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Madan Sabnavis

Madan Sabnavis is Chief Economist at CARE Ratings.

Dec 5, 2014

Banks cut deposit rates despite RBI’s status quo: Is monetary policy still relevant?

In a situation, where inflation rates are high and policy rates following suit, if banks lend at lower rates, then monetary policy perforce has to become more aggressive #Credit Growth #deposit growth #Inflation #Interest rate #Monetary policy #Raghuram Rajan #RBI

Dec 1, 2014

Arun Jaitley will have to do a Chidu to keep fiscal deficit under check this year

FY16 will be the year to watch out for where the budget most certainly will be made more effective #Budget #expenditure #fiscal deficit #non-tax #Revenue #Tax

Nov 20, 2014

Govt should restrict gold imports by all means. Here’s why

Rather than be caught on the back foot, it does make sense to tackle this issue through multiple measures to ensure that the external count remains stable #Balance of payments #capital flows #Current Account Deficit #gold imports #Interest rates

Nov 1, 2014

Ease of Doing Business: With Modi at the helm, can we expect an improvement by next year?

Given the determination of the Narendra Modi government, it does look like that we can see significant improvements in the next edition of Doing Business of World Bank #approvals #Development #ease of doing business #Economic growth #Narendra Modi #procedures #World Bank

Oct 20, 2014

Reality check: Here’s why it is too early to cheer on economic revival

better than two years of stagnant growth at 4.5% and 4.7% respectively, we are still to see the Big Push come from consumption or investment #Consumption #Demand #Economy #Forecast #GDP #Growth #Inflation #Interest rates #Investment #RBI

Oct 10, 2014

Only smoke, no fire: Modi-Rajan tussle on CPI inflation unlikely. Here’s why

The new structure will be based on sound economic reasoning and not subjected to extreme political compulsions #CPI #Inflation #Inflation targeting #Narendra Modi #Raghuram Rajan #WPI

Sep 11, 2014

RBI and government to sing the same inflation anthem?

The sting in monetary policy is felt when there is a surprise element. Or so theory says because once economic agents know how policy will be guided, then all 'rational actions' follow and the result is predictable. The RBI first brought about some predictability in the course of monetary policy by instituting a Committee to study and recommend the future course and direction.
#CPI #Government #Inflation #Inflation targetting #Monetary policy #RBI

Sep 3, 2014

Forget Modi’s past 100 days, it is the next 265 that are important

barring inflation, the general economic conditions look more encouraging than they did last year, which is a good cushion for the government that is trying to create an enabling environment for investment and economic activity #economic reforms #FDI #India #Japan #Narendra Modi #Tokyo

Aug 6, 2014

Winning inflation battle is RBI’s goal: Markets must wait longer for rate cut

It is actually now a no-brainer that rates will be lowered only when CPI inflation comes down and remains within acceptable levels #CPI #CRR #Inflation #Interest rates #Raghuram Rajan #RBI #RBI policy #SLR #WPI