NEW YORK (Reuters) - Oil prices fell more than a dollar on Monday, with U.S. crude easing from two-year highs on prospects of higher supply, and uncertainty about Russia’s resolve to join in extending output cuts ahead of this week’s OPEC meeting. FILE PHOTO: Crude oil is dispensed into a bottle in this illustration photo June 1, 2017. REUTERS/Thomas White/Illustration/File PhotoU.S. light crude was down $1.21 or 2 percent to $57.74 a barrel by 11:25 a.m. EDT (16:25 GMT). Brent crude oil was down 51 cents or 0.8 percent to $63.35 a barrel. Oil prices have risen sharply in recent months due to output cuts by the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries, Russia and other producers. However, higher prices have encouraged greater output among U.S. producers. OPEC and its allies cut production by 1.8 million bpd in January and have agreed to hold down output until March. OPEC meets on Thursday to discuss policy and most analysts expect a deal to extend the cuts. On Friday, Russia said it was ready to support extending an output cut deal. Still, Russia has not given a timeline for extending output cuts, and on Monday there were signs Russia may find it hard to comply. Oil output from Russia’s Sakhalin-1 project is set to rise by about a quarter to 250,000-260,000 barrels per day (bpd) from January, sources with knowledge of the plan said. “It’s the OPEC parlor game that we’re all playing,” said John Kilduff, partner at Again Capital LLC in New York, “The Russians being quiet about their intentions about the OPEC deal is a little unsettling.” U.S. crude oil production has risen by 15 percent since mid-2016 to 9.66 million barrels per day (bpd), not far from top producers Russia and Saudi Arabia. Rising drilling activity means output should grow further. U.S. energy firms, encouraged by rising crude prices, added oil rigs last week. The monthly rig count rose for the first time since July, to 747 active rigs. U.S. crude touched $59.05 a barrel on Friday, its strongest since mid-2015, buoyed after an oil spill forced closure of the 590,000 bpd Keystone pipeline connecting Canada’s oil sand fields with the United States. Some oil traders and analysts expected the Keystone pipeline to restart this week. Analysts at Barclays expect OPEC to keep output limits for another six or nine months. However, they said this was widely expected, so prices still might fall after the OPEC meeting. “This week, we expect volatile prices as market participants shed length,” Barclays said in a note to clients. “Prices might fall in the immediate aftermath of the deal as speculative length ‘sells the news’. Still, fundamentals should keep Brent at an average of $60 a barrel this quarter.” Harry Tchilinguirian, head of oil strategy at French bank BNP Paribas, also saw “plenty of room for disappointment.” “Should the outcome of the next OPEC meeting fall short of expectations, the large net-long speculative position on oil futures can unwind, sending prices lower and volatility higher.”
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Published Date: Nov 27, 2017 23:15 PM | Updated Date: Nov 27, 2017 23:15 PM