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Vivek Kaul

Feb 9, 2016

Why a much lower nominal GDP growth has upset govt’s fiscal deficit math

Govt earlier assumed nominal GDP to grow by 11.5%, but now thinks will settle at a much lower 8.6% this fiscal #Disinvestment #fiscal deficit #GDP #Inflation #nominal GDP #real GDP

Dec 15, 2015

Shale vs crude: Why oil prices are on a free fall even as Opec members suffer

The IEA monthly report expects the extra oil from Iran to add 300 million barrels to the already swelling oil inventories. #Anton Siluanov #Economy #GDP #InMyOpinion #International Energy Agency #oil price #OPEC #shale oil

Dec 14, 2015

Why stable real estate prices is not good news for builders

Data from real estate research firm PropEquity points out that as on 30 September 2015, a total of 6,048 luxury apartments priced above Rs 5 crore continued to remain unsold in Mumbai. #InMyOpinion #non-convertible debentures #Private equity #Real estate

Nov 21, 2015

Point blank: 7th Pay Commission recommendations will hit govt finances hard

In 2005-06, the total government expenditure had stood at Rs 5,06,123 crore. A decade later in 2015-16, the total government expenditure is projected to be at Rs 17,77,477 crore. This means an increase in expenditure at around 13.4 percent per year. #Arun Jaitley #Economy #fiscal deficit #GDP #InMyOpinion #Seventh Pay Commission #Sixth Pay Commission #Swacch Bharat cess

Oct 20, 2015

From Son of India to Make in India: Why the country is failing the manufacturing race still

Modi has the majority to get things done. If he doesn’t, chances are the Congress might be voted back to power. And there can be no bigger tragedy than that #ease of doing business #Make In India #manufacturing sector #Mehboob Khan #Mihir Sharma #Narendra Modi #Reforms #Son of India #TN Ninan

Sep 30, 2015

RBI cuts rate by 50 bps: It won’t revive the real estate sector; lower home prices will

Most of what is being built by real estate developers will continue to remain unsold. The real estate developers have priced themselves out of the market #DLF #home loan EMI #home prices #JLL #Rajeev Talwar #RBI rate cut #Real estate

Sep 18, 2015

Here’s the real reason why US Federal Reserve did not raise interest rates

Now that the FOMC hasn’t raised interest rates, calls for the RBI governor Raghuram Rajan to cut the repo rate are going to get louder #Chinese slowdown #global slowdown #InMyOpinion #Janet Yellen #Rate cut #RBI #US Fed rate hike #yuan devaluation