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Madan Sabnavis

Madan Sabnavis is Chief Economist at CARE Ratings.

Dec 8, 2016

Demonetisation one month: What defines the success of note ban?

How would we evaluate the success of the scheme? Will it be in terms of the gains in revenue relative to loss of GDP? Or will it be the measure of currency lost in the system? #000 notes #ATM #Banks #credit policy #Demonetisation #e-wallet #Income Disclosure Scheme #Jan Dhan accounts #jewelry purchases #Monetary policy #RBI #Reserve Bank of India #Rs 2 #Rs 500 notes #Transaction

Dec 7, 2016

Jayalalithaa dead: How her policies made Tamil Nadu a successful welfare state with a difference

Ms Jayalalithaa’s economic legacy will be more remembered in terms of what the government did for the alleviation of the poor, which has also been questioned by critics as being ‘populist’. #Amma #Discom #economic legacy #economic prospects #Jayalalithaa #largesse #subsidized meals #Tamil Nadu

Nov 25, 2016

Demonetisation: Dodgy execution creates confusion but govt ‘jugaad’ may just work

The lesson really learnt is that if there is a strong scheme being implemented without much discussion, it has the advantage of using a surprise strike, but is bound to encounter several speed breakers as each issue involves a different authority which knows best how things work in the respective territory #ATMs #Black money #cards #currency denominsation #Demonetisation #e-wallet #Net Banking #recalibrated

Nov 23, 2016

Demonetisation gold pot: Will it all end up as an ‘accounting adjustment’ for RBI?

Banks will be the biggest beneficiaries with deposits coming in large quantities leading to surplus liquidity in the system. #ATMs #Deposit Rates #Financial benefits #liquidity #Reserve Bank of India #Rs 1 #Rs 1000 notes #SMEs

Nov 21, 2016

Demonetisation: A painful shift in rural economy, but all could be well by January

The farmers prefer to receive cash and while some do take in cheques there is a sense of doubt if the counter party is unknown #Agriculture #Cash crunch #Cash Economy #Demonetisation #e-channel #e-channels #farmers #GDP #kharif harvest #RBI #rural Inida

Nov 14, 2016

Demonetisation and ATM chaos: Is execution failure worth the pain? Wait till 1 January

The overall cost of the demonetisation exercise could run to Rs 30,000-40,000 crore, excluding the loss of GDP which cannot be made up like in services #Demonetisation #finance ministry #new currency notes #RBI #Rs 1000 #Rs 2000 #Rs 500 #withdrawal limits

Nov 9, 2016

US election 2016: What does Donald Trump’s triumph mean for India Inc

Donald Trump's win the 2016 US presidential election brings both positive and negative news for India, especially because of his anti-immigration and protectionist policies related to international trade #2016 US Presidential election #Business #Donald Trump #Export #FDI #Hillary Clinton #import #India #NAFTA #NSG #Stock market #trade agreement #US #US Election #US foreign policy #US Presidential Election 2016

Oct 26, 2016

Ease of doing business: India needn’t fret over ranking; Here’s why it’s not all that bad

The significant part where the government can take credit is the improvement in the distance to frontier (DTF) which actually gives an idea of how much we are moving towards the ideal #bankruptcy code #distance to frontier #doing business #DTF #GST #RBI #SEBI #World Bank