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Madan Sabnavis

Madan Sabnavis is Chief Economist at CARE Ratings.

May 19, 2015

No govt could have done better than NDA but here are 9 subtle messages for Modi

The govt has taken a lot many initiatives; but they will take time to fructify #Economic growth #GDP #narendra modi's one year #Reforms

May 11, 2015

Gound reality: GST will increase compliance but won’t be a panacea for all our problems

A revenue and inflation neutral tax rate is ideal, but may be a challenge to pinpoint at this stage #Economic growth #GDP #GST #revenue neutral rate #Tax Compliance

May 2, 2015

Skewed govt policies to declining yields: Do we really care about agriculture?

Instead of spreading limited resources available across the geography, the govt should be targeting the vulnerable regions to bring about a transformation #Agriculture #green revolution #Irrigation #Loan waivers #Rice #Wheat

Apr 22, 2015

Listen up Modi, Rahul: Here’s a three-step solution for the land acquisition imbroglio

A formula that could be experimented with so that there can be some movement on the contentious issue #Land Acquisition Bill #Lok Sabha #Narendra Modi #NDA #Rahul Gandhi #UPA

Apr 6, 2015

Credit policy: Why RBI may find itself caught between borrowers and lenders

A round-up of the economy and the global disturbances is certain, but the central bank is conservative in its forecasts and would probably stick to the 8 percent GDP growth number with the usual words of caution. #Basel III #Economy #GDP #Inflation #InMyOpinion #liquidity #RBI

Mar 25, 2015

Indian economy in FY15 is more full than empty and next year will be even better

The ADB has projected growth in India to be 7.8% for 2015, which though lower than the 8.1-8.5% projected by the Government of India for FY16, is still impressive as it does mean that it will come over growth rates of 6.9% and 7.4% respectively, in FY14 and FY15. #ADB #China #GDP #Growth #India #Indian Economy #Narendra Modi

Mar 12, 2015

Shaky currency: Understanding the rupee’s fall when macros are stable

The fall in the rupee can be directly attributed to the strengthening of the dollar vis-a-vis the other currencies, especially the euro. The strength of the dollar is obtained from three factors. #CAD #Currency #Dollar #Gold #InMyOpinion #Rupee

Feb 28, 2015

Tax math, disinvestments will make or break Arun Jaitley’s Budget 2015

Evaluating the budget is always a tricky job and ideally one should score the earlier budget based on realization versus budgeted numbers. #Defence expenditure #Disinvestment #Economic Survey #Economy #Food Security Act #Fuel Subsidy #Gaar #GDP #Jan Dhan

Feb 28, 2015

Little Bang: Economic Survey 2015 takes a realistic view on reforms

The double-digit growth that the Economic Survey sees as possible is not statistically difficult. More interesting is the practical approach it takes to reforms in a diverse, democratic polity. #Arun Jaitley #Bank Reforms #Big Bang Reforms #Budget2015 #Economic Survey #economic survey 2014-15 #Economy #FRBM Act #Jan Dhan #NPAs #Reforms #SLR #Subsidies

Feb 23, 2015

Budget 2015: Five things you can expect — and not — from FM Jaitley

On the whole we should be abstemious in expectations of the Budget being a ‘make or break’ one or one that can shake the economy #Bank Recapitalisation #budget allocations #Budget2015 #Disinvestment #Economy Budget 2015 #FDI #Make In India #Reforms #tax structure