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Madan Sabnavis

Madan Sabnavis is Chief Economist at CARE Ratings.

Feb 11, 2015

Don’t cheer the new GDP data yet, India has not recovered in a big way

The overall size of nominal GDP remains on par with what it was under the earlier calculations, which means that the size of the cake has not changed much due to the concept being reckoned on a new base year and at market prices. We have changed the composition within by adding back taxes to the concept of GDP which has brought this number up to different levels. #GDP #Growth #India #Ministry of Finance #NumberCrunching #RBI

Feb 2, 2015

RBI monetary policy: Don’t expect a rate cut, but Rajan may want to surprise markets more

It will be of interest to hear whether or not the RBI would be talking of its present ideology with respect to the number of policies that it would be pursuing #Economic Revival #Growth #Interest rate #PolicyWatch #Rate cut #RBI

Jan 12, 2015

Vibrant Gujarat: Summits are fine, but there has to be real investment, not mere pledges

No industrialist would like to commit money for projects which could be in jeopardy in case the ordinance is not ratified by Parliament. #Business #Economy #InMyOpinion #Investment #Ordinance #parliament #PPP #States #Vibrant Guajrat Summit

Dec 5, 2014

Banks cut deposit rates despite RBI’s status quo: Is monetary policy still relevant?

In a situation, where inflation rates are high and policy rates following suit, if banks lend at lower rates, then monetary policy perforce has to become more aggressive #Credit Growth #deposit growth #Inflation #Interest rate #Monetary policy #Raghuram Rajan #RBI

Dec 1, 2014

Arun Jaitley will have to do a Chidu to keep fiscal deficit under check this year

FY16 will be the year to watch out for where the budget most certainly will be made more effective #Budget #expenditure #fiscal deficit #non-tax #Revenue #Tax

Nov 20, 2014

Govt should restrict gold imports by all means. Here’s why

Rather than be caught on the back foot, it does make sense to tackle this issue through multiple measures to ensure that the external count remains stable #Balance of payments #capital flows #Current Account Deficit #gold imports #Interest rates

Nov 1, 2014

Ease of Doing Business: With Modi at the helm, can we expect an improvement by next year?

Given the determination of the Narendra Modi government, it does look like that we can see significant improvements in the next edition of Doing Business of World Bank #approvals #Development #ease of doing business #Economic growth #Narendra Modi #procedures #World Bank

Oct 20, 2014

Reality check: Here’s why it is too early to cheer on economic revival

better than two years of stagnant growth at 4.5% and 4.7% respectively, we are still to see the Big Push come from consumption or investment #Consumption #Demand #Economy #Forecast #GDP #Growth #Inflation #Interest rates #Investment #RBI