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Madan Sabnavis

Madan Sabnavis is Chief Economist at CARE Ratings.

Jan 22, 2016

Rupee may be moving to 70 vs dollar: Will 66-67 be the new normal?

One should expect more volatility in this market, with global forces directing the madness over which we may have little control #capital flight #China slowdown #competitive devaluation #Economy #FII outflow #global slowdown #Rupee #yuan devaluation

Jan 18, 2016

Startup India: More focussed than Make in India, Swachh Bharat but here are a few concerns

Will the forthcoming Budget provide sops and incentives for the manufacturing sector, facing economic slowdown pressures and subdued governemnt capex spend #Flipkart #Make In India #Ola #Snapdeal #Start-up India #Swachh Bharat #tax holidays #venture capitalists #Zomato

Jan 15, 2016

Here are six challenges to PM Modi’s new crop insurance scheme

The government needs to create the infrastructure to ensure that a larger population of the farming community is covered #agriculture loss #CCIS #Crop insurance #IMD #NAIS #rural distress

Jan 7, 2016

As China fire continues to singe, expect uncertainty to rule stocks, currencies

The chinks in the armor of China have been exposed in the last year with the realization that an investment based model of growth is not sustainable unless supported by consumption #Central bank #Chinese Economy #Commodity prices #exports #US economy

Jan 6, 2016

Rupee behaving in a whimsical manner: A real dilemma for RBI in such volatile times

On the face of it, the rupee is probably one of the better performing currencies as can be seen relative to the depreciation witnessed by other emerging markets #CAD #Currencies #Dollar #exports #FDI #Interest rates #RBI #Rupee #Yuan

Dec 22, 2015

Ten factors that mattered most for Indian economy in 2015

Stock market experts keep promising higher numbers because someone has to buy relentlessly to take it there. They now tell you that 35,000 will happen in 2016 #bankruptcy code #Chinese slowdown #CPI #Digital India #GST #Inflation #Rate cut #RBI #Sensex #stalled projects #Swachh Bharat #US Fed #WPI #Yuan

Dec 18, 2015

Mid-term eco review: Government to be the key driver of economy in FY17

The main takeaway is that there are mixed signals right now in the economy leaning on then positive, and that the government will play a pivotal role in moving things. #fiscal deficit target #GDP growth forecast #Inflation #Mid-year economic review #RBI

Dec 6, 2015

Does European Central Bank’s stimulus move have any message for the RBI?

For India, instead of the RBI, it is the government which can be more effective in stimulating demand #bond buyback #ECB #financial stimulus #Interest rate #Mario Draghi #RBI

Dec 2, 2015

RBI policy: No news is good news for market players. Here’s why

No direct clues have been left for the next policy and hence to use the cliché, one needs to wait and watch #Consumption #fiscal deficit #Inflation #Interest rate #Monetary policy #rabi sowing #RBI policy #Real estate #Union Budget