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Madan Sabnavis
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Madan Sabnavis

Madan Sabnavis is Chief Economist at CARE Ratings.

Mar 12, 2015

Shaky currency: Understanding the rupee’s fall when macros are stable

The fall in the rupee can be directly attributed to the strengthening of the dollar vis-a-vis the other currencies, especially the euro. The strength of the dollar is obtained from three factors. #CAD #Currency #Dollar #Gold #InMyOpinion #Rupee

Feb 28, 2015

Tax math, disinvestments will make or break Arun Jaitley’s Budget 2015

Evaluating the budget is always a tricky job and ideally one should score the earlier budget based on realization versus budgeted numbers. #Defence expenditure #Disinvestment #Economic Survey #Economy #Food Security Act #Fuel Subsidy #Gaar #GDP #Jan Dhan

Feb 28, 2015

Little Bang: Economic Survey 2015 takes a realistic view on reforms

The double-digit growth that the Economic Survey sees as possible is not statistically difficult. More interesting is the practical approach it takes to reforms in a diverse, democratic polity. #Arun Jaitley #Bank Reforms #Big Bang Reforms #Budget2015 #Economic Survey #economic survey 2014-15 #Economy #FRBM Act #Jan Dhan #NPAs #Reforms #SLR #Subsidies

Feb 23, 2015

Budget 2015: Five things you can expect — and not — from FM Jaitley

On the whole we should be abstemious in expectations of the Budget being a ‘make or break’ one or one that can shake the economy #Bank Recapitalisation #budget allocations #Budget2015 #Disinvestment #Economy Budget 2015 #FDI #Make In India #Reforms #tax structure

Feb 11, 2015

Don’t cheer the new GDP data yet, India has not recovered in a big way

The overall size of nominal GDP remains on par with what it was under the earlier calculations, which means that the size of the cake has not changed much due to the concept being reckoned on a new base year and at market prices. We have changed the composition within by adding back taxes to the concept of GDP which has brought this number up to different levels. #GDP #Growth #India #Ministry of Finance #NumberCrunching #RBI

Feb 2, 2015

RBI monetary policy: Don’t expect a rate cut, but Rajan may want to surprise markets more

It will be of interest to hear whether or not the RBI would be talking of its present ideology with respect to the number of policies that it would be pursuing #Economic Revival #Growth #Interest rate #PolicyWatch #Rate cut #RBI

Jan 12, 2015

Vibrant Gujarat: Summits are fine, but there has to be real investment, not mere pledges

No industrialist would like to commit money for projects which could be in jeopardy in case the ordinance is not ratified by Parliament. #Business #Economy #InMyOpinion #Investment #Ordinance #parliament #PPP #States #Vibrant Guajrat Summit

Dec 5, 2014

Banks cut deposit rates despite RBI’s status quo: Is monetary policy still relevant?

In a situation, where inflation rates are high and policy rates following suit, if banks lend at lower rates, then monetary policy perforce has to become more aggressive #Credit Growth #deposit growth #Inflation #Interest rate #Monetary policy #Raghuram Rajan #RBI