentious but landholding farmer-friendly land acquisition bill on the table. How much these efforts will halt its slide will depend on the realities on the ground. In the meantime, Modi and his team will have to move fast and in a more decisive way to boost BJP’s prospects to get within striking distance of forming the next government at the center.

Tags
India Elections UPA Congress BJP PoliticsDecoder NDA Third Front
End of Article
Latest News
Find us on YouTube
Subscribe
End of Article

Top Stories

Russian drones over Poland: Trump’s tepid reaction a wake-up call for Nato?

Russian drones over Poland: Trump’s tepid reaction a wake-up call for Nato?

As Russia pushes east, Ukraine faces mounting pressure to defend its heartland

As Russia pushes east, Ukraine faces mounting pressure to defend its heartland

Why Mossad was not on board with Israel’s strike on Hamas in Qatar

Why Mossad was not on board with Israel’s strike on Hamas in Qatar

Turkey: Erdogan's police arrest opposition mayor Hasan Mutlu, dozens officials in corruption probe

Turkey: Erdogan's police arrest opposition mayor Hasan Mutlu, dozens officials in corruption probe

Russian drones over Poland: Trump’s tepid reaction a wake-up call for Nato?

Russian drones over Poland: Trump’s tepid reaction a wake-up call for Nato?

As Russia pushes east, Ukraine faces mounting pressure to defend its heartland

As Russia pushes east, Ukraine faces mounting pressure to defend its heartland

Why Mossad was not on board with Israel’s strike on Hamas in Qatar

Why Mossad was not on board with Israel’s strike on Hamas in Qatar

Turkey: Erdogan's police arrest opposition mayor Hasan Mutlu, dozens officials in corruption probe

Turkey: Erdogan's police arrest opposition mayor Hasan Mutlu, dozens officials in corruption probe

Top Shows

Vantage Firstpost America Firstpost Africa First Sports
Latest News About Firstpost
Most Searched Categories
  • Web Stories
  • World
  • India
  • Explainers
  • Opinion
  • Sports
  • Cricket
  • Tech/Auto
  • Entertainment
  • IPL 2025
NETWORK18 SITES
  • News18
  • Money Control
  • CNBC TV18
  • Forbes India
  • Advertise with us
  • Sitemap
Firstpost Logo

is on YouTube

Subscribe Now

Copyright @ 2024. Firstpost - All Rights Reserved

About Us Contact Us Privacy Policy Cookie Policy Terms Of Use
Home Video Shorts Live TV